Basic Definitions  TVM is one of the basics of any type of finance Used in security analysis to determine the value of an investment today, based upon.

Slides:



Advertisements
Similar presentations
McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2011 by the McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.
Advertisements

Risk, Return, and the Time Value of Money
Key Concepts and Skills
McGraw-Hill © 2004 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. McGraw-Hill/Irwin Introduction to Valuation: The Time Value of Money Chapter 4.
© 2003 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. Introduction to Valuation: The Time Value of Money (Calculators) Chapter Five.
Time Value of Money Time value of money: $1 received today is not the same as $1 received in the future. How do we equate cash flows received or paid at.
Introduction to Valuation: The Time Value of Money
Key Concepts and Skills
Chapter 5 Calculators Calculators Introduction to Valuation: The Time Value of Money McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2010 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc.
McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2008 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. 6 6 Calculators Discounted Cash Flow Valuation.
Multiple Cash Flows FV Example 1 continued
Chapter McGraw-Hill Ryerson © 2013 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited 5 Prepared by Anne Inglis Introduction to Valuation: The Time Value of Money.
Mathematics of Finance Solutions to the examples in this presentation are based on using a Texas Instruments BAII Plus Financial calculator.
McGraw-Hill/Irwin ©2001 The McGraw-Hill Companies All Rights Reserved Chapter 4 Introduction to Valuation: The Time Value of Money.
Chapter McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2006 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. 5 Introduction to Valuation: The Time Value of Money.
McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2008 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. 5 5 Calculators Introduction to Valuation: The Time Value of.
© 2003 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. Introduction to Valuation: The Time Value of Money Chapter Five.
Chapter 4 The Time Value of Money!.
Chapter McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2006 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. 5 Introduction to Valuation: The Time Value of Money.
5-0 Chapter 5: Outline Future Value and Compounding Present Value and Discounting More on Present and Future Values.
Chapter McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2006 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. 6 Discounted Cash Flow Valuation.
Chapter McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2006 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. 6 Discounted Cash Flow Valuation.
Time Value of Money P.V. Viswanath. 2 Key Concepts  Be able to compute the future value of an investment made today  Be able to compute the present.
4.0 Chapter 4 Introduction to Valuation: The Time Value of Money.
5.0 Chapter 5 Discounte d Cash Flow Valuation. 5.1 Key Concepts and Skills Be able to compute the future value of multiple cash flows Be able to compute.
5.0 Chapter 4 Time Value of Money: Valuing Cash Flows.
Discounted Cash Flow Valuation Chapter 4 Copyright © 2010 by the McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. McGraw-Hill/Irwin.
Multiple Cash Flows –Future Value Example
P.V. VISWANATH FOR A FIRST COURSE IN FINANCE 1. 2 NPV and IRR  How do we decide to invest in a project or not? Using the Annuity Formula  Valuing Mortgages.
5-1 McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2011 by the McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.
McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2011 by the McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.
4-1 McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2011 by the McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.
Introduction to Valuation: The Time Value of Money.
McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2008 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. 5 5 Calculators Introduction to Valuation: The Time Value of.
0 Chapter 6 Discounted Cash Flow Valuation 1 Chapter Outline Future and Present Values of Multiple Cash Flows Valuing Level Cash Flows: Annuities and.
6-1 July 14 Outline Multiple Cash Flows: Future and Present Values Multiple Equal Cash Flows: Annuities and Perpetuities.
McGraw-Hill © 2004 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. McGraw-Hill/Irwin 5.0 Future Values Suppose you invest $1000 for one year at 5%
Chapter 6 Calculators Calculators Discounted Cash Flow Valuation McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2010 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.
© 2003 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. Introduction to Valuation: The Time Value of Money (Calculators) Chapter Five.
© 2003 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. Introduction to Valuation: The Time Value of Money Chapter Five.
Chapter 4 The Time Value of Money
McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2014 by the McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.
CHAPTER 4 0 The Time Value of Money Omar Al Nasser, Ph.D. FINC 6352.
Finance 2009 Spring Chapter 4 Discounted Cash Flow Valuation.
McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2014 by the McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.
McGraw-Hill/Irwin ©2001 The McGraw-Hill Companies All Rights Reserved 5.0 Chapter 5 Discounte d Cash Flow Valuation.
Quick Quiz – Part 1 Suppose you are looking at the following possible cash flows: Year 1 CF = $100; Years 2 and 3 CFs = $200; Years 4 and 5 CFs = $300.
Introduction to valuation: The time value of money Chapter
5 5 Formulas 0 Introduction to Valuation: The Time Value of Money.
McGraw-Hill © 2004 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. McGraw-Hill/Irwin Discounted Cash Flow Valuation Chapter 5.
CHAPTER 5 INTRODUCTION TO VALUATION: THE TIME VALUE OF MONEY.
Chapter 4 Introduction to Valuation: The Time Value of Money 0.
Copyright © 2008 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. McGraw-Hill/Irwin 0 Chapter 4 Introduction to Valuation: The Time Value of Money.
© 2003 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. Discounted Cash Flow Valuation Chapter Six.
Lecture Outline Basic time value of money (TVM) relationship
Introduction to Valuation: The Time Value of Money Chapter 5 Copyright © 2013 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. McGraw-Hill/Irwin.
Chapter 5 Formulas Introduction to Valuation: The Time Value of Money McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2010 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights.
Time Value of Money Chapter 4. 2Barton College TVM on YouTube.
4-1 IMPORTANT: In order to view the correct calculator key stroke symbols within this PPT, you will need to follow the font installation directions on.
McGraw-Hill © 2004 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. McGraw-Hill/Irwin Introduction to Valuation: The Time Value of Money Chapter 4.
CHAPTER 5 INTRODUCTION TO VALUATION: TIME VALUE OF MONEY (CALCULATOR) Copyright © 2016 by McGraw-Hill Global Education LLC. All rights reserved.
Chapter 5 Time Value of Money. Basic Definitions Present Value – earlier money on a time line Future Value – later money on a time line Interest rate.
Introduction to Valuation: The Time Value of Money Net Present Value Internal Rate of Return.
Chapter 5 Introduction to Valuation: The Time Value of Money Copyright © 2012 by McGraw-Hill Education. All rights reserved.
Chapter 4 Lecture - Introduction to Valuation: The Time Value of Money
Chapter Outline Future Value and Compounding
Chapter 4 Introduction to Valuation: The Time Value of Money.
Discounted cash flow valuation
Introduction to Valuation: The Time Value of Money
Chapter 4 Introduction to Valuation: The Time Value of Money.
Presentation transcript:

