Future Trends in Education The Worlds of DotComs & Ferals Annimac Futurist SIDE PD Workshop 11 November 2004
Rate of Change Rate of Change every 10 seconds : new web site every 10 minutes : new technology every 10 days : new product / service Amount of change we have in one day our Grandparents had in one year Younger means faster
Driving all Drivers of Change Driving all Drivers of Change Technology by % of types of jobs do not exist now because 80 % of technology is not yet invented
Likely jobs in next 10 years : Creative Undertaker Director of Emerging Thought Chief Zookeeper of people Thought Jockey Chief Imagination Officer Hacker Relations Manager Valuer of Intangible Assets * Human Interface Manager * * Exists 2003
Gap : Haves & Have Nots Gap : Haves & Have Nots Was - wealth $ Was - wealth $ Now - technology Now - technology
21 C Nature of Work Flexible Responsive Project based Team based One off alliances consortia Multi tasked Flat decision making Skill based leadership
21 C Nature of Employment New jobs created – 70% Contract work Part time Self employment Five Career changes in life Multi skilled employees Small businesses SOHO Increase low income jobs - service Increase in female jobs Work close to home / home based
Last 50 years : Next 50 years : masculine paradigm feminine paradigm respond to change envision, create change wealth driven values driven Thrivers : Then & Now
accept fate create destiny accept fate create destiny control facilitate do the thing right do the right thing work in the organisation work on the organisation work on the organisation Thrivers Last 50 years Next 50 years Thrivers Last 50 years Next 50 years
An example To create change : To create change : Last 50 years Next 50 years Last 50 years Next 50 years - by using fear - by using hope - by using fear - by using hope - use desperation - use inspiration - use desperation - use inspiration - go for win-lose - go for win-win - go for win-lose - go for win-win Thrivers Last 50 years Next 50 years
Worlds of DotComs & Ferals age age 0 – 15 age age 0 – 15 Moving faster Moving faster Speedier communication Speedier communication Global community Global community Virtual world preferred Virtual world preferred Value driven Value driven Innovating Innovating
Generations Generations Baby Boomers b 1945 – 60 age fewer females than males Generation X 1960 – largest number in population DotComs 1975 – 90 15– 30 first wired generation Ferals 1990 – smallest number - ½ of GenX
Generations Generations Baby Boomers The New Aged, confident they have the answers if only someone would ask the right questions. Generation X Uncertain what to do with themselves or their ageing parents. Old system not very appropriate; no apparent new options. Boomers won’t hand over reins. DotComs Boomers’ grandkids, busy connecting globally with no concerns about getting old. Assume innovations will offer untold new options for everything they need. Ferals No boundaries, no limits in time, space or distance. What they need they will create.
Trends BABY BOOMERS Trends BABY BOOMERS Married or divorced Empty nesters Retired or p-t work Identity from job Material status Downsizing their lives Set relationships Sense of community Travellers, homebodies Medium term planners Seek new IF safe experiences Security conscious Health conscious Defer to authority Love & hate change
Trends GEN X ERS Trends GEN X ERS Single Childless I.d. ephemeral, changing Global i.d., no commitment Short term planners Risk takers, fast decisions Mobile,, renters Mobile, nfa, renters Varied lifestyles, wired Multi careers, SOHO Net Dating Materialism assumed Environmental values Personal journey Defer to heroes Expect, accept change
Trends DOTCOMS Trends DOTCOMS Parental home Global I.d. No careers, own path I.d. from activity Group socialising Temporary pairing Wired Net relationships Immediacy Multi channeled, multi actions Non consumers Planetary group mission Temporary deference Need & welcome change
Trends FERALS Trends FERALS Parental home No patterns Unlimited channels Future jobs unimportant unimportant Global limitless relationships relationships Momentary relationships relationships Global i.d. & commitment commitment Very immediate & long t view I.d. from self values Non consumers, global values Wired into global village No deference, respect per need Live change Ignore all barriers
Teaching in Technology Age Michael Gurstein Tech & Educ Futurist Canada Teaching in Technology Age Michael Gurstein Tech & Educ Futurist Canada " to add a set of complex / conceptual skills to manage, construct, deconstruct information & knowledge at a conceptual level make sense of what we are doing with ITs control ITs and how they structure our relationships with others & with physical world. young developing skills spontaneously & intuitively. need to catch up or get out of their way or help them systematize what they sense. "
1. Linguistic : word smart IQ Tests 2. Logical-mathematical : number / reasoning smart 3. Spatial : picture smart New EQ 4. Bodily-Kinaesthetic : body smart 5. Musical : music smart 6. Interpersonal : people smart Required now 7. Intrapersonal : self smart Required now 8. Naturalist : nature smart Required now 1. Linguistic : word smart IQ Tests 2. Logical-mathematical : number / reasoning smart 3. Spatial : picture smart New EQ 4. Bodily-Kinaesthetic : body smart 5. Musical : music smart 6. Interpersonal : people smart Required now 7. Intrapersonal : self smart Required now 8. Naturalist : nature smart Required now Eight Multiple Intelligences Howard Gardner
SUMMARY Future Trends in Education Exponential change Technology is - drives all change Younger means faster everything Wired & multi - five? - channelled Young creating own world – new paradigm Young drive curricula Teachers as social mentors Teachers as resource guides Ready for biotech life ! Thank you