27-30 March 2006COST 724 MCM, Antalya, Turkey1 Integration of METU-IFS Server to COST 724 Server (BIRA) E. Tulunay 1,2, D. Heynderickx 3, E.T. Senalp 1, M. Özdemirci 1, Y.I. Özkok 1, Y. Tulunay 4 (1) METU, Dept. of Electrical and Electronics Eng., Ankara, Turkey (2) TUBITAK, MRC, Information Technologies Institute, Gebze, Kocaeli, Turkey (3) BIRA, Brussel, Belgium (4) METU, Dept. of Aerospace Eng., Ankara, Turkey COST 724 MCM, Antalya, Turkey, March 2006

27-30 March 2006COST 724 MCM, Antalya, Turkey2 CONTENTS 1.Objective 2.METU-NN Model 3.METU-IFS Server and Client 4.METU-IFS comm. with COST 724 Server 5.Conclusion 6.Acknowledgement 7.References

27-30 March 2006COST 724 MCM, Antalya, Turkey3 1.OBJECTIVE Since 1990, we have capacity to forecast ionospheric parameters We will make NN available to ERA through COST 724 activities conducted by D. Heynderickx

27-30 March 2006COST 724 MCM, Antalya, Turkey4 2. METU-NN ( Middle East Technical University Neural Networks models ) Modeling of nonlinear problems by using NN NNs: flexible, data-driven; to be used along with analytical models METU-NN: - forecasting of system parameters including the NES processes, METU-NN-C: - identification of systems by Cascade Models [Tulunay Y. et al., (2004-a; b); (2005-a); Senalp et al., (2005)]

27-30 March 2006COST 724 MCM, Antalya, Turkey5

27-30 March 2006COST 724 MCM, Antalya, Turkey6 3. METU-IFS (METU Ionospheric Forecasting Software) : Web based METU-IFS [Ozkok Y.I., 2005] – present:Providing a mean so that METU-IFS and BIRA comm. with each other - Selected model:“The METU-NN Solar Radio Flux” [Tulunay Y. et al., 2005-b]

27-30 March 2006COST 724 MCM, Antalya, Turkey7 Specifications: - Input (12): temporal data; SXR data - one hidden layer with 50 neurons - Output (1): forecast of occurrences of large X-ray Events one month in advance

27-30 March 2006COST 724 MCM, Antalya, Turkey8 4. METU-IFS comm. with COST 724 Server METU-IFS Server (METU-NN) BIRA – COST 724 Server PC PC (METU-IFS Client) FTP Serialized TCP/IP Comm.

27-30 March 2006COST 724 MCM, Antalya, Turkey9 5. Conclusion METU-IFS and COST 724 Servers – to be integrated for the use of European Research Area

27-30 March 2006COST 724 MCM, Antalya, Turkey10 6. Acknowledgement Thanks to COST 724 TÜBİTAK MAM TÜBİTAK ÇAYDAG

27-30 March 2006COST 724 MCM, Antalya, Turkey11 7. References - Tulunay Y., Tulunay E., Senalp E.T., The Neural Network Technique-1: A General Exposition, Adv. Space Res., Vol. 33, No. 6, pp , 2004-a. - Tulunay Y., Tulunay E., Senalp E.T., The Neural Network Technique-2: An Ionospheric Example Illustrating its Application, Adv. Space Res., Vol. 33, No. 6, pp , 2004-b. - Ozkok Y.I., Web Based Ionospheric Forecasting using Neural Network and Neurofuzzy Methods, MSc. Thesis, Middle East Technical University, Department of Electrical and Electronics Engineering, Ankara, Turkey, April Senalp E.T., Tulunay E., Tulunay Y., Neural Networks and Cascade Modeling Technique in System Identification, 14th Turkish Symposium on Artificial Intelligence and Neural Networks, TAINN 2005, pp , June 2005, Cesme, Izmir, Turkey. - Tulunay Y., Sibeck D.G., Senalp E.T., Tulunay E., Forecasting magnetopause crossing locations by using Neural Networks, Adv. Space Res., Vol 36, No.12, pp , 2005-a. - Tulunay Y., Messerotti M., Senalp E.T., Tulunay E., Molinaro M., Ozkok Y.I., Yapici T., Altuntas E., Cavus N., Neural Network Modeling in Forecasting the Near Earth Space Parameters: Forecasting of the Solar Radio Fluxes, COST 724: "Developing the scientific basis for monitoring, modeling and predicting Space Weather" Scientific Workshop, Proceedings CD, October 2005, Athens, Greece, 2005-b.