MORE THAN YOU IMAGINE Head Teacher Development Forum 3 31 August 2011 Alison Wood, R/Institute Director

MORE THAN YOU IMAGINE  Skills shortages  Uncertain global financial climate  Slow State economic growth  Environmental sustainability  Workforce and workplace change  Increased competition  Regional/rural disadvantage  Integration of Higher Education  Aging population Key Drivers in 2011 include:

MORE THAN YOU IMAGINE  Increase participation in higher qualifications  Focus on existing workers  Maximise RPL and workplace delivery  Increase completions  Market reform – student entitlement? Commonwealth Response

MORE THAN YOU IMAGINE In 1971, 7.6 workers supported 1 retiree. 2009: 4 workers to 1 retiree. By 2050: 2.9 workers to 1 retiree. Source: ABS, Population by Age and Sex, Australian States and Territories (2009), Cat. No ; ABS, Population Projections Australia (2009), Cat. No There are fewer working-age adults to support the non-working population

MORE THAN YOU IMAGINE Source: ABS, National Health Survey: Summary of Results ( ), Cat. No Lowest level of education Highest level of education 6 Well-educated People Tend to be Healthier

MORE THAN YOU IMAGINE Source: ABS, Education and Training Experience (2009), Cat. No NSW median weekly earnings (2009) = $863 7 The More you Learn, the More you Earn

MORE THAN YOU IMAGINE  All States moving to a more flexible and demand- driven training system  Greater contestability of funding for public training  Greater competition between providers Council of Australian Governments (CoAG) Communique Canberra, 19 August 2011

MORE THAN YOU IMAGINE CoAG Communique  Key role of TAFE as public provider in a competitive market recognised and supported including  TAFE delivery of high-cost technical training  TAFE’s encouragement of disadvantaged students, and  The offering of services in regional and remote areas

MORE THAN YOU IMAGINE CoAG Communique  Future reform to encourage increase in higher-level qualifications to  Improve employment resilience and productivity  Raise the standard of learning outcomes  Possibility of income contingent loans for publicly subsidised diploma and above qualifications  Pathways between sectors to be strengthened

MORE THAN YOU IMAGINE CoAG Communique  Greater transparency to support informed choices by employers and students  Implementation of My Skills website to improve access to information and support informed choice  Introduction of a Unique Student Identifier  Enhanced collection and sharing of VET data to improve accountability of outcomes.

MORE THAN YOU IMAGINE CoAG Communique  Reforms to continue to drive improved quality including  Newly-established regulatory arrangements  Renewed focus on VET teacher development  Introduction of stronger quality measures for VET providers

MORE THAN YOU IMAGINE Note: Figures for Australia are GDP Source: ABS Australian National Accounts: State Accounts, , Average annual growth in Gross State Product 1999 to 2010 The New South Wales economy lags behind other states WAQldNTAustraliaVicSAACTTasNSW NSW Economic Challenges

MORE THAN YOU IMAGINE *High unemployment is 8.25% and above – 50 per cent higher than the NSW unemployment rate of 5.5% in September Areas are Statistical Local Areas. Source: DEEWR, Small Area Labour Markets Australia, September quarter 2010 Areas in NSW with high* unemployment rates, September 2010 Many regions and towns have high unemployment

MORE THAN YOU IMAGINE NSW Skills – Future Directions

MORE THAN YOU IMAGINE “Securing Jobs For Your Future” ( Innovative economy Ageing population Global competitiveness Reform VET Increased workforce productivity Increased workforce participation Information regarding Victorian VET Reforms from Kangan Institute, Victoria Victorian VET Reforms: Drivers

MORE THAN YOU IMAGINE Increase numbers of people in training System to engage more effectively with industry/individuals System more responsive to changing workforce needs Create culture of lifelong skills development Provide student ‘entitlement’ Information regarding Victorian VET Reforms from Kangan Institute, Victoria Victorian VET Reforms: Agenda

MORE THAN YOU IMAGINE $316m over 4 years/172,000 extra places Uncap public RTO quotas All RTOs eligible for government subsidy Adoption of ‘private’ RTO funding allocation model - $ follow eligible students on confirmation and progress monthly in arrears (contestability) Public RTO =‘full service’ with price differential Information regarding Victorian VET Reforms from Kangan Institute, Victoria Victorian VET Reforms: Process

