Management Unit of the North Sea Mathematical Models MUMM | BMM | UGMM A new Tricolor: are we prepared? Valérie Dulière Our seas.

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Presentation transcript:

Management Unit of the North Sea Mathematical Models MUMM | BMM | UGMM A new Tricolor: are we prepared? Valérie Dulière Our seas of tomorrow, Brussels 2012

Management Unit of the North Sea Mathematical Models MUMM | BMM | UGMM Erika (1999) Our seas of tomorrow, Brussels 2012

Management Unit of the North Sea Mathematical Models MUMM | BMM | UGMM Prestige (2002) Our seas of tomorrow, Brussels 2012

Management Unit of the North Sea Mathematical Models MUMM | BMM | UGMM Source : US Coast Guards DeepWater Horizon (2010) Our seas of tomorrow, Brussels 2012

Management Unit of the North Sea Mathematical Models MUMM | BMM | UGMM Source : ESA In Belgium? Our seas of tomorrow, Brussels  20 oil pollution accidents

Management Unit of the North Sea Mathematical Models MUMM | BMM | UGMM Tricolor ( ) Our seas of tomorrow, Brussels 2012 > 500 tons of heavy fuel oiled birds

Management Unit of the North Sea Mathematical Models MUMM | BMM | UGMM Our seas of tomorrow, Brussels 2012 What is at stake?

Management Unit of the North Sea Mathematical Models MUMM | BMM | UGMM We have a lot to loose! Our seas of tomorrow, Brussels 2012  We need to be  We need to be prepared For what? To limit the damage How? By being able to take quick and efficient actions!

Management Unit of the North Sea Mathematical Models MUMM | BMM | UGMM Our seas of tomorrow, Brussels Notification

Management Unit of the North Sea Mathematical Models MUMM | BMM | UGMM Our seas of tomorrow, Brussels Notification 2.Evaluation

Management Unit of the North Sea Mathematical Models MUMM | BMM | UGMM Our seas of tomorrow, Brussels Notification 2.Evaluation 3.Decision

Management Unit of the North Sea Mathematical Models MUMM | BMM | UGMM Our seas of tomorrow, Brussels Notification 2.Evaluation 3.Decision 4.Operations

Management Unit of the North Sea Mathematical Models MUMM | BMM | UGMM 1.The national response structure Our seas of tomorrow, Brussels 2012 A new Tricolor: are we prepared?

Management Unit of the North Sea Mathematical Models MUMM | BMM | UGMM Need for adequate planning and preparedness Our seas of tomorrow, Brussels 2012 Assessment of the risk Assessment of the risk Response strategy Response strategy Appropriate ready-to-use equipment Appropriate ready-to-use equipment Well organized and clear structure Well organized and clear structure Man power Man power Exercise drills Exercise drills International and regional agreements International and regional agreements  Planning and preparedness are better than ever!

Management Unit of the North Sea Mathematical Models MUMM | BMM | UGMM Our seas of tomorrow, Brussels 2012

Management Unit of the North Sea Mathematical Models MUMM | BMM | UGMM 1.The national response structure 2.MUMM Our seas of tomorrow, Brussels 2012 A new Tricolor: are we prepared?

Management Unit of the North Sea Mathematical Models MUMM | BMM | UGMM Role and responsibilities of MUMM in case of a major oil spill Our seas of tomorrow, Brussels 2012 Aerial surveillance Oil spill behavior and fate Monitoring Scientific expertise on Toxicity and effectToxicity and effect Sensitivity of the marine environment and coastal areasSensitivity of the marine environment and coastal areas Beached animalsBeached animals Decision on dispersant use  MUMM is more prepared than ever!

Management Unit of the North Sea Mathematical Models MUMM | BMM | UGMM 1.The national response structure 2.MUMM 3.MUMM’s oil spill model Our seas of tomorrow, Brussels 2012 A new Tricolor: are we prepared?

Management Unit of the North Sea Mathematical Models MUMM | BMM | UGMM Our seas of tomorrow, Brussels 2012 Each oil spill situation is UNIQUE! source :

Management Unit of the North Sea Mathematical Models MUMM | BMM | UGMM Our seas of tomorrow, Brussels 2012 MUMM’s oil spill model

Management Unit of the North Sea Mathematical Models MUMM | BMM | UGMM OSERIT, a new response tool Our seas of tomorrow, Brussels D oil spill drift and fate model Includes all the main oil processes Uses the latest 3D met-ocean forecasts Automatically generates maps and charts! A web-interface new

Management Unit of the North Sea Mathematical Models MUMM | BMM | UGMM Our seas of tomorrow, Brussels 2012 Maintain our level of preparednessMaintain our level of preparedness Further contingency planningFurther contingency planning Test model as we use it and further developmentTest model as we use it and further development Risk planning for 1000 m³ (not 3000 m³ as recommended)Risk planning for 1000 m³ (not 3000 m³ as recommended) No dedicated response vessel on stand-byNo dedicated response vessel on stand-by Bottleneck of waste disposalBottleneck of waste disposal Conclusions : We are better prepared than ever but

Management Unit of the North Sea Mathematical Models MUMM | BMM | UGMM Our seas of tomorrow, Brussels 2012 The Flaminia : Real test-case and upcoming challenges

Management Unit of the North Sea Mathematical Models MUMM | BMM | UGMM Our seas of tomorrow, Brussels 2012 The Flaminia : Real test-case and upcoming challenges

Management Unit of the North Sea Mathematical Models MUMM | BMM | UGMM Our seas of tomorrow, Brussels 2012 The best way to limit the damage is to avoid the spill! Our seas of tomorrow

Management Unit of the North Sea Mathematical Models MUMM | BMM | UGMM Our seas of tomorrow, Brussels 2012 Our seas of tomorrow

Management Unit of the North Sea Mathematical Models MUMM | BMM | UGMM Our seas of tomorrow, Brussels 2012 Our seas of tomorrow

Management Unit of the North Sea Mathematical Models MUMM | BMM | UGMM Many thanks to Geneviève Lacroix, Ruth Lagring, Sébastien Legrand, Patrick Luyten, Sigrid Maebe, Fabrice Ovidio, José Ozer, Patrick Roose, Ronny Schallier, Serge Scory, Dimitry Van Der Zande, Quinten Vanhellemont, Ward Van Roy, Laurence Vigin, Jean-Pierre Vogt and… Georges Pichot Our seas of tomorrow, Brussels 2012