Basic Definitions  TVM is one of the basics of any type of finance Used in security analysis to determine the value of an investment today, based upon its expected returns Also used to report returns, determine investment strategy Used in corporate finance extensively to assess potential projects and financing activities

Basic Definitions  Opportunity cost – the cost of foregone opportunities. I lend my friend $1000 for a year instead of investing it at 5%. My opportunity cost for being a good friend is $50.  Present Value – earlier money on a time line  Future Value – later money on a time line  Interest rate – “exchange rate” between earlier money and later money  Number – of compounding periods, can be years, months, days, weeks

TI BA II Plus  Almost every key has 2 functions  You can toggle between these functions using the 2 nd key  Primary functions are listed on the key, secondary are listed in white above the key  To access the secondary function, hit 2 nd and then the key  You will notice that when you press the 2 nd key, a small “2 nd ” symbol will appear in the upper left corner

TI BA II Plus – Clearing the memory  CE/C – clears the display  2 nd MEM 2 nd CLR Work – clears all 10 memory locations and the display  2 nd QUIT 2 nd CLR TVM – clears the TVM worksheet

TI BA II Adjustments  Factory setting is 12 I/Y – we want to start with annual compounding or 1 I/Y. Press 2 nd I/Y I enter 2 nd CPT  Changing decimal places 2 nd. (decimal point) # of digits enter I hit 2 nd,., 4, enter

Texas Instruments BA-II Plus Calculator Keys FV = future value PV = present value I/Y = period interest rate P/Y must equal 1 for the I/Y to be the period rate Interest is entered as a percent, not a decimal N = number of periods PMT = payment Remember to clear the registers (CLR TVM on TI) after each problem !

Steps to Solve Time Value of Money Problems  1. Read problem thoroughly  2. Determine which variable is missing A minimum of 3 are needed to solve  3. Create a time line  4.Determine if solution involves a single CF, annuity stream(s), or mixed flow  5. Solve the problem  6.Check your calculation

Inflows & out flows  The calculator is “smart”, but you must tell it the direction that funds are going  Each set-up problem, must have positive and negative cash flows.

Solving for FV  If you invest $1000 at 7% what will it be worth in 2 years ? What is the missing variable? What variables are given? What does the time line look like?

What is the FV of $1000 invested for 2 7%?  N:2 periods (enter as 2)  I/Y:7% interest rate per period (enter as 7 NOT.07)  PV:$1,000 (enter as negative as you have “less”)  PMT:Not relevant in this situation (enter as 0)  FV:Compute (Resulting answer is positive)  , ,144.90

FV example $10,000 5 years  Julie Miller wants to know how large her deposit of $10,000 today will become at a compound annual interest rate of 10% for 5 years????

