The CAP after the Health Check Agricultural Policy Analysis and Perspectives DG for Agriculture and Rural Development European Commission.

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Presentation transcript:

The CAP after the Health Check Agricultural Policy Analysis and Perspectives DG for Agriculture and Rural Development European Commission

AGRI-L1CAP perspectives 2  1.The CAP today  2.The CAP until 2013  3.The CAP beyond 2013

AGRI-L1CAP perspectives 3 1. The CAP today

AGRI-L1CAP perspectives 4 CAP expenditure and CAP reform path EU-10EU-12EU-15EU-25EU-27

AGRI-L1CAP perspectives 5 … and alternative views on its cost CAP cost in 2008 (in relative terms) CAP cost in 2008 (in absolute terms) 0.43% of EU GDP 45.9% of EU budget

AGRI-L1CAP perspectives 6 1. The CAP today

AGRI-L1CAP perspectives 7 Impact of CAP reforms on EU net production surplus

AGRI-L1CAP perspectives 8 The evolving role of EU support prices - wheat

AGRI-L1CAP perspectives 9 The evolving role of EU support prices - beef

AGRI-L1CAP perspectives 10 The evolving role of EU support prices - butter

AGRI-L1CAP perspectives 11 The evolving role of EU support prices - SMP

AGRI-L1CAP perspectives The CAP until 2013  “Health Check” – fine tuned the reform process Direct aids –Further decoupling –MS allowed to move to flatter rates of support –New article “68” Targeted measures to economic/environmental disadvantages in certain regions/sectors Risk management measures Market mechanisms –Increase milk quotas by 1% annually –Intervention streamlined and simplified Rural development –“New challenges” (Climate change, bioenergy, water management, biodiversity, innovation, dairy) –Modulation increase

AGRI-L1CAP perspectives The CAP beyond 2013

AGRI-L1CAP perspectives 14 Recent trend of EU agricultural market prices

AGRI-L1CAP perspectives The CAP beyond 2013

AGRI-L1CAP perspectives The CAP beyond 2013: the debate

AGRI-L1CAP perspectives 17

AGRI-L1CAP perspectives The CAP beyond 2013: the debate

AGRI-L1CAP perspectives 19 In a nutshell, CAP policy questions... Direct payments Adjusted SPS GAEC Markets Price support/ Quotas reform Safety net Rural development Axis 1 (structural adjustment) Axis 2 (environment) Axis 3 (territory and diversification) Phase-out ?Revenue insurance ? Phase-out ? Income Structural adjustment Public goods Future ?

AGRI-L1CAP perspectives 20 Rural Development Direct payments Markets Pillar I Pillar II Post-2013 BUDGET ?? …and CAP budget questions …and CAP budget questions Modulation

AGRI-L1CAP perspectives 21 For further information  CAP Health Check  EU agriculture and CAP reform  Economic Analysis and Evaluation  Agricultural Policy Analysis and Perspectives

AGRI-L1CAP perspectives 22 Thank you