The EOSTAR Pro Model Suite - Current and Future Development. Weather Impact Decision Aids Workshop, Reno (NV),13-15th March 2012 Marianne Degache, scientific software product manager

Outline EOSTAR Pro : from research to product development – v1.x WIDA 3/15/2012 Eostar Pro suite v2 Outline EOSTAR Pro : from research to product development – v1.x Upgrades for EOSTAR Pro suite v2.x Scientific and modelling challenges of interest Current availability and future releases

TNO “Netherlands Organisation for Applied Scientific Research” WIDA 3/15/2012 Eostar Pro suite v2 TNO “Netherlands Organisation for Applied Scientific Research” Independent research organisation funded in 1932 More than 4,400 employees accross7 research themes TNO aims at innovating with purpose: We develop knowledge not for its own sake but for practical application. HEALTHY LIVING INDUSTRIAL INNOVATION DEFENCE, SAFETY AND SECURITY ENERGY TRANSPORT AND MOBILITY BUILT ENVIRONMENT INFORMATION SOCIETY

EOSTAR Acronym : Electro-Optical Signal Transmission And Ranging WIDA 3/15/2012 Eostar Pro suite v2 EOSTAR Acronym : Electro-Optical Signal Transmission And Ranging Container of scientific models developped for maritime scenarios Initially provided R&D solutions (scientific analysis) Became a product in 3 main steps: Integration of user requirements Combine and coordinate a team of various specialists Get a system perspective background target CM False targets Atmosphere EO system Processor

Scientific background of EOSTAR Pro library WIDA 3/15/2012 Eostar Pro suite v2 Scientific background of EOSTAR Pro library Atmospheric studies: Micro-meteorological & refraction models, aerosol measurement and models, satellite remote sensing, innnovative studies (inverse methods) Electro-optical systems characterization: sensor concept and trade off studies, in lab performance measurement and modelling Signature management: Target modelling, signature field measurements, thermal computation and analysis Maritime Background: IR Cluttered background, maritime background simulator

Towards product development WIDA 3/15/2012 Eostar Pro suite v2 Towards product development Technical challenge : from « scientific » to « operational » (↑TRL) Ergonomy : GUI design and selection of results to display Communication : Strategy : Cooperative development (→modular approach) Deployment (→user profiling) Performance : optimization REQUIREMENTS FEEDBACK FUNCTIONAL DESIGN UPGRADES MODELLER END USER

Examples of EOSTAR Pro v1 capabilities WIDA 3/15/2012 Eostar Pro suite v2 Examples of EOSTAR Pro v1 capabilities Target visible! Target not visible! Predict Horizon Reduction Predict Mirages effects Simulate the sensor image Compute the probability of detection Assess the impact of maritime aerosol

Upgrades & Development of EOSTAR Pro v2.x WIDA 3/15/2012 Eostar Pro suite v2 Upgrades & Development of EOSTAR Pro v2.x Scientific models: Upgrades: sensors, target, meteo, IR plume New Development: wake, countermeasures (IR flares), IR seeker (hot spot/imaging) Integration to external applications: client/server interfaces, EOSTAR use as IR image simulator, as processor, or as signature management tool Training: operational and expert training for EOSTAR Pro user community, work with (operational) schools and training facilities Verification & Validation: unit test per module, integration and global test, scientific validation from experiments and trials

Electro-Optical Sensor modelling upgrades WIDA 3/15/2012 Eostar Pro suite v2 Electro-Optical Sensor modelling upgrades Detailed component modelling (optical system, detector materials…) Interface for measurement or predicted sensor performance (MTF, sensor response, ..) New Performance criteria (Alternative to Johnson criteria, image quality for target classification and identification, image and signal processing for IRST and IR seekers) Introduce NIR/VIS sensor modelling capability for v3 TOD method as substitute for Johnson criteria Image distorsion due to sensor effects

Targets database extension WIDA 3/15/2012 Eostar Pro suite v2 Targets database extension Customized and operational target database (CAD modelling, thermal properties, signature computations) From TargetBuilder v1 to SHIBA : (semi) automatic generation of a generic (unclassified) database Target elements parenthood Element geometrical parameters 3D View Control TargetBuilder SHIBA Selection of target class Automatic Generation of a default class instance Final customization of the target

Meteo inputs interfaces & integration WIDA 3/15/2012 Eostar Pro suite v2 Meteo inputs interfaces & integration Interface to mesoscale format (GRIB data format), direct use of NWP to drive EOSTAR Pro: HIRLAM operational data or WRF outputs Build and use reference climalology (when no data is available) We cannot change the environment…. …. But we can predict the effects on sensor performance

Validation efforts Lab measurements, CUBI target, met station WIDA 3/15/2012 Eostar Pro suite v2 Validation efforts Lab measurements, CUBI target, met station Field Compaigns for Atmospheric studies (RED, VAMPIRA,FATMOSE… ) NATO field trials for signature measurement (SAPPHIRE, SQUIRREL,…) In 2012 : SMARTEX

Scientific and modelling challenges of interest WIDA 3/15/2012 Eostar Pro suite v2 Scientific and modelling challenges of interest Coastal environment : new complex and cluttered scene background (land/sea interactions), Inhomogeneous atmophere characterization, coastal aerosol models Complex theater of operation : multiple (unknown) manoeuvring targets, decoys, obscurants Bring the relevant information in time and define the operational impact (mission success?)

WIDA 3/15/2012 Eostar Pro suite v2 Conclusion EOSTAR Pro is meant as a link from R&D to operational product prototyping (dual mode operator/expert) Simple COTS product (runs on a laptop with Windows) Demo available* (since 2011 : v2.4, by end of 2012 : v3) Customization on request Choice of agile development to realistically address user issues Exchange platform thanks to a modular software design *EOSTAR Pro requires a valid license of Modtran4 release 0 version 1

All models are wrong, but some are useful WIDA 3/15/2012 Eostar Pro suite v2 Questions All models are wrong, but some are useful … the practical question is how wrong do they have to be to not be useful. (George E. P. Box)