Investment Strategy Perspective The Post Election Outlook Hope and Change or More of the Same? November 2012.

Slides:



Advertisements
Similar presentations
Silver linings in dark clouds James McCann RBS Group Economics May 2013.
Advertisements

“Four Minute” Investment Commentary Richard Behler, Ph.D. Monday, November 12, 2007.
Hedge fund flows on pace to nearly double 2012
To play, start slide show and click on circle Yellow OrangeGreenPurplePink
AI-36904© 2013 American Funds Distributors, Inc. Figures are past results and are not predictive of results in future periods. Investments are not FDIC-insured,
Investment Basics A Guide to Your Investment Options Brian Doughney, CFP® Wealth Management Senior Manager.
PFM Asset Management LLC 222 North LaSalle Suite 910 Chicago, IL Annual Investment Portfolio Review 2012 Fiscal Year.
1 For financial professional or qualified institutional investor use only. Not for inspection by, distribution or quotation to, the general public. Voya.
Investment and Financial Services: What Every Financial Educator Should Know.
Paul Bouchey, Director of Research, Parametric Portfolio Associates
Economic and Market Recap April Equity and Fixed Income Markets IndexMar (%)QTR (%)2014 (%)2013 (%)2012 (%)2011 (%)2010 (%) S&P/TSX Composite.
 This and/or the accompanying statistical information was prepared by or obtained from sources that Magellan Financial, Inc (Magellan Financial, Inc.
Track Record Weyland Capital Management employs a tax-sensitive, globally-diversified investment approach.  The firm’s “all-weather” investment approach.
©UFS Financial Planning 101 Investment Advisory Services offered through Investment Advisor Representatives of MetLife Securities, Inc. (MSI), 200 Park.
Playing it Safe. The mature investor  Less time for markets to work on your behalf  Advisors recommend taking less risks.
1. FIA is a One-Stop Financial Center, helping people take charge of their family’s future. 2 FIA helps bring Equity Indexed Products to middle America.
Economy / Market Analysis
1 Chapter 13 - Stock Purchase stock = buy part of company Returns from dividends and capital appreciation –Dividends – distribution of profits –Neither.
Saxo Bank OUTLOOK 2011 Saxo Bank’s HQ in Copenhagen June 24, 2015.
Types of Investments  Savings Savings  Treasury Bills Treasury Bills  Bonds Government Municipal Corporate  Education  Mutual Funds  Real Estate.
The search for income in a low interest rate world J.P. Morgan Investment Academy Series Accessible investment education from a trusted source FOR INSTITUTIONAL.
TM. Step 1 Selecting your Benchmark Asset Allocation Step 1 Selecting your Benchmark Asset Allocation.
FOR INSTITUTIONAL USE ONLY NOT FOR PUBLIC DISTRIBUTION A guide to economic indicators and their impact on investing J.P. Morgan Investment Academy Series.
(0415) © 2015 Morningstar. All Rights Reserved. By accessing this presentation, you agree to the following terms. If you do not agree to these.
Key Financial, Inc. Patricia C. Brennan CFP ®, CFS 1560 McDaniel Dr. West Chester, PA Ph Fax
FOR INSTITUTIONAL USE ONLY NOT FOR PUBLIC DISTRIBUTION An introduction to the capital markets J.P. Morgan Investment Academy.
Power Income Portfolio For more information call:
Brett Hammond, Ph.D. Managing Director and Chief Investment Strategist, TIAA-CREF ARE WE THERE YET? THE “NEW NORMAL” ECONOMY AND WHAT IT MEANS FOR INVESTORS.
2Q | 2011 Guide to the Markets As of March 31, 2011.
Breaking Down the Barriers to Hedging Speaker | Calum Mackenzie.
by by Financial Markets The place where entities with surplus funds and those requiring funds transact business. The financial market comprises: Money.
Historical Performance Analysis Analysts:. 3-Year Compound Average Growth Rates.
Fundamentals of investing: Why invest? D. Scott Phillips Wells Fargo Advisors, LLC.
G:\CS\UK\2007\!P\Gen07\HottestofthehotOct07 – James Henderson V4.ppt Can UK Equity Income funds keep providing good capital and income growth? Wednesday.
The 7Twelve ® Portfolio Craig L. Israelsen, Ph.D
© 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. Principles of Business, 8e C H A P T E R 19 SLIDE Saving and Investment Planning Stock.
BEYOND INVESTMENT ILLUSIONS 1 When it comes to your financial future, perception is everything.
Equity income: a niche asset class Neil Margolis, Portfolio Manager May 2007.
ASSET ALLOCATION SLIDES The information herein is believed to be reliable but SunGard Online Investment Systems does not warrant its completeness or accuracy.
