Running Scared from the Hill and at Home SOURCE: www.nationalatlas.gov.

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Presentation transcript:

Running Scared from the Hill and at Home SOURCE:

Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense The 10 th District of Illinois The Candidates The Campaign The Results SOURCE: Running Scared from the Hill and at Home

Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense The 10 th District of Illinois Race/Ethnicity 81.5% White 4.8% Black 7.1% Asian 14.2% Hispanic Occupation 75.9% White Collar 14.5% Blue Collar Median Income $81.5k in district $53.7k in state Partisanship Cook Political Report Partisan Voting Index, D Presidential Vote Kerry, +5 SOURCE:

Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense The Candidates: Incumbent Mark Kirk Occupation Attorney Political Experience Chief of staff to Congressman John Porter Assistant Secretary of State for Inter-American Affairs, U.S. Department of State First Elected 2000 Committees Appropriations Military Service Naval Reserves, present SOURCE: kirk.house.gov

Table 4.1 Congressional Vote Scores for Mark Kirk,

Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense Figure 1. Presidential Support Scores for Mark Kirk, the Average Scores of Illinois Republican Representatives, and Annually Averaged Presidential Approval Ratings,

Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense The Candidates: Challenger Dan Seals Occupation Presidential Management Intern, Director of Marketing, GE Commercial Finance, Political Experience Democratic nominee for Congress in 10 th District, 2006 (lost by 13,651 votes) SOURCE:

Table 4.2 Campaign Finance Data for Illinois 10 th District,

Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense The Campaign: The Polls

Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense The Campaign: Seasons of Change NOTE: Internet access required.

Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense The Campaign: Turned His Back NOTE: Internet access required.

Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense The Campaign: Same People NOTE: Internet access required.

Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense The Campaign: Just Say No NOTE: Internet access required.

Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense The Campaign: Partner Building Bush's Failed Economy NOTE: Internet access required.

Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense The Campaign: Illinois Needs A Change NOTE: Internet access required.

Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense The Campaign: Short Sighted NOTE: Internet access required.

Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense The Campaign: Double Speak NOTE: Internet access required. NOTE: No television ads produced by the Kirk campaign or the NRCC were available.

Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense The Campaign NOTE: Ads produced by the Kirk campaign or the NRCC were unavailable.

Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense The Results