Independent Energy Consultants, Inc. Natural Gas Buying - Decision Making Factors.

Slides:

Advertisements

Similar presentations

How Well Forecast Were the 2004 and 2005 Atlantic and U. S

Advertisements

Guy Caruso Administrator Energy Information Administration Washington, DC June 20, 2006 International Energy Outlook 2006 with Projections to 2030.

Historical Hydro-Quebec Phase II Flow and Transfer Capability Limit Data Peter Wong, ISO New England Power Supply Planning Committee Meeting June 4, 2007.

© 2000 JN Natural Gas Outlook & Issues AB 1890 Implementation Group Annual Meeting November 14, 2000 ®

Energy Risk Management Seminar New York April 5, 2001.

Gws Rising fuel prices and trade. A macro-economic impact analysis for big traders with a focus on Germany by Gesellschaft für Wirtschaftliche Strukturforschung.

Grain Market Outlook Cover Your Acres Conference Oberlin, Kansas January 22-23, 2008 Daniel OBrien & Mike Woolverton K-State Research and Extension

Performance of Hedges & Long Futures Positions in CBOT Corn Goodland, Kansas March 2, 2009 Daniel OBrien, Extension Ag Economist K-State Research and Extension.

September Atlantic Hurricane Season Update 06 September 2012 Fred Schmude StormWatch Manager ImpactWeather, Inc.

Fred Schmude StormWatch Manager ImpactWeather, Inc. Fred specializes in hurricane forecasting, severe thunderstorms, winter.

SPE The Potential For Additional Carbon Dioxide Flooding Projects in the United States SPE April 23, 2008 Hitesh Mohan – INTEK, Inc. Marshall.

The UK Gas Market Presentation to Durham Centre for Doctoral Training in Energy 17th February 2011 Niall Trimble Managing Director.

Re-Order Point Problems Set 1: General

Financial Planning and Forecasting Financial Statements

Total Utility Management Services, LLC is committed to helping your organization make the best informed energy decisions with decades of cost-proven results.

U.S. Energy Market Trends for 2006 Living in a High Priced Environment Presented to CFA Society of Oklahoma Oklahoma City and Tulsa, OK December 7, 2005.

Chapter 7 Test Prep Game. 1)What device measures wind speed? a) Thermometer b) Anemometer c) Barometer d) Psychrometer.

Model and Relationships 6 M 1 M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M

Federal Energy Regulatory Commission Winter Energy Market Assessment 2005 – 2006 Item No.: A-3 October 20, 2005.

Drought Update; What’s in Store for 2012 LCRA Firm Water Customer Meeting January 26, 2011 Bob Rose, LCRA Chief Meteorologist.

EIA Outlook for U.S. Heating Fuels State Heating Oil and Propane Program Conference North Falmouth, Massachusetts Laurie Falter Industry Economist Energy.

Short-Term and Winter Fuels Outlook Guy F. Caruso Administrator Energy Information Administration New York Energy Forum New York, NY October 16,

Phil Klotzbach Ironshore Hurricane Seminar April 28 th, 2015.

Atlantic Basin Seasonal Hurricane Prediction Phil Klotzbach Department of Atmospheric Science Colorado State University National Hurricane Conference March.

Tropical Cyclone Forecasts Dr. Richard J. Murnane Risk Prediction Initiative Bermuda Biological Station for Research, Inc.

Energy Information Administration Markets, Hubs, Trading Places, and Capacity Release Markets by John H. Herbert.

Verification of Colorado State University’s Atlantic Basin Seasonal Hurricane Forecasts Phil Klotzbach and William Gray Department of Atmospheric Science.

ENERGY OUTLOOK: CONCLUSIONS AND RECOMMENDATIONS Benjamin Schlesinger, Ph.D. Benjamin Schlesinger and Associates, Inc. (BSA) Bethesda, Maryland Black Sea.

Natural Gas Outlook National Association of State Energy Officials State Heating Oil and Propane Conference August 30, 2004 William Trapmann Energy Information.

Jeffrey A. Murphy Managing Director, Commercial Operations Dominion East Ohio June 5, 2009.

Crude Oil, Heating Oil, and Propane Outlook Briefing for the State Heating Oil and Propane Program Conference Asheville, NC Mike Burdette Petroleum Division,

MASBO Annual Institute May 13, 2015 Achieving Budget Success in a Volatile Energy Market.

Reasons for the Unusually Destructive 2004 Atlantic Basin Hurricane Season Phil Klotzbach and William Gray Department of Atmospheric Science Colorado State.

Federal Energy Regulatory Commission Summer 2005 Energy Price Review: Gulf Coast Storms Exacerbate Tight Natural Gas Supplies; Already High Prices Driven.

SHORT - TERM NATURAL GAS OUTLOOK National Association of State Energy Officials State Heating Oil and Propane Conference August 7, 2006 Barbara Mariner-Volpe,

ISM Mid-winter Conference Short Term Perspectives for Natural Gas February 2006 knowledge to bridge the gap.

Sales Forecast. Sales Forecasting Art and science Art and science Complete process for each segment where you are offering product Complete process for.

Regulatory Responses to Natural Gas Price Volatility Commissioner Donald L. Mason, Esq. Vice-Chairman of NARUC Gas Committee Vice Chairman or the IOGCC.

Atlantic Basin Seasonal Hurricane Prediction Phil Klotzbach Department of Atmospheric Science Colorado State University CAS Annual Meeting May 20, 2015.

Atlantic Basin Seasonal Hurricane Prediction Phil Klotzbach Department of Atmospheric Science Colorado State University National Tropical Weather Conference.

