1 The Importance of Sustainability Owen Cligg- United Oilseeds Trading Manager 02/02/2012
World Consumption of Oils and Fats
World Vegoil use in million tonnes
EU-Biofuel Mandates
EU: Use of biofuels/mineral fuels (mln t) Projection Source: EIA, F.O. Licht, ACTI RED: 10 % Target Share of biofuels Total fuel use Mineral fuel Biofuel Biofuel share (Volume)
Vegetable oil stocks comparatively low
7 EU Oilseed rape changes up to harvest 2011
8 UK Supply and Demand 2011/ /12 Opening stocks 0.04 Production 2.75 Imports 0.01 Total supply 2.8 ADM 1.20 Cargill Liverpool 0.55 Cargill Hull 0.20 Compound 0.15 Total use 2.1 Exports 0.65 Ending balance 0.05
UK Oilseed Rape Demand 9
Export facilities used by United Oilseeds
11 Market Update UK Rapeseed Area & Yields Area (Th Ha) Yield (T ha) Crop (Mn T)
Volatility REMAINS SUPPLY CONCERNS DEMAND UNCERTAINITIES EXACERBATED BY FUND SPECULATION
Bullish argument Low US stocks of corn and soya Low stocks of osr Lower EU osr production Demand for sustainable osr for biofuel South American weather Crude oil price
Bearish argument High prices ration demand High prices encourage extra production World may go back into recession
Any questions?