Comparison of depositing and non-depositing processes for atmospheric transport modeling of radionuclides Methods Background & Aims Numerous atmospheric.

Slides:



Advertisements
Similar presentations
R. L. Buckley and C. H. Hunter Atmospheric Technologies Group Savannah River National Laboratory Recent Improvements to an Advanced Atmospheric Transport.
Advertisements

GEMS Kick- off MPI -Hamburg CTM - IFS interfaces GEMS- GRG Review of meeting in January and more recent thoughts Johannes Flemming.
Running a model's adjoint to obtain derivatives, while more efficient and accurate than other methods, such as the finite difference method, is a computationally.
Coupled NMM-CALMET Meteorology Development for the CALPUFF Air Dispersion Modelling in Complex Terrain and Shoreline Settings Presented at: European Geoscience.
TCEQ Air Permits Division Justin Cherry, P.E. Ahmed Omar Stephen F. Austin State University February 28, 2013.
Issues in Very High Resolution Numerical Weather Prediction Over Complex Terrain in Juneau, Alaska Don Morton 1,2, Delia Arnold 3,4, Irene Schicker 3,
The Visibility Information Exchange Web System (VIEWS): An Approach to Air Quality Data Management and Presentation In a broader sense, VIEWS facilitates.
CHAPTER 3: SIMPLE MODELS
Introduction to the ISC Model Marti Blad NAU College of Engineering.
Lecture Nine Database Planning, Design, and Administration
Part 4: Local scale dispersion calculation
Tianfeng Chai 1,2, Alice Crawford 1,2, Barbara Stunder 1, Roland Draxler 1, Michael J. Pavolonis 3, Ariel Stein 1 1.NOAA Air Resources Laboratory, College.
Jenny Stocker, Christina Hood, David Carruthers, Martin Seaton, Kate Johnson, Jimmy Fung The Development and Evaluation of an Automated System for Nesting.
(work funded through the Great Lakes Restoration Initiative)
Radionuclide dispersion modelling
Microsoft Visual Basic 2005 CHAPTER 1 Introduction to Visual Basic 2005 Programming.
AICT5 – eProject Project Planning for ICT. Process Centre receives Scenario Group Work Scenario on website in October Assessment Window Individual Work.
Database System Development Lifecycle © Pearson Education Limited 1995, 2005.
Overview of the Database Development Process
AMBIENT AIR CONCENTRATION MODELING Types of Pollutant Sources Point Sources e.g., stacks or vents Area Sources e.g., landfills, ponds, storage piles Volume.
Chapter 6 : Software Metrics
January 2008 Trajectories Magnuz Engardt Swedish Meteorological and Hydrological Institute.
Modelling of Acid deposition in South Asia Magnuz Engardt Swedish Meteorological and Hydrological Institute (SMHI) Introduction to Acid deposition.
O. Russell Bullock, Jr. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) Atmospheric Sciences Modeling Division (in partnership with the U.S. Environmental.
Real-Time Estimation of Volcanic Ash/SO2 Cloud Height from Combined UV/IR Satellite Observations and Numerical Modeling Gilberto A. Vicente NOAA National.
TEMIS user workshop, Frascati, 8-9 October 2007 Long range transport of air pollution service: Part 1: Trajectories Bart Dils, M. De Mazière, J. van Geffen,
Implementation of the Particle & Precursor Tagging Methodology (PPTM) for the CMAQ Modeling System: Mercury Tagging 5 th Annual CMAS Conference Research.
08/20031 Volcanic Ash Detection and Prediction at the Met Office Helen Champion, Sarah Watkin Derrick Ryall Responsibilities Tools Etna 2002 Future.
WRF Volcano modelling studies, NCAS Leeds Ralph Burton, Stephen Mobbs, Alan Gadian, Barbara Brooks.
_______________________________________________________________CMAQ Libraries and Utilities ___________________________________________________Community.
Parameter Range Study of Numerically-Simulated Isolated Multicellular Convection Z. DuFran, B. Baranowski, C. Doswell III, and D. Weber This work is supported.
Preliminary Study: Direct and Emission-Induced Effects of Global Climate Change on Regional Ozone and Fine Particulate Matter K. Manomaiphiboon 1 *, A.
4. Atmospheric chemical transport models 4.1 Introduction 4.2 Box model 4.3 Three dimensional atmospheric chemical transport model.
Georgia Institute of Technology Initial Application of the Adaptive Grid Air Quality Model Dr. M. Talat Odman, Maudood N. Khan Georgia Institute of Technology.
The effect of pyro-convective fires on the global troposphere: comparison of TOMCAT modelled fields with observations from ICARTT Sarah Monks Outline:
35 PC-HYSPLIT WORKSHOP Example Simulations Presented on the following slides are several basic trajectory and dispersion simulations and meteorological.