PETROLEUM REFINERY MARGINS: Operational and Financial Strategies by Stephen M. Haik EMBA 762: Corporate Risk Management A. B. Freeman School of Business.

©2004 PJM 1 STATE OF THE MARKET REPORT 2003 Joseph E. Bowring Manager PJM Market Monitoring Unit FERC Briefing Washington, D.C. April 14, 2004.

Presented to: Gas Storage Conference Ziff Energy Group Houston, TX February 2, 2005 Natural Gas Storage Market Issues: A Federal Perspective William F.

United States Landfalling Hurricane Webpage Application Philip J. Klotzbach and William M. Gray Colorado State University, Fort Collins, Colorado Abstract.

MAY 17, 2001 ENERGY MARKETS IN TURMOIL PRESENTED TO THE INSTITUTE FOR REGULATORY POLICY STUDIES

PETROLEUM REFINERY MARGINS: Operational and Financial Strategies by Stephen M. Haik EMBA 762: Corporate Risk Management A. B. Freeman School of Business.

Northwest Power and Conservation Council Reviewing the Fifth Power Plan Energy Price Assumptions Natural Gas Advisory Committee December 5, 2006.

Natural Gas Outlook North American Energy Standards Board (NAESB) Annual Meeting September 17, 2003 Barbara Mariner-Volpe, Energy Information Administration.

Natural Gas Update: EIA NARUC Winter Meeting Barbara Mariner-Volpe, Energy Information Administration February 23, 2003.

Energy Information Adminisration’s Outlook On Natural Gas Arkansas Public Service Commission “The Future Supply And Price of Natural Gas” June 3, 2003.

Winter Outlook Markets Matter WINTER OUTLOOK |  Represents major producers and suppliers of domestic natural gas Integrated and.

Generating Resource Advisory Committee April 9, 2002.

Crude Oil, Heating Oil, and Propane Market Outlook Briefing for the State Heating Oil and Propane Program Conference Kennebunkport, ME by Douglas MacIntyre.

Short-Term Energy Outlook, October 2007 DOE/NASEO 2007/08 Winter Fuels Outlook Conference October 9, 2007 Washington, DC Guy F. Caruso Administrator, Energy.

CSG/ERC 44 th Annual Meeting Springfield, MA Douglas MacIntyre, Senior Oil Market Analyst Petroleum Division U.S. Energy Information Administration August.

Crude Oil, Heating Oil, and Propane Market Outlook Briefing for the State Heating Oil and Propane Program Conference Wilmington, DE by Douglas MacIntyre.

Winter Distillate and Propane Outlook Joanne Shore Energy Information Administration State Heating Oil and Propane Program August 2000.

Natural Gas Outlook The Tennessee Regulatory Authority Natural Gas Symposium August 19, 2003 Roy Kass Energy Information Administration (EIA)

Natural Gas Market Update Interstate Municipal Gas Agency Annual Meeting April 12, 2011 Posey Saenz

Summer 2006 In Review David Hood September 21, 2006.

Regional Energy Profile Forum on Energy Preparedness Metropolitan Washington Council of Governments Alice Lippert and Douglas MacIntyre Energy Information.

The Commonwealth of Virginia 2016 State Contracts Meeting – Compass Energy Placeholder.

Natural Gas Fundamentals Summary SaskFerco March 16, 2001 This information is provided to you pursuant to your request and is provided solely for informational.

Earth Energy Advisors Monthly Energy Report

Winter Outlook Markets Matter

Earth Energy Advisors Weekly Energy Report

2018 Summer Outlook Markets Matter

Jacki Kinney Climatology December 6, 2005

2019 Natural Gas Outlook Oregon Public Utilities Commission

Presentation transcript:

Independent Energy Consultants, Inc. Natural Gas Buying - Decision Making Factors

Independent Energy Consultants, Inc. Natural Gas Storage Inventory Storage Highlights: Working gas in storage was 1,761 Bcf as of Friday, April 14, 2006, according to EIA estimates. This represents a net increase of 47 Bcf from the previous week. Stocks were 425 Bcf higher than last year at this time and 678 Bcf above the 5-year average of 1,083 Bcf. In the East Region, stocks were 373 Bcf above the 5-year average following net injections of 19 Bcf. Stocks in the Producing Region were 248 Bcf above the 5-year average of 399 Bcf after a net injection of 21 Bcf. Stocks in the West Region were 57 Bcf above the 5-year average after a net addition of 7 Bcf. At 1,761 Bcf, total working gas is above the 5-year historical range.

Independent Energy Consultants, Inc. ATLANTIC BASIN HURRICANE FORECAST FOR 2006 Named Storms (NS) (9.6)17 Named Storm Days (NSD) (49.1)85 Hurricanes (H) (5.9)9 Hurricane Days (HD) (24.5)45 Intense Hurricanes (IH) (2.3)5 Intense Hurricane Days (IHD) (5.0)13 Forecast Parameter and Climatology (in parentheses) 6 December 2005 Forecast for 2006 Net Tropical Cyclone Activity (NTC) (100%)195

Independent Energy Consultants, Inc. Monitoring Cost of Competing Fuels

Independent Energy Consultants, Inc. Natural Gas Demand by Sector

Independent Energy Consultants, Inc. Daily Market Monitoring – Variety of Inputs

Independent Energy Consultants, Inc. Futures Market vs. Cash Market

Independent Energy Consultants, Inc. Technical Analysis

Independent Energy Consultants, Inc. Monitoring Weather Forecasts Temperature Forecasts Storm Activity

Independent Energy Consultants, Inc. Natural Gas Hedging - Tracking Model Some data are for illustration purposes only

Independent Energy Consultants, Inc. Triggering a NYMEX Plus Offer Price