Agriculture towards 2050 Preliminary estimates for irrigation Jippe Hoogeveen, Jean-Marc Faurès, Karen Frenken (Water Unit) Jelle Bruinsma, Gerold Boedeker,

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Presentation transcript:

Agriculture towards 2050 Preliminary estimates for irrigation Jippe Hoogeveen, Jean-Marc Faurès, Karen Frenken (Water Unit) Jelle Bruinsma, Gerold Boedeker, Nikos Alexandratos (Global Perspectives Unit)

About the study 142 countries 35 crops Interdisciplinary No scenario-study (only base-line scenario) The study presents FAO’s estimates of what will happen in the future. They are not the result of a particular scenario nor do they represent a particularly ‘desirable’ future

Driving forces

Sources of growth in developing countries (2005/07 – 2050)

Sources of growth in production

Yield gaps (wheat)

Harvested area increases 2005/07 – 2050

Changes in irrigated land and accompanying water withdrawals

Water balances changes due to Climate Change for the Near East and North Africa Standard situation 2050 Changes due to Climate Change Precipitation (mm)1791% Renewable water resources (cubic km)600-5% Irrigation water withdrawals (cubic km)4266% Pressure on water resources due to irrigation71%11%

Thank you !