September 10, 2013SEASONAL AND EXTENDED RANGE PREDICTION GROUPSlide 1 Forecast Verification.

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Presentation transcript:

September 10, 2013SEASONAL AND EXTENDED RANGE PREDICTION GROUPSlide 1 Forecast Verification

September 10, 2013SEASONAL AND EXTENDED RANGE PREDICTION GROUPSlide 2 Pentad mean Rainfall (mm/day) for period 1-5 June, 2013 P4-lead, IC 16May P3-lead, IC 21May P2-lead, IC 26May P1-lead, IC 31May CFS GFSbc ActualAnomaly Forecast valid for Period 1-5June

September 10, 2013SEASONAL AND EXTENDED RANGE PREDICTION GROUPSlide 3 P4-lead, IC 21May P3-lead, IC 26May P2-lead, IC 31May ActualAnomaly P1-lead, IC 05 Jun CFS GFSbc Forecast valid for Period 6-10June Pentad mean Rainfall (mm/day) for period 6-10 June, 2013

September 10, 2013SEASONAL AND EXTENDED RANGE PREDICTION GROUPSlide 4 P4-lead, IC 26May P3-lead, IC 31May P2-lead, IC 05 Jun P1-lead, IC 10 Jun ActualAnomaly CFS GFSbc Forecast valid for Period 11-15June Pentad mean Rainfall (mm/day) for period June, 2013

September 10, 2013SEASONAL AND EXTENDED RANGE PREDICTION GROUPSlide 5 P4-lead, IC 31May P3-lead, IC 05 Jun P2-lead, IC 10 Jun P1-lead, IC 15 Jun ActualAnomaly CFS GFSbc Forecast valid for Period 16-20June Pentad mean Rainfall (mm/day) for period June, 2013

September 10, 2013SEASONAL AND EXTENDED RANGE PREDICTION GROUPSlide 6 P4-lead, IC 05 Jun P3-lead, IC 10 Jun P2-lead, IC 15 Jun P1-lead, IC 20 Jun CFS GFSbc ActualAnomaly Forecast valid for Period 21-25June Pentad mean Rainfall (mm/day) for period June, 2013

September 10, 2013SEASONAL AND EXTENDED RANGE PREDICTION GROUPSlide 7 Forecast valid for Period June P4-lead, IC 10 Jun P3-lead, IC 15 Jun P2-lead, IC 20 Jun P1-lead, IC 25 Jun ActualAnomaly CFS GFSbc Pentad mean Rainfall (mm/day) for period June, 2013

September 10, 2013SEASONAL AND EXTENDED RANGE PREDICTION GROUPSlide 8 P4-lead, IC 15 Jun P3-lead, IC 20 Jun P2-lead, IC 25 Jun P1-lead, IC 30 Jun CFS GFSbc ActualAnomaly Forecast valid for Period 1-5 July Pentad mean Rainfall (mm/day) for period 1-5 July, 2013

September 10, 2013SEASONAL AND EXTENDED RANGE PREDICTION GROUPSlide 9 P4-lead, IC 20 Jun P3-lead, IC 25 Jun P2-lead, IC 30 Jun P1-lead, IC 5 July CFS GFSbc ActualAnomaly Forecast valid for Period 6-10 July Pentad mean Rainfall (mm/day) for period 6-10 July, 2013

September 10, 2013SEASONAL AND EXTENDED RANGE PREDICTION GROUPSlide 10 P4-lead, IC 25 Jun P3-lead, IC 30 Jun P2-lead, IC 5 July P1-lead, IC 10 July Forecast valid for Period July Pentad mean Rainfall (mm/day) for period July, 2013 CFS GFSbc ActualAnomaly

September 10, 2013SEASONAL AND EXTENDED RANGE PREDICTION GROUPSlide 11 P4-lead, IC 30 Jun P3-lead, IC 5 July P2-lead, IC 10 July P1-lead, IC 15 July Pentad mean Rainfall (mm/day) for period July, 2013 ActualAnomaly Forecast valid for Period July CFS GFSbc

September 10, 2013SEASONAL AND EXTENDED RANGE PREDICTION GROUPSlide 12 P4-lead, IC 5 July P3-lead, IC 10 July P2-lead, IC 15 July P1-lead, IC 20 July Pentad mean Rainfall (mm/day) for period July, 2013 CFS GFSbc ActualAnomaly Forecast valid for Period July

September 10, 2013SEASONAL AND EXTENDED RANGE PREDICTION GROUPSlide 13 Pentad mean Rainfall (mm/day) for period 26-30July, 2013 CFS GFSbc ActualAnomaly P4-lead, IC 10 July P3-lead, IC 15 July P2-lead, IC 20 July P1-lead, IC 25 July Forecast valid for Period July

13 April 2015SEASONAL AND EXTENDED RANGE PREDICTION GROUPSlide 14 Pentad mean Rainfall (mm/day) for period 31July-4 August, 2013 CFS GFSbc P4-lead, IC 15 July P3-lead, IC 20 July P2-lead, IC 25 July P1-lead, IC 30 July ActualAnomaly Forecast valid for Period 31July-4Aug