UK-Russia Climate Change Collaboration: Project Overview Sarah Winne Mark Allington

Agenda 1 Introductions (All) 2 Context and Project Background (David Vincent and Roshydromet) 3 Description of work programme (Sarah) + discussion 4 Presentation of research framework (Sarah) 5 Brainstorming possible research questions (All) 6 Prioritising research questions (All) 7 Financial/other contributions from both governments (David Vincent and Roshydromet) 8 Close

Biomass Capital Grants Offshore Wind Capital Grants Buildings Research Programme Community Energy Programme Low Carbon Investment Opportunity Climate Change Agreements Policy Support

Project Objectives The overall goal of this project is to: Improve the UK and Russia’s understanding of climate change science and impacts; Raise the profile of climate science through the project’s outputs and awareness-raising activities; Create a new British-Russian network of scientists who can draw upon each other’s expertise to improve the body of research on climate change science.

Key Tasks Phase 1: Project Inception Task 1: Project Vision Meeting Task 2: Finalise work plan Phase 2: Review existing research Task 3: Review existing research on climate change science and impacts in Russia Task 4: Links between sound science and sound policy-making Phase 3: Awareness-raising activities Task 5: Workshops, project website, leaflets Task 6: Publication of project results Phase 4: Research Programme Task 7: Scoping Study Task 8: Research programme review and approval Phase 5: Research Programme Key tasks to follow Phase 6: Project Co-ordination and Review

Task 3: Review existing research Summary: This background research will provide the foundation for the project and will tie in closely with the scoping study. It will summarise the existing research in the area of climate change in Russia, specifically focussing on the areas of relevance to the research programme. Task leader: Climate Change Risk Management (CCRM) Contributors: Planeta, Hadley Centre, AEA Timescale: October 07 – February 08 Output: A report summarising current existing scientific research on climate change and impacts in Russia

Task 4: Links between science & policy Summary: This task will draw on British and Russian experiences to understand the links between science and policy-making. The report will provide guidance on how climate change science can be incorporated effectively into policy-making. Task leader: AEA Contributors: Roshydromet Timescale: October 07 – April 08 Output: A report examining how sound science and sound policy- making are linked.

Task 5: Awareness-raising activities The activities for this task include the following: Project Website Task manager: AEA Leaflet for UNFCCC Task manager: AEA Date: December 07 Two review workshops in Moscow Task manager: Roshydromet/Planeta Dates: February 08, July 08 Publications/output from research programme Authors: Hadley Centre, Planeta

Task 7: Scoping study Summary: This task will develop a clear work plan for the research programme (Task 8). The scoping study will review possible areas of research in more detail to assess which topics best address the project’s objectives. Task leaders: Hadley Centre & Planeta Timescale: October 07 – February 08 Output: A detailed work plan which will be reviewed by the steering committee.

Research Framework Possible categories of research questions: 1: Is climate change happening? 2: Are human activities causing it? 3: What are the impacts of climate change in Russia? 4: What can humans do to mitigate/adapt to climate change? 5: What are the costs/benefits of Russia acting to mitigate or adapt to climate change?

Is climate change happening? Possible topics: Examining and collating existing climatic data for Russia (Hadley) Greenhouse gas emissions data for Russia (AEA) Analysing existing climatic data Data quality & establishing evidence base

Are human activities causing climate change? Possible topics: Greenhouse gas emissions data for Russia Analysing emissions data

What are the impacts of climate change in Russia? Possible topics: Interactive vegetation modelling of Russian forests to 2080 (Hadley) Modelling the impacts of climate change on permafrost regions Climatic changes in Arctic and Antarctic (Roshydromet) Sea-ice modelling – comparing HC model with Russian sea-ice measurements Understanding climate change risks in Russia Brown bear migration due to climate change Extreme weather events (and effects on energy infrastructure) Impacts in Russia climatic regions

What can humans do to mitigate/adapt to climate change? Possible topics: National policy and measures in the area of climate change Linking energy policy with climate change policy Impact of climate change policies on Russian energy market Post-Kyoto climate policy in Russia

What are the costs/benefits of Russia acting to mitigate or adapt to climate change? Possible topics: Identifying maximum permissible levels of climate change Options of carbon sequestration in Russia Impacts of climate change on transportation and energy infrastructure