Random Number Generator

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Presentation transcript:

Random Number Generator How to use Table B in Statistics

Warm-up An educator wants to compare the effectiveness of computer software that teaches reading with that of a standard reading curriculum. He tests the reading ability of each student in a class of fourth-graders, then divides them into two groups. One group uses the computer regularly, while the other studies a standard curriculum. At the end of the year, he retests all the students and compares the increase in reading ability in the two groups. Is this an experiment? Why or why not? What are the explanatory and response variables?

Answer: This is an experiment because a treatment is imposed. The explanatory variable is the teaching method (computer assisted or standard). The response variable is the increase in reading ability based on the pre– and posttests.

Case #2 Call the shots: A newspaper advertisement for USA Today: The Television Show once said: “Should handgun control be tougher? You call the shots in a special call-in poll tonight. If yes, call 1-900-720-6181. If no, call 1-900-720-6182. Charge is 50 cents for the first minute.” Explain why this opinion poll is almost certainly biased.

Answer: Only persons with a strong opinion on the subject (strong enough that they are willing to spend the time and at least 50 cents) will respond to this advertisement.

Random Digits (Systematic Random Sampling) A table of random digits is a long string of the digits 0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9 with these two properties: Each entry in the table is equally likely to be any of the 10 digits 0 through 9. The entries are independent of each other. That is, knowledge of one part of the table gives no information about any other part. Textbook: Table B (Random Number Generator)

How do we use TABLE B? Joan's small accounting firm serves 30 business clients. Joan wants to interview a sample of 5 clients in detail to find ways to improve client satisfaction. To avoid bias, she chooses an SRS of size 5. Step 1: Label. Give each client a numerical label, using as few digits as possible. Two digits are needed to label 30 clients, so we use labels 01, 02, 03, …, 29, 30

Step 2: Table. Enter Table B anywhere and read two-digit groups Step 2: Table. Enter Table B anywhere and read two-digit groups. Suppose we enter at line 130, which is 69051 64817 87174 09517 84534 06489 87201 97245 69 05 16 48 17 87 17 40 95 17 84 53 40 64 89 87 20 19 72 45 05 16 17 17 17 20 19 05 16 17 20 19 Step 3: Stopping rule. Now run your finger across line 130 (and continue to line 131 if needed) until 5 clients are chosen.

Step 4: Identify sample. The sample is the clients labeled 05, 16, 17, 20, 19. These are: 05 Bailey Trucking, 16 JL Records, 17 Johnson Commodities, 20 MagicTan, 19 Liu's Chinese Restaurant.

Your Turn! Students: Faculty: The club can send 4 students and 2 faculty members to a convention. It decides to choose those who will go by random selection. Use Table B, beginning at line 123, to choose a stratified random sample of 4 students and 2 faculty members. Students: Faculty:

Answers may vary Assign 01 to 30 to the students (in alphabetical order). The exact selection will depend on the starting line chosen in Table B; starting on line 123 gives 08–Ghosh, 15–Jones, 07–Fisher, and 27–Shaw. Assigning 0 to 9 to the faculty members gives (from line 109) 3–Gupta and 6–Moore. (We could also number faculty from 01 to 10, but this requires looking up two–digit numbers.)