The Perfect Talent Storm: Implications for Talent Stewards Phil Jarvis National LifeWork Centre The Perfect Talent Storm Implications for Talent Stewards

The Perfect Talent Storm: Implications for Talent Stewards 1 Aging Population 2 Upskilling of Jobs 3 Unprepared Workforce Storm Warnings 3 Converging Megatrends

The Perfect Talent Storm: Implications for Talent Stewards 1 Aging Population Predictable Demographics 1 Aging Population Predictable Demographics Birth rate declining since 1967 Marriage & childbirth later, fewer children Boomers who can are retiring ( ) Labour force participation rate declining Immigration can’t offset natural decline Birth rate declining since 1967 Marriage & childbirth later, fewer children Boomers who can are retiring ( ) Labour force participation rate declining Immigration can’t offset natural decline

The Perfect Talent Storm: Implications for Talent Stewards Percent of Canadian Population Years of Age Percent of Canadian Population Years of Age

The Perfect Talent Storm: Implications for Talent Stewards , ,080, ,800, ,400, ,000, , ,080, ,800, ,400, ,000,000 Projected Worker Shortfall Rick Miner, February 2010, People Without Jobs, Jobs Without People Immigration 2009 – 250,000 (family, credentials, competition) Under-represented - poor, aboriginals, women, disabled Immigration 2009 – 250,000 (family, credentials, competition) Under-represented - poor, aboriginals, women, disabled

The Perfect Talent Storm: Implications for Talent Stewards 2 Upskilling of Jobs Accelerating Knowledge Economy 2 Upskilling of Jobs Accelerating Knowledge Economy Rick Miner, February 2010, People Without Jobs, Jobs Without People

The Perfect Talent Storm: Implications for Talent Stewards New & Changing Jobs There has never been a better time to plan a career! New & Changing Jobs There has never been a better time to plan a career! Nano-mechanic Old age wellness manager Old age wellness manager Memory augmentation surgeon Memory augmentation surgeon Weather modification police Weather modification police Waste data handler Waste data handler Social networking worker Social networking worker Personal brander/communications advisor Personal brander/communications advisor Stem cell bank manager Stem cell bank manager Adam Gordon, August 2009, Jobs of the Future, Science and Technology Enabled Employment Nano-mechanic Old age wellness manager Old age wellness manager Memory augmentation surgeon Memory augmentation surgeon Weather modification police Weather modification police Waste data handler Waste data handler Social networking worker Social networking worker Personal brander/communications advisor Personal brander/communications advisor Stem cell bank manager Stem cell bank manager Adam Gordon, August 2009, Jobs of the Future, Science and Technology Enabled Employment

The Perfect Talent Storm: Implications for Talent Stewards 3 Unprepared Workforce Education System, Employers 3 Unprepared Workforce Education System, Employers The Talent Pipeline

The Perfect Talent Storm: Implications for Talent Stewards HS graduation rate 68% (Miner, 2010, People Without Jobs, Jobs Without People) 60% of HS grads (41%) register for postsecondary (King, 2009, Who Doesn’t Go To Post-Secondary Education?) 25% of post-secondary students dropout by the end of the first year and a similar percent change programs or majors (Miner, 2010, People Without Jobs, Jobs Without People) 60% of those who register in post-sec programs eventually graduate (Parkin, Baldwin, 2009, Research Note #8, Persistence in Post-Secondary Education in Canada: The Latest Research, Millenium Scholarships) HS graduation rate 68% (Miner, 2010, People Without Jobs, Jobs Without People) 60% of HS grads (41%) register for postsecondary (King, 2009, Who Doesn’t Go To Post-Secondary Education?) 25% of post-secondary students dropout by the end of the first year and a similar percent change programs or majors (Miner, 2010, People Without Jobs, Jobs Without People) 60% of those who register in post-sec programs eventually graduate (Parkin, Baldwin, 2009, Research Note #8, Persistence in Post-Secondary Education in Canada: The Latest Research, Millenium Scholarships) The Pipeline Leaks

