Fair Winds Calm Seas & Sunny Skies Future Trends For LG 2020 2006 Annual LGMA Conference Esplanade Hotel 27 October 2006 Fremantle WA Fair Winds Calm Seas & Sunny Skies Future Trends For LG 2020 Annimac / Anni Macbeth Futurist & Trend Forecaster www.annimac.com.au

Smooth sailing through 2020 It’s not what happens but how you deal with what happens that makes a successful journey 27 October 2006 www.annimac.com.au

Successful Navigation LG survive the rough seas identify the best destination chart the best course thrive on the journey 27 October 2006 www.annimac.com.au

Few Stormy Squalls Ahead speed of all change Peak Oil climate change demographic pressures shifting politico economic values 27 October 2006 www.annimac.com.au

Squalls are creating for LG diversity of client demands changing role of governance 27 October 2006 www.annimac.com.au

Decisions decisions decisions … 27 October 2006 www.annimac.com.au

Navigating the Challenges speed of all change Peak Oil climate change demographic pressures shifting politico economic values 27 October 2006 www.annimac.com.au

Speed of Change Navigating the Challenges 1 : Exponential Amount of change in 1 day grandparents had in 1 year Younger means faster 27 October 2006 www.annimac.com.au

I’m never having kids. I hear they take nine months to download. 27 October 2006 www.annimac.com.au

Driving all Change : Technology Navigating the Challenge 1 : Speed of Change Driving all Change : Technology By 2020 70 % of job types then do not exist now because 27 October 2006 www.annimac.com.au

Navigating the Challenge 1 : Speed of Change By 2020 80 % technology then not imagined yet 27 October 2006 www.annimac.com.au

Imagine what those jobs in LG might be . . . Navigating the Challenge 1 : Speed of Change Imagine what those jobs in LG might be . . . 27 October 2006 www.annimac.com.au

Your future receptionist ? Japanese Robanoid 2006 27 October 2006 www.annimac.com.au

Likely jobs in next 15 years ? Navigating the Challenge 1 : Speed of Change Likely jobs in next 15 years ? Director of Neighbour Relations Virtual Parks Manager Planner of Nano Environment Chief Imagination Officer Hacker Relations Manager Virtual Information Librarian Director of Emerging Thought Holographic Traffic Manager 27 October 2006 www.annimac.com.au

Technology 27 October 2006 www.annimac.com.au

Navigating the Challenges speed of all change Peak Oil climate change demographic pressures shifting political economic values 27 October 2006 www.annimac.com.au

Cost of fuel 27 October 2006 www.annimac.com.au

Navigating the Challenges 2 : Peak Oil Peak Oil - oil depletion When demand for oil exceeds supply industry experts say by 2010 - 2014 max range by 2007 - 2020 27 October 2006 www.annimac.com.au

Peak Oil - depletion forecasts Navigating the Challenges 2 : Peak Oil Peak Oil - depletion forecasts 27 October 2006 www.annimac.com.au

LG can lead by example Downsize energy use Localise - self sufficiency Navigating the Challenges 2 : Peak Oil LG can lead by example Downsize energy use Localise - self sufficiency - trade & barter Innovate - population migration - sea/tree changers - bio/passive fuels 27 October 2006 www.annimac.com.au

Hybrid Electric Diesel Bus 27 October 2006 www.annimac.com.au

Solar Thermal Energy Production Woking UK 27 October 2006 www.annimac.com.au

Navigating the Challenges speed of all change Peak Oil climate change demographic pressures shifting political economic values 27 October 2006 www.annimac.com.au

Trends of Climate Change Navigating the Challenges 3 : Climate Change Trends of Climate Change Global warming : +2° - +4° Changing rainfall : “ Eastern desert moving West Coastal tropics moving South ” 27 October 2006 www.annimac.com.au

Calling for Help 27 October 2006 www.annimac.com.au

LG can lead the way Adapt planning schemes Diversity rural zoning Navigating the Challenges 3 : Climate Change LG can lead the way Adapt planning schemes Diversity rural zoning Innovate agri biz Waterwise incentives 27 October 2006 www.annimac.com.au

Navigating the Challenges speed of all change Peak Oil climate change demographic pressures shifting political economic values 27 October 2006 www.annimac.com.au

Sea / Tree changers ? 27 October 2006 www.annimac.com.au

Demographic Changes Trends in Rural WA Farming communities downsizing Navigating the Challenges 4 : Demographic Pressures Demographic Changes Trends in Rural WA Farming communities downsizing Family farms corporatising Urban encroachment Ageing population Succession : youth issues Women as farm biz managers Slow uptake : tech & knowledge Sea / tree change 27 October 2006 www.annimac.com.au

Generational gap 27 October 2006 www.annimac.com.au

Generational Differences Navigating the Challenges 4 : Demographic Pressures Generational Differences Gaps widening - technology driven Baby Boomers 45-60 not handing over Gen X 30-40 frustrated Me journeys DotComs 15-30 choosing virtual world Ferals -15 driving major change 27 October 2006 www.annimac.com.au

New client demands 27 October 2006 www.annimac.com.au

Clients’ Changing Demands Navigating the Challenges 4 : Demographic Pressures Clients’ Changing Demands personal service personal options environmental concerns social concerns ageing population issues Q B L quadruple bottom line 27 October 2006 www.annimac.com.au

27 October 2006 www.annimac.com.au

LG can lead the way : values Navigating the Challenges 4 : Demographic Pressures LG can lead the way : values Customer driven : community first Communication skills Cooperation Teaming Flexibility eg zoning, management Innovative thinking Risk taking Multi tasking 27 October 2006 www.annimac.com.au

Different Thinking Models 27 October 2006 www.annimac.com.au

Navigating the Challenges speed of all change Peak Oil climate change demographic pressures shifting politico economic values 27 October 2006 www.annimac.com.au

Virtual Life 27 October 2006 www.annimac.com.au

Public Attitudes shifting Navigating the Challenges 5 : Politico Economic Values Shifts Public Attitudes shifting distrust of leaders increased global knowledge want options & say local power faster decisions, less bureaucracy less governance 27 October 2006 www.annimac.com.au

27 October 2006 www.annimac.com.au

Two Tiered Government LG gaining relevance regional structures less so Navigating the Challenges 5 : Politico Economic Values Shifts Two Tiered Government two tiers eventually LG gaining relevance regional structures less so likely trend : Federal with decreased powers LG with increased powers 27 October 2006 www.annimac.com.au

Big Biz & Community 27 October 2006 www.annimac.com.au

Big Biz vs Community community engagement rising QBL values Navigating the Challenges 5 : Politico Economic Values Shifts Big Biz vs Community corporate social responsibility rising community engagement rising QBL values partnership model win – win – win biz + people + planet 27 October 2006 www.annimac.com.au

Changing agribiz attitudes Albany Highway Williams 2004 27 October 2006 www.annimac.com.au

Fair Winds Calm Seas & Sunny Skies Future for LG 2020 Increasing role in governance Increasing partnerships biz community govt agencies Increasing charting of future course 27 October 2006 www.annimac.com.au

Facing the future successfully : 27 October 2006 www.annimac.com.au

thank you www. annimac.com.au 27 October 2006 www.annimac.com.au