INDONESIA External Financing Needs 2003 January 21-22, 2003 The Consultative Group on Indonesia.

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Presentation transcript:

INDONESIA External Financing Needs 2003 January 21-22, 2003 The Consultative Group on Indonesia

The 2003 budget deficit in perspective (as a share of GDP) ? CGI amount requested ($ bn) Fiscal Deficit (budgeted) Source: Ministry of Finance, World Bank Staff estimates

Disbursements of program and project finance: pledge and actual (US$ billions) (Pre.) Program Pledged Actual Difference Project Pledged Actual Difference

Financing the 2003 deficit (as a share of GDP) 0.6 External financing External financing-0.1 o/w Others o/w Others 0.9 o/w IBRA asset sales o/w IBRA asset sales 0.4 o/w Privatization o/w Privatization 1.2 Domestic financing Domestic financing 1.8 Financing needed -1.8Deficits

The 2003 budget: External financing needs (US$ billion) CGI Financing Requested 2.7 o/w CGI Financing o/w CGI Financing 0.6 o/w Non-CGI Financing o/w Non-CGI Financing 3.0 o/w Rescheduling o/w Rescheduling 6.3 Total Financing Needs 4.9Amortization 1.3 Net Disbursement

Long-Term Fiscal Sustainability (Government debt to GDP ratio) 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Actual Projection High Case Scenario Low Case Scenario Base Case Scenario

Thank you!