The Perfect Talent Storm: Implications for Talent Stewards Of 100 students that enter the pipeline (talent supply chain) in grade 9 each year: 26 graduate on schedule from post- secondary degree, diploma and certificate programs 50% are not in jobs directly related to their majors 2 years after graduation 70% of adults would seek more career information if they could start over Of 100 students that enter the pipeline (talent supply chain) in grade 9 each year: 26 graduate on schedule from post- secondary degree, diploma and certificate programs 50% are not in jobs directly related to their majors 2 years after graduation 70% of adults would seek more career information if they could start over End of the Pipeline (Jarvis, 2010, Connecting Talent and Opportunity: Canada’s Foremost Economic and Social Challenge ) (Jarvis, 2010, Connecting Talent and Opportunity: Canada’s Foremost Economic and Social Challenge )

The Perfect Talent Storm: Implications for Talent Stewards Economic Consequences 1% Improvement Economic Consequences 1% Improvement Productivity$ 13 Billion Education$.9 Billion Health$1.1 Billion Social Services$1.5 Billion Protection, Prisons$.43 Billion Government Revenues$5.9 Billion TOTAL $ 23 Billion Not to mention human costs Productivity$ 13 Billion Education$.9 Billion Health$1.1 Billion Social Services$1.5 Billion Protection, Prisons$.43 Billion Government Revenues$5.9 Billion TOTAL $ 23 Billion Not to mention human costs

The Perfect Talent Storm: Implications for Talent Stewards ConclusionConclusion As an economic and social imperative, we must do a much better job of preparing citizens of all ages to prosper in the 21 st century knowledge economy. A new paradigm of career and workforce development is required.

The Perfect Talent Storm: Implications for Talent Stewards Choosing Occupation Work Information Lists Choosing Occupation Work Information Lists Career Navigation Paradigm Shift Career Navigation Paradigm Shift Learning Skills Life Imagination Introductions Learning Skills Life Imagination Introductions

The Perfect Talent Storm: Implications for Talent Stewards EDUCATORS Myth of career guidance for all Myth of career guidance for all All teachers need to buy into All teachers need to buy into the new career paradigm the new career paradigm Relevance - “rich tasks” Relevance - “rich tasks” Essential Skills, Blueprint for Essential Skills, Blueprint for LifeWork Designs, Character LifeWork Designs, CharacterEDUCATORS Myth of career guidance for all Myth of career guidance for all All teachers need to buy into All teachers need to buy into the new career paradigm the new career paradigm Relevance - “rich tasks” Relevance - “rich tasks” Essential Skills, Blueprint for Essential Skills, Blueprint for LifeWork Designs, Character LifeWork Designs, Character Implications for Talent Stewards

The Perfect Talent Storm: Implications for Talent Stewards Play is Learning Our school system is based largely on conditioning rather than learning. The only way children can learn is through what adults interpret as play. This is why students retain so little of what they are taught in school. (Children retain 3-5% of curriculum - Carnegie Foundation).

The Perfect Talent Storm: Implications for Talent Stewards Play is Learning Our school system is based largely on conditioning rather than learning. The only way children can learn is through what adults interpret as play. This is why students retain so little of what they are taught in school. (Children retain 3-5% of curriculum - Carnegie Foundation). What is learned in a state of play becomes a permanent neural pattern in the brain. It is never lost. If we recognized the direct correspondence between play and learning, and the dramatic difference between learning and conditioning, schooling would vastly more successful. John Chilton Pearce, Michael Mendizza Touch the Future (

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The Perfect Talent Storm: Implications for Talent Stewards students-via-mental-time-travel-15122/ New research demonstrates a link between schoolwork, grades and the vision students have of themselves as happy, successful adults. ImaginationImagination

