1 Advanced Retirement Analysis and Planning Presented by: Stav Adler CSWP, CPCA Retirement Analyst Investment Advisor www.stavadler.com Tel: 604-718-7519.

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Presentation transcript:

1 Advanced Retirement Analysis and Planning Presented by: Stav Adler CSWP, CPCA Retirement Analyst Investment Advisor Tel: Advanced Retirement Planning

2 Stav Adler CSWP, CPCA Investment Advisor - PFP15 Years Certified Professional Consultant On Aging5 Years Specialized in Retirement Analysis3 Years Chartered Strategic Wealth Professional2 Years PI Financial Corp. Investment management firm 39,000 clients 7 offices across Canada 2 ½ billion dollars under management Advanced Retirement Planning

3 How much is enough for life long income? Advanced Retirement Planning

4 A Few Key Questions Do we have enough money to retire with lifelong income? What lifestyle options can we afford, now and in the future? How will the different stages of retirement affect our finances? How will selling our home or downsizing affect our future? What is our probability of success? What if something goes wrong? Advanced Retirement Planning

5 Three Unique Risks to Retirement 1. Inflation risk: Loss of buying power 2. Longevity risk: Outliving your savings 3. Investment risk: A. Sequence of Returns (technology crash, credit crisis) B. Reverse Dollar Cost Averaging (advantage becomes disadvantage) ___________________________________________ Myth of Averages (average return-inflation-lifespan) Advanced Retirement Planning

6 Financial Analysis For Retirement Incomes Pension incomes (Govt and Private), rental income, and annuity income. Expenses Go Go years! Slow Go years! No Go years! Annual & Lumpy Income Expenses greater than income. Shortfall Withdrawal requirement from savings/investments over time? Advanced Retirement Planning

7 Financial Analysis For Retirement Assets Impact of lump sum additions or withdrawals to savings? E.g. Selling home or a dream holiday. Economics How will adverse economic environments affect our ability to support our lifestyle over time? What is the probability of our plan succeeding? Advanced Retirement Planning

8 Standard Retirement Forecast Single Line Analysis Starting Value: $1,000,000 Initial Withdrawal:$60,000 ______________________________________________ Growth:8% Inflation:3.5% Advanced Retirement Planning

9 Lets Add Actual Market History Each black line displays that actual result that would have occurred if the retirement was started in each of the one-hundred years during the last century. Sadly, 90% of historic outcomes failed to reach the standard single line forecast. Failure rate:90% Success Rate:10% Advanced Retirement Planning

10 Standard Retirement Forecast:10% probability of success Advanced Retirement Planning:90% probability of success Advanced Retirement Planning 90% Probability Of Success (Red line or above) (based on actual history) __________________________________________________________ Advanced Retirement Planning

11 Advanced Retirement Planning Investment Risk

12 Zone Analysis The advanced retirement planning analysis displays a simple outlook according to the “Zone Analysis” (90% probability of success). Green Zone : Abundant resources for lifelong income Grey Zone : Sufficient resources for lifelong income Red Zone : Insufficient resources for lifelong income Do you know where you stand with your retirement readiness? Advanced Retirement Planning

13 Disclaimer The material contained herein is for information purposes only and is not to be construed as an offer or solicitation for the sale or purchase of securities. While the information herein cannot be guaranteed, it was obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but in providing it, PI Financial Corp. does not assume any liability. PI Financial Corp. and/or its’ officers, directors, employees and affiliates may, from time to time, acquire, hold or sell a position in the securities mentioned herein. This report is intended for distribution in those jurisdictions where PI Financial Corp. is registered as an advisor or a dealer in securities. Any distribution or dissemination of this report in any other jurisdiction is strictly prohibited. PI Financial Corp. is licensed as a broker-dealer in all provinces and territories of Canada and is a member of the IIROC and the Canadian Investor Protection Fund. Advanced Retirement Planning