How well can we model air pollution meteorology in the Houston area? Wayne Angevine CIRES / NOAA ESRL Mark Zagar Met. Office of Slovenia Jerome Brioude,
Experiences in assessing deposition model uncertainty and the consequences for policy application Rognvald I Smith Centre for Ecology and Hydrology, Edinburgh.
Introduction to Modeling – Part II
TEMPLATE DESIGN © A high-order accurate and monotonic advection scheme is used as a local interpolator to redistribute.
OThree Chemistry Modeling of the Sept ’00 CCOS Ozone Episode: Diagnostic Experiments--Round 3 Central California Ozone Study: Bi-Weekly Presentation.
Evaluation of the VISTAS 2002 CMAQ/CAMx Annual Simulations T. W. Tesche & Dennis McNally -- Alpine Geophysics, LLC Ralph Morris -- ENVIRON Gail Tonnesen.
Impacts of Cumulus Transport and Spatial Resolution on the Simulated Long-Range Transport and Source-Receptor Relationship T.Y. Lee, J.B. Lee and S.Y.
Lagrangian particle models are three-dimensional models for the simulation of airborne pollutant dispersion, able to account for flow and turbulence space-time.
Types of Models Marti Blad Northern Arizona University College of Engineering & Technology.
171 PC-HYSPLIT WORKSHOP Workshop Agenda Model Overview Model history and features Computational method Trajectories versus concentration Code installation.
Georgia Institute of Technology SUPPORTING INTEX THROUGH INTEGRATED ANALYSIS OF SATELLITE AND SUB-ORBITAL MEASUREMENTS WITH GLOBAL AND REGIONAL 3-D MODELS:
COSMO General Meeting Zurich, 2005 Institute of Meteorology and Water Management Warsaw, Poland- 1 - Simple Kalman filter – a “smoking gun” of shortages.
Wildfire activity as been increasing over the past decades Cites such as Salt Lake City are surrounded by regions at a high risk for increased wildfire.
35 PC-HYSPLIT WORKSHOP Example Simulations Presented on the following slides are several basic trajectory and dispersion simulations and meteorological.
16-1 PC-HYSPLIT WORKSHOP Workshop Agenda Introduction to HYSPLIT Introduction.ppt Model Overview Model_Overview.ppt Meteorological Data Meteorological_Data.ppt.
Stephen F. Austin State University February 27, 2014 Justin Cherry, P.E. Reece Parker TCEQ Air Permits Division.
Forecasting smoke and dust using HYSPLIT. Experimental testing phase began March 28, 2006 Run daily at NCEP using the 6Z cycle to produce a 24- hr analysis.
Transport Simulation of the April 1998 Chinese Dust Event Prepared by: Bret A. Schichtel And Rudolf B. Husar Center for Air Pollution Impact and Trend.
Testing of Objective Analysis of Precipitation Structures (Snowbands) using the NCAR Developmental Testbed Center (DTC) Model Evaluation Tools (MET) Software.
Summary of the Report, “Federal Research and Development Needs and Priorities for Atmospheric Transport and Diffusion Modeling” 22 September 2004 Walter.
HYSPLIT/ALOHA Demonstration Glenn Rolph OAR Air Resources Laboratory June 21, 2016.
Regional-scale OSSEs used to explore the impact of infrared brightness temperature observations Jason Otkin UW-Madison/CIMSS 06 February 2013.
CENRAP Modeling and Weight of Evidence Approaches
Introduction to Visual Basic 2008 Programming
A New Method for Evaluating Regional Air Quality Forecasts
Volcanic Ash Detection and Prediction at the Met Office
Quantifying uncertainty in volcanic ash forecasts
Estimating volcanic ash emissions by assimilating satellite observations with the HYSPLIT dispersion model Tianfeng Chai1,2, Alice Crawford1,2, Barbara.
Assimilating Tropospheric Emission Spectrometer profiles in GEOS-Chem
Models of atmospheric chemistry
How will the earth’s temperature change?
