Market Data ASHRAE May, 7 2009 Keith Stippich. Global Energy Consumption Global Energy Consumption 2005-2010 (+10.9% overall increase) 400 350 50 0 300.

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Presentation transcript:

Market Data ASHRAE May, Keith Stippich

Global Energy Consumption Global Energy Consumption (+10.9% overall increase) US and CanadaWesternRussiaOther Europe Midddle EastAfricaLatin AmericaChinaIndiaJapan/KoreaOtherTotal EuropeAsia/Australia Source: US Department of Energy – Buildings Data Energy Handbook

US Energy Consumption US Building Energy Consumption Cost 2010 Total US Energy Consumption 2010Direct Site Only (-50% of Total) (-20% of GDP)Total: $415B Transportation 28% Industry 32% Residential Buildings 22% Commercial Buildings 18% Non-Identifiable $ B 25% Other Identifiable $1 35.5B 33% HVAC Identifiable $177.4B 42% Source: US Department of Energy – Buildings Data Energy Handbook

Construction Data US-Non Residential Construction Value put-in-place - Annualized Monthly Census data Jan Apr Jul Oct Jan Apr Jul Oct Jan Apr Jul Oct Jan Apr Jul Oct Jan USD(M)YOY Growth 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% -5% -10% -15% -20% -25% Source: US Census Bureau

US Construction Stimulus? -10% -20% -30% -40% 20% 30% 10% Source: US Census Bureau 0% Jan Apr Jul Oct Jan Apr Jul Oct Jan Apr Jul Oct Jan Apr Jul Oct Jan Public vs Private Annualized Commercial Construction Growth (Put-in-Place) Public: 38% of Total (Dec2009)Private: 61% of Total (Dec2009)

Stimulus Infrastructure Spending Only $20B paid out in first year, which includes non building projects (highways, trains, levees)

US Non-Residential Construction Awards US Non-Residential Contruction Awards - Total 40% % 20% 10% 0% -10% -20% -30% -40% Values Surface 2009/2010 forecasts are down ~20% from Feb 2009, but stable since Nov 2009 Sour e: McGr w-Hill Feb 0 Source: McGraw-Hill, Feb %

US Non-Residential Construction Awards US Non Residential Construction Awards 2008, 2009, CommercialOfficesLodgingOtherSchoolsHealthcareRecreationGovernmentReligiousDormitories Manufacturing Warehousing Total award growth rates: 1.5% (2008), -30.4% (2009), -1.2% (2010) Source: McGraw-Hill, Feb 10

Construction Data Forecast vs. Completions Institutional Construction Awards vs Completed Correlation 15% 10% 5% 0% % -10% Completed Construction (CB)Two Year Award Avg (Current/Prior) Sources: US Census Bureau, McGraw-Hill

Construction Data Forecast vs. Completions Commercial Construction Awards vs Completed Correlation % 30% 20% 10% 0% -10% -20% -30% -40% Completed Construction (CB)Two Year Award Avg (Current/Prior) Sources: US Census Bureau, McGraw-Hill

US Non-Residential Construction % 80% Improvements/Repair 60% 40% New Construction 20% 0% Source: DOE - Building Energy Data Book, October 2009

Thank You

Major Change is in the Air

Modeling Existing Buildings

Energy Pro Design and DOE -2 Output Report page 3 &4 The VRF Central Equipment Module(s) are selected from the Energy Pro data base and adjusted to meet loads from the zones. The zones are also selected from the data base to meet the zone heating & cooling loads

Energy Pro Design and DOE -2 Output Report page 5 & DOE-2 energy reports ECON-1 Energy use and cost summary

Energy Pro Design and DOE -2 Output Report pages 6 thru 8 HVAC System Heating & Cooling load summary

Energy Pro Design and DOE -2 Output Report page DOE-2 Performance Reports DOE-2 VRF System Performance The VRF Central Equipment Module(s) are selected from the Energy Pro data base and adjusted to meet loads from the zones. The auxiliary heat shown here and on Econ-1 is due to setback in January and setback should be reduced in the cold winter months

The End