Hurricane Ike Forecast tracks are updated at 5 and 11. Position updates are at 8 and 2 (as needed). Questions to consider: – What information is available? – What information is needed? – Where does information breakdown? – How does information change?

A track shift North?

Square on to Miami

Shifting West

Target shifts into the Gulf

Mississippi? Alabama?

Landfall in Cuba will reduce strength

New Orleans?

Texas? And the Hurricane is still near Bahamas

Galveston, TX?

Matagorda, TX?

Corpus Christi, TX?

Swing back North

Watches and warnings go up

Landfall keeps shifting North

Back at Galveston, TX

Landfall

Look at the size of the wind field.