ESS.VIP VALIDATION An ESS.VIP project for mutual benefits
Introduction to Modeling – Part II
Michael Moran Air Quality Research Branch
Presentation transcript:

Comparison of depositing and non-depositing processes for atmospheric transport modeling of radionuclides Methods Background & Aims Numerous atmospheric transport models (ATM) have been deployed for operational and research activities, each with unique strengths and weaknesses. Several intermodel comparisons have been performed but, to the best of our knowledge, there is still a requirement for a standardised framework in which to compare the performance of the ATM’s. Our group is pursuing a methodology to evaluate the relative performance of ATM’s in a number of application areas. ATM intercomparisons require the definition of a standard output format to drive numerical and graphical procedures for assessing results in a common framework. In our work, we define a common format and develop a set of Open Source graphical and numerical tools to evaluate the models, allowing for side-by- side comparisons. A case-study is presented in which HYSPLIT and FLEXPART are configured as identically as possible to produce output for 14-day backwards simulations based on hypothetical radionuclide measurements in the Azores. Passive tracers and depositing species are used in the simulations to produce outputs for initial testing of the feasibility to use our postprocessing tools for meaningful model intercomparisons. Models, sites and set-ups Results Summary The primary emphasis at this early stage has been to test and refine the processes for model intercomparison. The graphics presented above clearly demonstrate the utility of comparing models in this way. Continuing work includes incorporation of more models, and more output products including vertical cross-sections and quantitative metrics. Disclaimer: The views expressed on this poster are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of the CTBTO Preparatory Commission Models FLEXPART and HYSPLIT were used to demonstrate the application of our postprocessing tools to a 14-day backwards simulation based on a hypothetical receptor measurement at the PTP53 radionuclide site in Ponta Delgada, Azores. The two models were configured as similarly as possible for runs with passive and depositing species. The images presented in the Results section demonstrate the utility of the postprocessing system for assessing differences not only between models, but between various model configurations. The images shown below represent a snapshot of nine days into the backwards simulation. Results are grouped in various ways to highlight differences between models, and between model configurations. Additionally, each model run was timed and recorded to illustrate the comparative cost of running the simulation with different models under different configurations. The models were run on two different computing systems in order to gain greater insight on computational performance. D. Morton 1,2, M. Krista 3, J. Kusmierczyk-Michulec 3, D. Arnold 4 1 Boreal Scientific Computing LLC, Fairbanks, Alaska 2 Arctic Region Supercomputing Center, University of Alaska 3 CTBTO, International Data Centre, Vienna, Austria 4 Central Institute of Meteorology and Geodynamics of Austria Contact: Results of this initial test show FLEXPART runs approximately twenty times faster than HYSPLIT, and maintaining concentrations two to four orders of magnitude less than HYSPLIT. However, an error in model setup is believed to be the more likely cause of concentration differences. We suggest that comparing models in this way allows us to more closely examine differences in models and model setups. Overall requirements:  Display/evaluate results in a common framework  Comparison tools based on single data format  Suitable for research and operational environments Common data format requirements:  Simple format  Easy to understand and manipulate  Suitable for wide range of outputs – forward, backward, regional, global  Efficient storage Common data format implementation:  Based on the Source Receptor Sensitivity (SRS) format, used up to now primarily for storing source-receptor sensitivities from backwards simulations of FLEXPART.  A single SRS file stores a time series of a single entity from a 2D horizontal slice; for example, a single species plume at a specified model output level.  SRS format consists of a header line, followed by a sparse-data listing of time, position and values for each non-zero output point on the horizontal slice  Output with ten species on ten levels results in 100 basic SRS files, and more for depositions Overall vision:  Visualisation and evaluation tools that use SRS format as input. All tools assume this format and no modifications are necessary to incorporate new model output or data  Conversion routines from native model or data output to SRS format. Decouples the native data formats from the postprocessing tools, allowing for consistent visualisation and evaluation.  Once data is in SRS format, various SRS-specific tools can process sets of SRS files to sum levels, species, create cumulative time series, visualise, and more E "ERU_000001" E E E E E E E E E E E E E E E E E E E E E E E E E E E E E E E E E E E E E E E E E E E E E-08 … Acknowledgements: John Burkhart, Norwegian Institute for Air Research (NILU), Jerome Brioude, NOAA ESRL Chemical Sciences Division, and others FLEXPART No DepoDry Depo Wet Depo Wet+Dry Depo HYSPLIT No Depo Dry Depo Wet Depo Wet+Dry Depo No Deposition Dry Deposition Wet Deposition Wet+Dry Deposition FLEXPART HYSPLIT FLEXPART No Convection Convection HYSPLIT FLEXPART Compute time (hours)pacmanalaskawxpacmanalaskawx No depo No depo, w/ conv NA Dry depo Wet depo Wet+dry depo Setup The two models were set up with a 1.3E+17/day FLEXPART mass emission and 5.42E+15/hour with HYSPLIT at a 37.74N / 25.70W line source from the surface to 150m AGL. Models were driven by 0.5 degree GFS forecast data (a poor-person’s analysis using Forecast Hour 06 from a series of forecasts) and were output on a 0.5 degree global domain at heights of 150 and 3500m. Significant effort is necessary to set up models as identically as possible. Particularly in backwards simulations, it is important to understand the assumptions made with regards to input/output units of measure. Wet+dry FLEXPART and HYSPLIT deposition parameters GFS 10m Winds GFS Precipitable Water HYSPLITFLEXPART * Recent correspondence with HYSPLIT developers suggests that a new release of HYSPLIT is a factor of two faster than the one we used. Additionally, HYSPLIT has been coded for parallel processing, while FLEXPART hasn’t. Time series No Depo No Convection