GODAE OceanView-CLIVAR Workshop, Santa Cruz, June 2011 GODAE OceanView and its Task Teams Centre for Australian Weather and Climate Research; Wealth from Oceans Research Flagship, CSIRO Andreas Schiller GODAE OceanView-CLIVAR Workshop, Santa Cruz, June 2011

GODAE Achievements and Successes ( ) Implementation of observing and data processing systems Argo and GHRSST (pilot projects), altimetry, in-situ Implementation of global modelling & data assim. capabilities High resolution and climate Implementation of data/product serving capabilities Inter-comparison / validation, metric and standardisation Demonstration of feasibility and utility Mesoscale nowcasting and forecasting, ocean climate research, marine pollution and safety, weather forecasting, marine resources, etc. Scientific advances Modelling, data assimilation, scientific validation

GODAE OceanView-CLIVAR Workshop, Santa Cruz, June 2011 Feasibility of Now-/Forecasting of Ocean Mesoscale Hurlburt et al, 2008, AGU Monograph 177

GODAE OceanView-CLIVAR Workshop, Santa Cruz, June 2011 The New Challenges (1) The New Challenges (1) Face emerging new societal needs Understand/monitor/forecast the earth system from days to decades –Improve atmospheric forecast where the ocean impacts it (cyclones, monsoons, …) –Application of ocean prediction techniques to improve climate and decadal prediction including the ocean contribution Where (most) people live –Improve near-shore/coastal waters real-time prediction (coupling to and/or downscaling from the offshore/deep ocean; physics, biogeochemistry) –Understand the impact of climate change in coastal regions (downscaling) For the sustained exploitation of the seas –Develop ecosystem-based management of marine living resources  Support environmental policies through environmental monitoring

GODAE OceanView-CLIVAR Workshop, Santa Cruz, June 2011 The New Challenges (2) The New Challenges (2) Improve and extend our capacities Research and development in ocean modeling, data assimilation Coupling with other components of the earth system Cooperation with international research programs (e.g. WCRP, IGBP, SCOR)  Improve accuracy of the environmental information and products

GODAE OceanView-CLIVAR Workshop, Santa Cruz, June 2011 The New Challenges (3) The New Challenges (3) Better observe the ocean Help the international organizations in charge of the development of the ocean observing systems: –For the transition to sustained operations of the global in situ and space observing system better use of existing systems, such as ARGO, Jason, … –For the design/assessment of new observing systems new observable (e.g. bio, …), new focus (e.g. coastal, …) –For the optimization of the resources measure the relative impact, assess the utility, etc… through OSE/OSSE  Evaluate benefit and optimize use of the GOOS

GODAE OceanView-CLIVAR Workshop, Santa Cruz, June 2011 Next Meeting of GODAE OceanView Science Team: ESTEC, Oct 2011 Next Meeting of GODAE OceanView Science Team: ESTEC, Oct 2011 (ESA / European Space Research and Technology Centre) Total in situ networks 62% January 2010 System % complete Scope and Objectives of GODAE OceanView Leading the Scientific Development and Supporting the Implementation of Ocean Forecasting Systems

GODAE OceanView-CLIVAR Workshop, Santa Cruz, June 2011 GODAE OceanView: Establishment of the GODAE OceanView Science Team in 2008/09 Five Task Teams International Patrons New members Work Plan GODAE OceanView web site Summer School Perth 2010

GODAE OceanView-CLIVAR Workshop, Santa Cruz, June 2011 GODAE OceanView Forecasting Systems GODAE OceanView Forecasting Systems National systems involving research & operational systems  BLUElink – Australia  Brazilian Consortium  Canadian Consortium  NLOM and NCOM – USA  HYCOM Consortium – USA  ECCO – USA  Indian Consortium  Move & COMPASS-K – Japan  China  MERCATOR – France  MFS – Italy  NCOF (FOAM) U.K.  TOPAZ – Norway European coordination  ECMWF  myOcean

GODAE OceanView-CLIVAR Workshop, Santa Cruz, June 2011 To be Achieved by GODAE OceanView Improve accuracy and utility of ocean analysis and forecasting products Promote the development of downstream use of ocean data and information products from GODAE OceanView systems Support the transition to operational services  Links with JCOMM/ET-OOFS (lead) Demonstrate the value of the observing systems Coordinate the development of new capabilities and links to other communities (international relationships)  job of task teams

GODAE OceanView-CLIVAR Workshop, Santa Cruz, June 2011 GODAE OceanView Task Teams TASK TEAMS  address specific topics of particular importance to GODAE OceanView  require collaboration with international research programs or other groups (e.g. coastal community): –Inter-comparison and Validation (Martin & Hernandez) –Observing System Evaluation (Oke & Larnicol) –Coastal Ocean and Shelf Seas (DeMey & Kourafalou) –Marine Ecosystem Analysis and Prediction (Barciela & Brasseur) –Short- to Medium-Range Coupled Prediction (Brassington)

GODAE OceanView-CLIVAR Workshop, Santa Cruz, June 2011 OMAPS(fc) = Bluelink operational 3-4-d forecasts OMAPS(ban) = Bluelink operational hindcast (6-9-d behind RT) HYCOM = US Navy hindcast (5-d behind RT) Mercator = French hindcast (7-14-d behind RT) UKMet = UK hindcast (~3-m behind RT) GODAE OceanViewIntercomparison GODAE OceanView Intercomparison

GODAE OceanView-CLIVAR Workshop, Santa Cruz, June 2011 NO ALTIM NO Argo NO SST NO DATAALL DATA Complimentary Data Types Oke and Schiller (2007) No SSTNo ALTIM 1/10 o Bluelink system 6-month long OSEs starting December 2005

GODAE OceanView-CLIVAR Workshop, Santa Cruz, June 2011 AlgaRisk08 integrates environ. obs with operational model (POLCOMS-ERSEM)  Predictive tool used by U.K. Environment Agency to assess bloom events on beaches  Daily analysis & 5 day forecast.  Parameters provided:  physical: SST, salinity, stratification, currents, PAR, wind, cloud cover.  biogeochemical: phytoplankton biomass, flagellates, dinoflagellates, picoplankton, nutrient ratios. Boundary conditions from FOAM

GODAE OceanView-CLIVAR Workshop, Santa Cruz, June 2011 CLAM-TC: Test Case TC Ului EXAMPLE: TC ULUI 3 Day forecast base date

GODAE OceanView-CLIVAR Workshop, Santa Cruz, June 2011 Current systems Future systems Global systems: Current model space 4000×2000×50 Near-term future model space >10000×5000×100 global eddy-res. systems regional systems littoral zone systems

GODAE OceanView-CLIVAR Workshop, Santa Cruz, June 2011 Andreas Schiller CSIRO Marine and Atmospheric Research, Hobart GODAE OceanView-CLIVAR Workshop, Santa Cruz, June 2011

Oceanography Special Issue and Oceanobs’09 Papers