Welcome To The 40 th HPC User Forum Meeting Beijing, China October 2010

Agenda: Welcome Welcome by our host: The Beijing Computing Center IDC welcome and HPC User Forum background: Vernon Turner, Earl Joseph and Steve Conway IDC HPC Market Overview: Jie Wu and Earl Joseph

Introduction: Logistics We have a very tight agenda (as usual)  Please help us keep on time! Review handouts  Note: We will post most of the presentations on the web site

4

HPC User Forum Goals Assist HPC users in solving their ongoing computing, technical and business problems Provide a forum for exchanging information, identifying areas of common interest, and developing unified positions on requirements  By working with users in other sectors and vendors  To help direct and push vendors to build better products  Which should also help vendors become more successful Provide members with a continual supply of information on:  Uses of high end computers, new technologies, high end best practices, market dynamics, computer systems and tools, benchmark results, vendor activities and strategies Provide members with a channel to present their achievements and requirements to interested parties

HPC User Forum Mission To Improve The Health Of The High-performance Computing Industry Through Open Discussions, Information- sharing And Initiatives Involving HPC Users In Industry, Government And Academia Along With HPC Vendors And Other Interested Parties

Steering Committee Members Steve Finn, BAE Systems, Chairman Sharan Kalwani, KAUST, Vice Chairman Earl Joseph, IDC, Executive Director Vijay Agarwala, Penn State University Alex Akkerman, Ford Motor Company Doug Ball, The Boeing Company Rupak Biswas NASA/Ames Paul Buerger, Avetec Steve Conway, IDC Research Vice President Jack Collins, National Cancer Institute Jeff Broughton. NERSC/Lawrence Berkeley National Lab Merle Giles, NSCA/University of Illinois Chris Catherasoo, NASA/Jet Propulsion Laboratory James Kasdorf, Pittsburgh Supercomputing Center Doug Kothe, Oak Ridge National Laboratory Paul Muzio, City University of New York Michael Resch, HLRS, University of Stuttgart Marie-Christine Sawley, ETH Zurich - CERN Group Vince Scarafino, Industry Expert Robert Singleterry, NASA/Langley

IDC HPC Market Update

Top Trends in HPC The global economy in HPC appears to have leveled off  The first half of 2010 grew by 2%  We are forecasting 3% to 5% growth in 2010  The high end of the market grew by 65% in 2009! Major challenges for datacenters:  Power, cooling, real estate, system management  Storage and data management continue to grow in importance Software hurdles will rise to the top for most users  Driven heavily by multi-core processors and hybrid systems  Application scaling and performance is a problem SSDs will gain momentum and could redefine storage GPUs are seeing real tractions in certain verticals The worldwide Race on Petascale is in full speed

10 HPC Server Market Size By Competitive Segments (first half of 2010) Departmental ($250K - $100K) $1,474M Divisional ($250K - $500K) $572M Supercomputers (Over $500K) $1,386M Workgroup (under $100K) $699M HPC Servers $4,131M

HPC Market Results: Revenues and System Units

HPC Vendor Revenue Shares, Q210

Revenue Share by Vendor Supercomputer Segment, Q210

HPC Server Processor/Sockets Metrics, First Half of 2010

Total HPC Revenue Share by Processor Type Source IDC, 2010

Total HPC Revenue by OS Source IDC, 2010

Industry/Application Segments

HPC Server Revenue($K) Forecast

Growth In The Broader HPC Market

HPC Server Revenue ($K) In APeJ and China,

Conclusions  2010 is a year of evolutionary rather than revolutionary change in the worldwide HPC market  Incremental advances will help, but not resolve persistent issues, such as highly parallel programming challenges, power and cooling costs, and software licensing costs  IDC predicts the HPC market will resume growth in 2010 and grow by 3% to 5% in 2010  And then will rebuild to exceed $11 billion by 2014  The recovery will benefit HPC segments unevenly:  With hard-hit verticals such as automotive recovering more slowly than oil and gas, or government and academia  The Supercomputer segment growth will remain turbo-charged by government spending aimed at HPC leadership and “petaflop club” membership

2011 IDC HPC Research Areas Quarterly HPC Forecast Updates –Until the world economy fully recovers HPC End-user Based Reports: –Clusters, processors, accelerators, storage, interconnects, system software, and applications –The evolution of government HPC budgets –Emerging markets including China, Russia, etc. –SMB and SMS research and award program –Clouds in HPC Power and Cooling Research Developing a Market Model For Middleware and Management Software Scaling of software – issues and solutions Worldwide Petascale and Exascale Initiatives

Please Or check out: Questions?