Solution  The result indicates that a $10,000 investment that earns 10% annually for 5 years will result in a future value of $16,  Solving the FV Problem 5N5N5N5N  10 I/Y  -10,000 PV  0 PMT  CPT FV = $16,105.10

Future Value  Suppose your company expects to increase unit sales of widgets by 15% per year for the next 5 years. If you currently sell 3 million widgets in one year, how many widgets do you expect to sell in 5 years? 5 N 15 I/Y 3,000,000 PV CPT FV = -6,034,072 units (remember the sign convention)

Solving for PV $1,000 2 years.  Assume that you need $1,000 in 2 years. Let’s examine the process to determine how much you need to deposit today at a discount rate of 7% compounded annually.  1000 FV  2 N  7 I  CPT PV -$873.44

Present Value –Example  Suppose you need $10,000 in one year for the down payment on a new car. If you can earn 7% annually, how much do you need to invest today?  PV = 10,000 / (1.07) 1 =  Calculator 1 N 7 I/Y 10,000 FV CPT PV =

A Zero-coupon Bond  You can purchase a zero-coupon bond today for $200. It will mature for $1000 in 14 years. What rate of return will you earn if you buy this bond?  200 +/- PV  1000 FV  14 N  CPT I/Y %

Checking your solution  The best way to proof your solutions is to use your answer and solve for one of the given variables. In this case:  I/Y  14 N  1000 FV  CPT PV 200

Types of Annuities  What is an annuity?  Ordinary Annuity  Ordinary Annuity: Payments or receipts occur at the end of each period.  Annuity Due An Annuity  Annuity Due: Payments or receipts occur at the beginning of each period.An Annuity represents a series of equal payments (or receipts) occurring over a specified number of equidistant periods.

Adjusting calculator for beginning & end  The default setting is end ( or ordinary annuity)  To change to beginning (or annuity due) Hit 2 nd BGN 2 nd SET Good idea to always go back to END when you are done!

Annuity solution  Suppose you were offered an investment which will pay you $1000 per year for 10years. If you can earn a rate of 9% per year on investments of similar risk, how much should you be willing to pay for this annuity? What variable are we solving for? What have we been given? What does the time line look like?

Annuity example – car loan  You are going to buy a car for $35,000. You will make 48 monthly payments, with the first payment occurring TODAY. If the loan has an 8.5% APR, how much are your payments?

Annuity Solution – car loan  2 nd  BGN  2 nd  SET  PV  48 N  8.5/12 I/Y  CPT PMT $856.62

What if payments were due at the end of the month and NOT starting today?  What would the PMT be?  If you are making a payment, which option is better?  If you are receiving a payment which option is better?

Present Values – Example 2  You want to begin saving for your daughter’s college education and you estimate that she will need $150,000 in 17 years. If you feel confident that you can earn 8% per year, how much do you need to invest today? N = 17 I/Y = 8 FV = 150,000 CPT PV = -40, (remember the sign convention)

Present Values – Example  Your parents set up a trust fund for you 10 years ago that is now worth $19, If the fund earned 7% per year, how much did your parents invest? N = 10 I/Y = 7 FV = 19, CPT PV = -10,000

Present Value – Important Relationship !  For a given interest rate – the longer the time period, the lower the present value What is the present value of $500 to be received in 5 years? 10 years? The discount rate is 10% 5 years: N = 5; I/Y = 10; FV = 500 CPT PV = years: N = 10; I/Y = 10; FV = 500 CPT PV =

Present Value – Important Relationship !  For a given time period – the higher the interest rate, the smaller the present value What is the present value of $500 received in 5 years if the interest rate is 10%? 15%? Rate = 10%: N = 5; I/Y = 10; FV = 500 CPT PV = Rate = 15%; N = 5; I/Y = 15; FV = 500 CPT PV =

Quick Quiz  Suppose you need $15,000 in 3 years. If you can earn 6% annually, how much do you need to invest today?  If you could invest the money at 8%, would you have to invest more or less than at 6%? How much?

Solutions #1:  FV  3 N  6 I  CPT PV $12, #2: You would have to invest less – to be exact your investment was be $11, Just enter 8 I/Y and hit CPT PV

Discount Rate – Example  You are looking at an investment that will pay $1200 in 5 years if you invest $1000 today. What is the implied rate of interest? Calculator – the sign convention matters!!! N = 5 PV = (you pay 1000 today) FV = 1200 (you receive 1200 in 5 years) CPT I/Y = 3.714%

Discount Rate – Example  Suppose you are offered an investment that will allow you to double your money in 6 years. You have $10,000 to invest. What is the implied rate of interest? N = 6 PV = -10,000 FV = 20,000 CPT I/Y = 12.25%

Discount Rate – Example  Suppose you have a 1-year old son and you want to provide $75,000 in 17 years towards his college education. You currently have $5000 to invest. What interest rate must you earn to have the $75,000 when you need it? N = 17 PV = FV = 75,000 CPT I/Y = 17.27%

Number of Periods – Example  You want to purchase a new car and you are willing to pay $20,000. If you can invest at 10% per year and you currently have $15,000, how long will it be before you have enough money to pay cash for the car? I/Y = 10 PV = -15,000 FV = 20,000 CPT N = 3.02 years

Number of Periods – Example  Suppose you want to buy a new house. You currently have $15,000 and you figure you need to have a 10% down payment plus an additional 5% in closing costs. If the type of house you want costs about $150,000 and you can earn 7.5% per year, how long will it be before you have enough money for the down payment and closing costs?

