Intro By the Numbers: Snapshot of Arizona’s Postsecondary Education System Arizona Postsecondary Commission Phoenix, Arizona November 8, 2007 Tom Mortenson Senior Scholar The Pell Institute for the Study of Opportunity in Higher Education Higher Education Policy Analyst Postsecondary Education OPPORTUNITY

The Human Capital Economy Since about 1973 incomes in the U.S. economy have been redistributed according to educational attainment--away from those with least formal education and toward those with the most formal education. This finding holds for individuals, families, cities and states. Beginning about 2000 the world became flat and global competition moved beyond blue collar to white collar jobs as well. Also about 2000 the higher educational attainment advantage of the U.S. workforce began to erode. Other countries are quickly moving past the U.S. in higher educating young adults entering their workforces. Postsecondary Education OPPORTUNITY Arizona Postsecondary Commission – November 8, 2007 – Phoenix, AZ

State Poverty Rates Postsecondary Education OPPORTUNITY Arizona Postsecondary Commission – November 8, 2007 – Phoenix, AZ

State Employed/Population Ratio Postsecondary Education OPPORTUNITY Arizona Postsecondary Commission – November 8, 2007 – Phoenix, AZ

State Per Capita Personal Income Postsecondary Education OPPORTUNITY Arizona Postsecondary Commission – November 8, 2007 – Phoenix, AZ

State Median Household Income Postsecondary Education OPPORTUNITY Arizona Postsecondary Commission – November 8, 2007 – Phoenix, AZ

Arizona High school graduation College continuation College participation by age 19 Interstate freshmen migration Low income college participation State tax fund apprpriations Postsecondary Education OPPORTUNITY Arizona Postsecondary Commission – November 8, 2007 – Phoenix, AZ

State Appropriations FY2007 Postsecondary Education OPPORTUNITY Arizona Postsecondary Commission – November 8, 2007 – Phoenix, AZ

Appropriations Change: 1980 to 2007 Postsecondary Education OPPORTUNITY Arizona Postsecondary Commission – November 8, 2007 – Phoenix, AZ

Three Forces of Change: 1. Economic change 2. Demographic change 3. Global competition Three forces of change Postsecondary Education OPPORTUNITY Arizona Postsecondary Commission – November 8, 2007 – Phoenix, AZ

1. The Changing World of Work Employment by Industry Income by Education 1. Changing World of Work Postsecondary Education OPPORTUNITY Arizona Postsecondary Commission – November 8, 2007 – Phoenix, AZ

Total Employment Postsecondary Education OPPORTUNITY Arizona Postsecondary Commission – November 8, 2007 – Phoenix, AZ

Distribution of Employment Postsecondary Education OPPORTUNITY Arizona Postsecondary Commission – November 8, 2007 – Phoenix, AZ

Goods Producing Employment Postsecondary Education OPPORTUNITY Arizona Postsecondary Commission – November 8, 2007 – Phoenix, AZ

Service Providing Employment Postsecondary Education OPPORTUNITY Arizona Postsecondary Commission – November 8, 2007 – Phoenix, AZ

Government Employment Postsecondary Education OPPORTUNITY Arizona Postsecondary Commission – November 8, 2007 – Phoenix, AZ

Median Annual Male Income Postsecondary Education OPPORTUNITY Arizona Postsecondary Commission – November 8, 2007 – Phoenix, AZ

Income by Education for Males Postsecondary Education OPPORTUNITY Arizona Postsecondary Commission – November 8, 2007 – Phoenix, AZ

Changes in Income by Education for Males Postsecondary Education OPPORTUNITY Arizona Postsecondary Commission – November 8, 2007 – Phoenix, AZ

Median Annual Female Income Postsecondary Education OPPORTUNITY Arizona Postsecondary Commission – November 8, 2007 – Phoenix, AZ

Income by Education for Females Postsecondary Education OPPORTUNITY Arizona Postsecondary Commission – November 8, 2007 – Phoenix, AZ

Changes in Income by Educ for Females Postsecondary Education OPPORTUNITY Arizona Postsecondary Commission – November 8, 2007 – Phoenix, AZ

2. Demographic Change Demographic structure Shift from white to minority Shift from higher income to lower income students Postsecondary Education OPPORTUNITY Arizona Postsecondary Commission – November 8, 2007 – Phoenix, AZ

Demographic Structure of Higher Educ Postsecondary Education OPPORTUNITY Arizona Postsecondary Commission – November 8, 2007 – Phoenix, AZ

White High School Graduate Share Postsecondary Education OPPORTUNITY Arizona Postsecondary Commission – November 8, 2007 – Phoenix, AZ

White High School Graduate Numbers Postsecondary Education OPPORTUNITY Arizona Postsecondary Commission – November 8, 2007 – Phoenix, AZ

Minority High School Graduate Numbers Postsecondary Education OPPORTUNITY Arizona Postsecondary Commission – November 8, 2007 – Phoenix, AZ

K-12 Enrollment Approved for Subsidized School Lunches Postsecondary Education OPPORTUNITY Arizona Postsecondary Commission – November 8, 2007 – Phoenix, AZ

3. Global Competition in Education 25 to 34 Year Olds with Bachelor’s Degrees: 1998: U.S. tied for 1 st 2002: U.S. 2 nd 2004: U.S. 5 th 2005: U.S. 7 th 2020 (projected): 19 th Postsecondary Education OPPORTUNITY Arizona Postsecondary Commission – November 8, 2007 – Phoenix, AZ

61.N148FG12 Postsecondary Education OPPORTUNITY Arizona Postsecondary Commission – November 8, 2007 – Phoenix, AZ

Bachelor Degree Attainment Postsecondary Education OPPORTUNITY Arizona Postsecondary Commission – November 8, 2007 – Phoenix, AZ

Change in Bachelor Degree Attainment Postsecondary Education OPPORTUNITY Arizona Postsecondary Commission – November 8, 2007 – Phoenix, AZ

Flagship University Tuition & Fees Postsecondary Education OPPORTUNITY Arizona Postsecondary Commission – November 8, 2007 – Phoenix, AZ

Comprehensive Coll & Univ T&F Postsecondary Education OPPORTUNITY Arizona Postsecondary Commission – November 8, 2007 – Phoenix, AZ

Community College Tuition & Fees Postsecondary Education OPPORTUNITY Arizona Postsecondary Commission – November 8, 2007 – Phoenix, AZ

www. postsecondary.org Resources Resources: Postsecondary Education OPPORTUNITY Arizona Postsecondary Commission – November 8, 2007 – Phoenix, AZ