Comparison of Scenarios Current management vs Drafted bill with re-zoning Expanded wilderness zone 2

Key differences in impacts There is a biodiversity-economy win-win possible Current management not achieving biological or economic potential Re-zoning and built development has costs that reduce its benefits: new ski tourism at expense of lost nature-tourism climate change and obligation to compensate for biodiversity damage could affect its profitability Expanded wilderness zone allows development of nature tourism 3

Location and Distribution of Impacts I Re-zoning and development benefits: outside investors foresters mainly from outside region temporary construction activity seasonal employees in skiing. Some positive impacts will arise locally, but so will negative impacts of damage to nature-tourism 4

Location and Distribution of Impacts II Wilderness expansion: emphasis on range of small-scale local services Greater proportion of economic benefit stays within local area Different visitor opportunities at different times of year 5

Potential in Nature-tourism Market Nature-tourism market is large, growing, competitive Eco-tourism predicted to expand to 25% of global tourism market by 2020 (from 6% in 2010) Sumava’s Wilderness is a unique selling point (USP) nature and economic objectives can align around an expanded wilderness area and expanded tourism activity based on it Sumava’s wilderness is attracting increasing numbers of visitors: access points to current wilderness areas are "full" in NP. Increasing visitor access in existing area could damage the USP Increase visitor access requires enlarged wilderness area 6

Thank you! ian@eftec.co.uk www.eftec.co.uk 20th January 2014