The Perfect Talent Storm: Implications for Talent Stewards Career Educators More opportunities than ever for those with 21st century skills! 21st century skills! Don’t need to find the perfect career. Make Don’t need to find the perfect career. Make good choices, do your best (15+), move if good choices, do your best (15+), move if need be. need be. New career possibilities emerging daily New career possibilities emerging daily Knowledge of authentic self (compass) Knowledge of authentic self (compass) Lifelong commitment to education & skills Lifelong commitment to education & skills Emotional intelligence, attitudes, character Emotional intelligence, attitudes, character Financial literacy Financial literacy More opportunities than ever for those with 21st century skills! 21st century skills! Don’t need to find the perfect career. Make Don’t need to find the perfect career. Make good choices, do your best (15+), move if good choices, do your best (15+), move if need be. need be. New career possibilities emerging daily New career possibilities emerging daily Knowledge of authentic self (compass) Knowledge of authentic self (compass) Lifelong commitment to education & skills Lifelong commitment to education & skills Emotional intelligence, attitudes, character Emotional intelligence, attitudes, character Financial literacy Financial literacy

The Perfect Talent Storm: Implications for Talent Stewards EMPLOYERS Sports metaphor Sports metaphor Get involved in education Get involved in education Stocking the local pond Stocking the local pond Training & career management Training & career managementEMPLOYERS Sports metaphor Sports metaphor Get involved in education Get involved in education Stocking the local pond Stocking the local pond Training & career management Training & career management Implications for Talent Stewards

The Perfect Talent Storm: Implications for Talent Stewards PARENTS Be a good role model Be a good role model Get engaged and inform Get engaged and inform Know and support the dreams Know and support the dreams Help make connections Help make connections Set expectations high Set expectations highPARENTS Be a good role model Be a good role model Get engaged and inform Get engaged and inform Know and support the dreams Know and support the dreams Help make connections Help make connections Set expectations high Set expectations high Implications for Talent Stewards

The Perfect Talent Storm: Implications for Talent Stewards COMMUNITY Industry education councils Industry education councils Service clubs Service clubs Volunteering, service learning Volunteering, service learning Networking, making connections Networking, making connections Engaged citizenship Engaged citizenshipCOMMUNITY Industry education councils Industry education councils Service clubs Service clubs Volunteering, service learning Volunteering, service learning Networking, making connections Networking, making connections Engaged citizenship Engaged citizenship Implications for Talent Stewards

The Perfect Talent Storm: Implications for Talent Stewards Roger’s Story Bright, but hated school Bright, but hated school Couldn’t wait for school day to end to drop Couldn’t wait for school day to end to drop another transmission another transmission F4K, Career Cruising, Real Game F4K, Career Cruising, Real Game Electronic postcard connection Electronic postcard connection John Deere (mentorship, job shadowing, John Deere (mentorship, job shadowing, summer jobs) summer jobs)

The Perfect Talent Storm: Implications for Talent Stewards Roger’s Story Bright, but hated school Bright, but hated school Couldn’t wait for school day to end to drop Couldn’t wait for school day to end to drop another transmission another transmission F4K, Career Cruising, Real Game F4K, Career Cruising, Real Game Electronic postcard connection Electronic postcard connection John Deere (mentorship, job shadowing, John Deere (mentorship, job shadowing, summer jobs) summer jobs) Happy Ending John Deere paid full tuition for 2-year Small Engine Repair course at Community College then hired Roger, student loan free.

The Perfect Talent Storm: Implications for Talent Stewards The Perfect Talent Storm The Perfect Talent Storm There’s no avoiding this storm … but: There have never been so many rewarding There have never been so many rewarding career opportunities to choose from. career opportunities to choose from. Individuals, companies & communities with Individuals, companies & communities with 21 st century skills will weather the storm and 21 st century skills will weather the storm and prosper. prosper. Those with inadequate skills and networks Those with inadequate skills and networks will be the storm’s victims. will be the storm’s victims. There’s no avoiding this storm … but: There have never been so many rewarding There have never been so many rewarding career opportunities to choose from. career opportunities to choose from. Individuals, companies & communities with Individuals, companies & communities with 21 st century skills will weather the storm and 21 st century skills will weather the storm and prosper. prosper. Those with inadequate skills and networks Those with inadequate skills and networks will be the storm’s victims. will be the storm’s victims.

The Perfect Talent Storm: Implications for Talent Stewards National LifeWork Centre www.lifework.ca The Perfect Talent Storm Implications for Talent Stewards