Number of Periods – Example Continued  How much do you need to have in the future? Down payment =.1(150,000) = 15,000 Closing costs =.05(150,000 – 15,000) = 6,750 Total needed = 15, ,750 = 21,750  Compute the number of periods PV = -15,000 FV = 21,750 I/Y = 7.5 CPT N = 5.14 years

Quick Quiz  When might you want to compute the number of periods?  Suppose you want to buy some new furniture for your family room. You currently have $500 and the furniture you want costs $600. If you can earn 6%, how long will you have to wait if you don’t add any additional money?

QQ solution #1  For many reasons: At the rate I am saving, when can I retire? When can I afford to buy something at my current savings rate? # /+ PV 600 FV 6 I/y CPT N years

Solving the Frequency Problem (Quarterly)  The result indicates that a $1,000 investment that earns a 12% annual rate compounded quarterly for 2 years will earn a future value of $1, (Quarterly)  N  I/Y  PV  PMT  FV  Inputs: Compute 2(4) 12/4 -1,

Uneven cash flows  Solving for the IRR & NPV  Introducing the CF key  Hitting the CF key brings you into the CF^0 This is used for a lump sum at the beginning of a cash flow It is often “0” Sometimes a $ amount

Finding the PV of cash flows  If an investment has the following distributions and your required return is 10%, how much should you pay for the investment? AKA what is the NPV??  Year 1 - $50  Year 2 - $100  Year 3 - $150  Year 4 - $200

Solution  Step 1:PressCF key  Step 2:Press2 nd CLR Workkeys  Step 3: For CF0 Press0Enter  keys  Step 4: For C01 Press50Enter  keys  Step 5: For F01 Press1Enter  keys  Step 6: For C02 Press100Enter  keys  Step 7: For F02 Press1Enter  keys  Step 8: For C03 Press150Enter  keys  Step 9: For F03 Press1Enter  keys

 Step 10: For C04 Press400Enter  keys  Step 11: For F04 Press1Enter  keys  NPV 10 ENTER   CPT  DRUMROLL!……

Solution  NPV = $ So, this cash flow is worth $ today  Significance of NPV Positive result? You have earned more than your required return & the cash flow has a value today. Negative Result? You have earned less than your required return & the cash flow has no value today in fact, it has a negative value. Result = 0? You have earned exactly your required return. So, this is a toss up – the CF has a zero value today, but the cash flows will give you your required return over the life of the investment.

Calculating IRR Or “How much did I make?”  Assume we invest $1000 in a mutual fund and we expect to receive dividends in the future (uneven CF) of:  Yr 1- $300  Yr 2 - $400  Yr 3 - $200  Yr 4 - $600  What is our rate of return (ROR)?

IRR Solution  Step 1:PressCF key  Step 2:Press2 nd CLR Work keys  Step 3: For CF0 Press- 1,000Enter  keys  Step 4: For C01 Press300Enter  keys  Step 5: For F01 Press1Enter  keys  Step 6: For C02 Press400Enter  keys  Step 7: For F02 Press1Enter  keys  Step 8: For C03 Press200Enter  keys  Step 9: For F03 Press1Enter  keys

 Step 10: For C04 Press600Enter  keys  Step 11: For F04 Press1Enter  keys  IRR CPT %

If your required return is 8%, we can see that this investment would exceed that – but by how much? I/YR 8 ENTER   CPT  SOLUTION IS NPV, WHICH FURTHER CONFIRMS THAT THE INVESTMENT EXCEEDED OUR REQUIRED RETURN BY $220.50

Calculating IRR  You are going to receive $10,000 in one year, $20,000 in year two and year three and $40,000 in year four. If the interest rate is 9.25%, what is the PV of these cash flows?

Solution  CF^0 = 0  CF^1 =  CF^2 = 20,000 ( for 2 yrs, so FO2 = 2)  CF^3 = 40,000  NPV  9.25 ENTER   CPT  $69,326.38…this means that this investment has a value today of $69, based upon your required return of 9.25%.

Finding the IRR Joe invested $10,000 in a mutual fund He added $1000 in year 1 & 2 Rec’d a dividend of $300 in year 3 Sold the fund in year 4 for $13,300 What was his IRR??

Solution 0 = -10,000 1 = = = = + 13,300 IRR CPT %

Congratulations!!! You have completed the tutorial and are on your way to being a TVM guru!! Please contact your instructor with any questions you might have. Best of luck !!!