MORE THAN YOU IMAGINE Learners up to 20 years eligible for subsidised place at any level Learners 20 years + eligible for subsidised place at sequentially higher level than their current maximum qualification level except for: – Foundation – Certs 1 & 2 - all learners eligible – Exemptions and concessions available Information regarding Victorian VET Reforms from Kangan Institute, Victoria Victorian VET Reforms: Eligibility for subsidised places

MORE THAN YOU IMAGINE Full implementation 01/01/2011 Second Quarter Data c/w same period 2010 Reported (cumulative) enrolments +15% Individual student numbers +24% Private RTO market (student numbers) share up from 14% in 2008 to 38% now. TAFE Market share down to 52% Information regarding Victorian VET Reforms from Kangan Institute, Victoria Victorian VET Reforms: Metrics

MORE THAN YOU IMAGINE 4 TAFEs report enrolment growth 5%+ 8 TAFEs report no change 6 TAFEs report decline of 5% Diploma level and above +28% Certificates 3 and 4 +22% Foundation (literacy/numeracy) +59% 1,700 funded exemptions and 5,000 concessions granted Information regarding Victorian VET Reforms from Kangan Institute, Victoria Victorian VET Reforms: Metrics First half 2011 compared with 2010

MORE THAN YOU IMAGINE Retail +36% Health and Community Services +32% Manufacturing +37% Construction +32% Accounting, electrical engineers, construction engineers, wood trades workers, down Average increase in occupations declared ‘specialised’ and in ‘short supply’ +14% Information regarding Victorian VET Reforms from Kangan Institute, Victoria Victorian VET Reforms: Metrics Enrolments

MORE THAN YOU IMAGINE More Victorians in training More training at higher qualification levels More training where skills needs People with no/low quals engaging more Eligibility exemptions and fee concessions are providing access to disadvantaged Information regarding Victorian VET Reforms from Kangan Institute, Victoria Victorian VET Reforms: Summary* *source: SV Training Market Quarterly Report

MORE THAN YOU IMAGINE Institute Funding Mix

MORE THAN YOU IMAGINE Targets for 2012 Enrolments Cert III and above

MORE THAN YOU IMAGINE Targets for 2012 Enrolments for Employment based and Flexible Training

MORE THAN YOU IMAGINE Targets for 2012 Completions Cert III and above

MORE THAN YOU IMAGINE TRAINING OUTCOMES Student Outcomes Survey 2010 conducted by the National Centre for Vocational Education Research (NCVER) / 71% of graduates gained employment after training / 38% of graduates undertook further study after training / 88% of graduates were satisfied with overall quality of training / 71% of graduates reported after training that the training was relevant to their current job / 76% of graduates stated that the main reason to study at TAFE was to achieve employment outcomes / 80% of graduates fully or partly achieved main reason for doing the training Snapshots of Sydney Institute

MORE THAN YOU IMAGINE STUDENT SATISFACTION* (2010)EMPLOYER SATISFACTION (2010) Overall satisfaction71.3%Overall satisfaction65.8% Trainer quality71.8%Trainer quality66.4% Active learning70.2%Effective assessment58.6% Competency development70.3%Training relevance63.4% Snapshots of Sydney Institute

MORE THAN YOU IMAGINE Page 30 Results of the myVoice Survey higherlower higher maintain prioritise Practices towards the right (higher “importance”) have a greater impact on Passion and Progress based on the data. Ideally, practices should rest in the oval where there is a good match between performance and importance. Practices in the bottom right corner are potential priorities for action. Voice Project Survey Report, (c) Voice Project Pty Ltd. promote limit

MORE THAN YOU IMAGINE Finally, A Vote of Support from the NSW Minister of Education, Adrian Piccoli

MORE THAN YOU IMAGINE Extracts from Minister Piccoli’s statement in Parliament in Question Time on 25 August NSW must have all the resources available to offer training to as many people as possible NSW will not sit back and allow the Commonwealth simply to dictate to us what will happen in vocational education and training We are strong supporters of TAFE, particularly in regional NSW

MORE THAN YOU IMAGINE Extracts from Minister Piccoli’s statement in Parliament in Question Time on 25 August We must make sure we keep TAFE as the public provider of training We need to support TAFE, maintain its strength and, most importantly, maintain the quality training that TAFE provides

MORE THAN YOU IMAGINE Council of Australian Governments Meeting Communique Canberra 19 August 2011