Population Estimates October 2007 Orleans Parish and Metro Area

Population of Orleans Parish  GCR estimates that the population of New Orleans rose to 288,057 in October, This figure represents 63% of the city’s July 2005 population.  The city gained approximately 14,500 residents (5%) between July 1, 2007, and October, 2007.

Recovery of Population  The repopulation of the city has progressed steadily since Hurricane Katrina.  The rate at which residents are returning has yet to slow significantly; in fact, the last few months have seen an increase in that rate.

Population by ZIP Code ZIP CodeJuly 1, 2005July 1, 2006October 1, 2006October 1, 2007 % of July 2005 Population Returned Eastbank , ,0421,14519% ,7805,7956,0406,41466% ,88830,71031,25131,26983% ,83811,66512,13512,87881% ,10511,91613,78618,49638% ,88426,89627,89527,60879% ,73117,78020,08826,23756% ,60111,66014,17420,18646% ,6555,6356,79710,02646% ,0616,8648,18710,56348% ,3226,2898,88614,87539% ,7415,7037,49414,73051% ,0845,6587,34211,50857% ,0515,5526,7367,83356% ,86212,46112,51412,99194% Westbank ,76929,33029,53530,591114% ,52128,48028,72330,707116% Total454,863223,388242,626288,05763%

Repopulation by Flood Depth  The degree to which areas have repopulated is almost directly related to the amount of flooding they received following Katrina.  Areas with the most flooding have experienced the highest rates of growth over the last year. Flood Depth (ft)July 1, 2005July 1, 2006October 1, 2006October 1, 2007 % of 2005 Population Returned % Growth in Last Year 0114,565112,765113,322116, %2.5% 124,98020,12220,38121, %3.3% 231,93120,43921,52722, %2.6% 331,74815,73617,43919, %12.6% 433,79411,10813,13417, %31.1% 536,1178,81911,11715, %42.6% 644,70111,22614,33720, %42.2% 743,9389,14211,83118, %55.8% 818,5883,7275,2157, %51.3% 919,2482,9294,0947, %85.4% 1032,7264,9096,71513, %95.0% 1118,3141,7662,5737, %177.5% 12 +4, , %57.2% Total454,863223,388242,626288, %18.7%

Neighborhood Recovery  Neighborhoods with significant flood damage have been slow to repopulate. In several of these neighborhoods, fewer than one-third of residents have returned.  Areas closest to the river, where flooding was minimal, recovered their population quickly and have regained nearly all of their pre-storm residents.  On the Westbank, where no significant flooding occurred, the population has exceeded its pre- Katrina level as a whole and in virtually every neighborhood. Eastbank Neighborhoods with Highest and Lowest Rates of Repopulation Neighborhood July 1, 2005 Population October 1, 2007 Population % of July 2005 Population Returned Lower Ninth Ward13,1681,0548.0% Calliope Project4, % St. Bernard Area/ Project6,0261, % Florida Area2, % Desire Area3, % Holy Cross5,1771, % Pontchartrain Park2, % St. Anthony4,9991, % Milneburg5,3021, % Fillmore6,5522, % Pines Village4,7861, % Lakeview16,6036, % Neighborhood July 1, 2005 Population October 1, 2007 Population % of July 2005 Population Returned Warehouse District7811, % Garden District1,8491, % Touro3,0433, % Vieux Carre3,5783, % Lower Garden District4,2124, % West Riverside4,9104, % Irish Channel3,9753, % Marigny2,9302, % East Riverside3,0542, % Black Pearl1,6631, % Uptown6,2705, % East Carrollton4,1653, %

Population by City Council District July 1, 2005 Population October 1, 2007 Population % of July 2005 Population Returned Council District A90,16961, % Council District B91,10858, % Council District C91,79289, % Council District D91,00039, % Council District E90,79439, % TOTAL454,863288, %

Metropolitan Area Population  The New Orleans metropolitan area has reached 86% of its pre-Katrina population.  St. Tammany and Tangipahoa parishes have exceeded their pre-storm populations by significant margins.  Jefferson and Plaquemines parishes are approaching their 2005 populations.  St. Charles and St. John the Baptist parishes have experienced modest growth.  In the most heavily damaged parish, St. Bernard, just over one-third of the pre-Katrina population has returned CensusJuly 2005October ,417,0981,422,6321,224,177 Population of New Orleans Metro Area* * Area includes Tangipahoa Parish.

Voting Patterns Confirm Population Trends  On October 20, 2007, approximately 76,000 New Orleanians voted in the gubernatorial primary election. This number represents about 56% of the number that voted in the same primary in fall  The discrepancy between this percentage and that of pre-storm residents that have returned (63%) can potentially be attributed to lower turnout statewide. Turnout in most other metro area parishes was lower in this past election than in Fall 2003Fall as a Percentage of 2003 Orleans Parish135,75175, % Louisiana1,407,9621,297, % Votes Cast in Gubernatorial Primary Elections

Voting Patterns Confirm Population Trends  In major elections, Orleans Parish typically lags slightly behind the state in votes cast per capita.  The fact that the 2007 gubernatorial election parallels this trend suggests that GCR’s population estimate for Orleans is accurate. Votes Cast as a Percentage of Overall Population

Resettlement Patterns  GCR tracks activity in the city on a block-by-block basis; therefore, we have been able to monitor the pace at which each area of New Orleans has repopulated.  Soon after the storm, the population in areas with little or minimal flood damage returned rapidly.  Throughout the recovery period, proximity to repopulated areas has been a critical component to the recovery of damaged areas. The repopulation has radiated from largely unaffected areas into blocks and neighborhoods connected to these areas.  Accordingly, areas disconnected from largely recovered areas have been slow to regain their population. This condition is most acute in the Lower Ninth Ward and parts of Gentilly.

Snapshots of Recovery  The following five slides contain maps of the city at five dates: July 1, 2006; October 1, 2006; March 1, 2007; July 1, 2007; October 1, These maps demonstrate the trends described in the previous slides; namely, the fact that repopulation has radiated outward from areas which recovered quickly after the storm.  In each of these maps, red represents areas in which activity is less than 20% of its pre-Katrina level. Green represents areas in which activity is greater than 80% of its pre-Katrina level. Yellow and orange display areas in between.  Boundaries of New Orleans City Council Districts are also displayed.

Resettlement Patterns: July 1, 2006

Resettlement Patterns: October 1, 2006

Resettlement Patterns: March 1, 2007

Resettlement Patterns: July 1, 2007

Resettlement Patterns: October 1, 2007

GCR & Associates, Inc. Gregory C. Rigamer fax Lakeshore Drive New Orleans, LA UNO Research & Technology Park Advanced Technology Center