World Meteorological Organization Working together in weather, climate and water WMO OMM WMO Future work of the Commission including the establishment of Expert Teams Dr Jim Salinger President of CAgM

WMO OMM Challenges facing food production The world population is projected to grow from 6.8 billion today to 8.3 billion in 2030 and nearly 9.2 billion in 2050; Growth will be concentrated in developing countries; CAgM XV

WMO OMM Challenges facing food production Global food production will therefore need to increase by more than 50% by 2030, and nearly double by 2050; 450 million smallholder farms in the world and several issues in the recent years are threatening their very livelihoods and those of fishers; CAgM XV

WMO OMM The Future – what we plan to do CAgM – XV (Belo Horizonte, Brazil; July 2010) - Updating CAgM Terms of Reference in line with results based management - Evolution of the work programme CAgM XV

WMO OMM EC LXII OPAG 1 - ICT and ETs ICT 1.1 Agrometeorological Services: - Consider requirements for farm-level strategies - Ensure accurate, reliable and systematic regionalized services to agriculture ET 1.2 Strengthening Operational Agrometeorological Services - Prepare guidelines to interface NHMSs and farmers -Better utilize media capabilities to enhance agromet service delivery ET 1.3 Developing Agrometeorological Products & Services for Sustainable Agricultural Development: - Review products and services for response farming principles - Develop products and services to combat unfavourable conditions

WMO OMM OPAG 2 – ICT and ETs CAgM XV ICT 2.1 Agrometeorological Support Systems: - Recommend regional based capability for operational applications - Review operational data applications, tools and delivery systems ET 2.2 Developing Agrometeorological Decision Support Systems for Agrometeorological Services - Review weather forecasts and climate predictions for applications -Develop a framework of support systems for services at different scales ET 1.3 Software Resources for Operational Applications in Agrometeorology: - Review information that farmers need for strategic planning - Develop guidance material for applications and information delivery

WMO OMM OPAG 3 – ICT and ETs ICT 3.1 Climate Change Variability and Natural Disasters in Agriculture: - Review regional climate scenarios for agricultural adaptation strategies - Identify deficiencies in long-range predictions for agriculture ET 3.2 Weather and Climate Extremes and Impacts and Preparedness Strategies - Determine critical areas where agriculture is vulnerable to extremes - Analyse and summerise strategies to cope with climate risks ET 3.3 Adaptation to Climate Change at the Regional Level - Assess response of agricultural communities to cope with change - Recommend ways to improve communication of information CAgM XV

WMO OMM Fisheries CAgM XV ET 4.1 Joint with JCOMM on Weather, Climate and Fisheries – a new initiative: - Review effects of climate from seasons to decades on fisheries - Review current climate change impacts on fisheries Fisheries play a crucial role for food supply, food security and income generation; Fish is a major source of protein diets, about 20% protein in the diets of over 2.8 billion people – reaching 50% in the world’s poorest and 90% in SIDs; Climate change and variability is likely to modify oceanic fisheries, with unpredictable consequences.

WMO OMM CAgM XV Experts to other TCs CAgM XV ET 5 CAgM Experts Serving on Teams of other Technical Commissions - Commission for Climatology; - Commission for Hydrology; - ………..

WMO OMM Concluding Remarks CAgM XV Challenges are many for CAgM in contributing to the enhancement food supply and security because of weather and climate incoming seasons, decades and over the 21 st century to assist food production to adapt to climate variability and change; The CAgM programme has a critical role to play in developing countries especially in the Americas, Africa, south and east Asia;

World Meteorological Organization Working together in weather, climate and water WMO OMM WMO Thank You CAgM XV