Agenda: Morning Sessions 9:00amHPC User Site Updates China Top 100 and the new ranking, Dr. Yunquan Zhang, Chinese Academy of Science, Chair of China Top 100 (20 minutes) HPC computing at BCC, Dr. Yu Zeng, Vice Chair, Beijing Computing Center (20 minutes) Boeing HPC site update: Key research areas, HPC computers used and what they would like to see improved in HPC (20 minutes) Vendor technical updates: Microsoft, Intel (15 minutes) 10:30am30 minute break 11:00amHPC User Site Updates HPC in Chemical Processing, Dr. Chen Ding, University of Rochester, Development of Large Scale Parallel Algorithms (20 minutes) NASA HPC site update: Key research areas, HPC computers used and what they would like to see improved in HPC (20 minutes) HPC in Oil exploration, challenges and opportunities, Mr. Nenghe Lai, Chief Engineer, China Petroleum (20 minutes) New Ideas for Exascale File Systems, Peter Braam (15 minutes) 12:30pm Lunch Break

Please Return Promptly At 2:00pm

Agenda: Afternoon Sessions 2:00pmHPC In Industry NCSA Approaches to Industrial Outreach (20 minutes) OSC Approaches to Industrial Outreach (20 minutes) New Developments at Inspur (15 minutes) 3:00pmNCI HPC site update: Key research areas, HPC computers used and what they would like to see improved in HPC (20 minutes) 3:20pmHPC Cloud Panel Discussions Panel on Grid and Cloud computing: Hunan Supercomputing Center, Tianjing Supercomputer Center, KAUST, NASA, Penn State, NSF, CUNY and Microsoft (1 hour) 4:15pm15 minute break 4:30pmHigh End Directions Panel Panel on petascale/exascale directions and the use of hybrid systems/alternative processors: Institute of Science, ICT, Jiangnan Institute of Computing Technology, NSF, HLRS, NCSA, NCI, CUNY (1 hour) 5:15pmMeeting wrap-up and the need for worldwide cooperation to advance HPC

Panel #1 Clouds In HPC

Clouds In HPC Panel Members Sharan Kalwani, King Abdullah University of Science & Technology (KAUST) Xuebing Chi, Chinese Academy of Science Nenghe Lai, BGP Robert Singleterry, NASA Langley Irene Qualters, National Science Foundation Paul Muzio, CUNY Vijay Agarwala, Pennsylvania State University Microsoft

Cloud Panel Q1 What do you see as the future of cloud computing in HPC?

Cloud Panel Q2 Is your organization using (or considering using) clouds today for any HPC workloads?

Cloud Panel Q3 What are the main opportunities for HPC cloud computing? What are the main challenges?

Cloud Panel Q4 Could clouds ever handle, say 15% to 25% of your current HPC workload?  If not, why not?

Cloud Panel Q5 If the price was low enough, is there a fit in your organization for clouds?  If not, why not?

Panel #2 High End HPC Directions

High End HPC Panel Members Irene Qualters, National Science Foundation Michael Resch, HLRS/University of Stuttgart Merle Giles, National Center for Supercomputing Applications Ninghui Sun, ICT Yunquan Zhang, CAS Fengbin Qi, Jiangnan Computing Center Jack Collins, National Cancer Institute Paul Muzio, City University of New York

High End HPC Panel Q1 What needs to happen for multi- petascale and exascale systems to become useful?

High End HPC Panel Q2 Will early exascale systems inevitably be very narrow-purpose, able to run only a few applications across a large fraction of the machine?

High End HPC Panel Q3 What would be a good way to get more applications running at the petascale/ exascale level?

High End HPC Panel Q4 How important will GPUs and other alternative processors be for the future of HPC, especially at the high end? Do you plan to use them for your applications? If not, why not?

High End HPC Panel Q5 What proportion of available funding should be invested in exascale software development, as opposed to hardware R&D?

Important Dates For Your Calendar FUTURE HPC USER FORUM MEETINGS: 2011 US Meetings:  April 5 to 7, Houston, Texas  September 6 to 8, San Diego, California International Meetings (Dates will be set soon): CEA, France Imperial College, UK HLRS, Germany

Thank You For Attending The 40 th HPC User Forum Meeting

Please Or check out: Questions?