Savings & Investment Vehicles Mike Meade. Saving vs. Investing Saving o Putting money away for safe-keeping o Emergency funds o Zero risk Investing o.
The Start of a New Cycle in Real Estate? Ian Goltra Portfolio Manager, Forward.
Kevin M. Wilson, PhD Chairman/CEO 1405 Medical Arts Building 324 W. Superior Street Duluth, MN Office: Toll Free: Fax:
Kevin M. Wilson, ChFC, PhD President/CEO/CIO 1405 Medical Arts Building 324 W. Superior Street Duluth, MN Office: Toll Free:
Your Journey Toward Retirement. 2 We are a coordinated team of trusted, experienced professionals working toward your success!
Introduction to Business © Thomson South-Western ChapterChapter Savings and Investment Strategies Saving and investment planning Stock.
Copyright ©2005 Ibbotson Associates, Inc. Long-Term Investment Performance Securities offered through Lincoln Financial Advisors Corp., a broker/dealer,
Prudential Balanced Fund (PRUBF1) November 2011 Fixed information Licensed Date: 5 October 2006 Listing date: 4 December 2006 Base Currency: VND Tenure:
Investment Insights from CI Investment Consulting
Overview Sept BHP Billiton Ltd  BHP is the largest resource company in the world  Primarily involved in the extraction of essential resources.
Kevin M. Wilson, PhD Chairman/CEO 1405 Medical Arts Building 324 W. Superior Street Duluth, MN Office: Toll Free: Fax:
© 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. Principles of Business, 8e C H A P T E R 19 SLIDE Saving and Investment Planning Stock.
Place Client Logo Here Oil Market Outlook Paul Horsnell Head of Commodities Research, Barclays Capital Intertanko Singapore Tanker Event 30 March 2006.
Economic Outlook: relapse or recovery? David Fenton, RBS Group Economics.
CHAPTER 9 Investment Management: Concepts and Strategies Chapter 9: Investment Concepts 1.
Kevin M. Wilson, PhD Chairman/CEO 1405 Medical Arts Building 324 W. Superior Street Duluth, MN Office: Toll Free: Fax:
Member FINRA/SIPC LPL FINANCIAL RESEARCH Putting Current Markets Into Perspective: Why to Stay Invested The economic forecasts set forth in the presentation.
Market Review February 29, 2016 INTEREST RATES Month-End 2/29/16 Month-End 1/31/16 Year End 12/31/15 Fed Funds Rate Yr Treasury DJ.
Module #3: Mutual Funds. What is it? O A pool of funds collected from many investors for the purpose of investing in diversified holdings. O This pool.
Prudential Jennison Value Fund Expiration: 7/31/2016 For financial professional use only. Not for use with the public.
Chapter © 2010 South-Western, Cengage Learning Investing in Mutual Funds, Real Estate, and Other Choices Investing in Mutual Funds 14.
Strategies for volatile times The Aviva name and logo are used under licence from the Aviva plc group July 2010 Stuart Fechner Distribution Development.
Historical Performance Analysis
Technology Investment Overview: Trends and Cycles
2018: A Return To Normal Greg Flower Wealth Management
De-risking in a Low and Rising Interest Rate Environment
Cambria Armor Dividend Strategy Cambria Armor Growth Strategy
Investing and Saving Standard 1: Discuss how saving contributes to financial well-being. Standard 3: Evaluate investment alternatives. Standard 4: Describe.
Beyond Investment Illusions
Financial Markets Update
IASA Northeastern Annual Regional Conference Economic and Capital Markets Overview November 2018 The material contained in this presentation has been.
Presentation transcript:

Investment Strategy Perspective The Post Election Outlook Hope and Change or More of the Same? November 2012

“Elections Have Consequences” – Barack Obama 10/31 Status Quo Ante: Divided Government Is 51% / 49% a Mandate? Compromise vs. Confrontation in Washington Fiscal Cliff Is the Near-Term Challenge Debt and Deficits Are the Long-Term Challenge Safe to Say: Taxes Are Going Up – Higher Rates vs. Broader Base Safe to Say: Regulation is Going Up – Industry Winners and Losers Monetary Policy: Easy Does It Whither the Dollar? 2

Unemployment RateConsumer Price Inflation Unemployment and Inflation: Which is the Lesser Evil? 10/31 % 3

Composite PMI 10/31 Consumer Sentiment 10/31 Current Conditions: Are Business and Consumers on the Same Page? 4

Housing StartsMedian Existing Home Prices U.S. Housing Market: The Worst May Be Over, But a Long Way to Go 9/30 Thousands$ Thousands 5

U.S. Bank Deposits vs. LendingCorporate Cash Money: Not in Motion 12/31 9/30 $ Trillion 6

Average Hourly EarningsReal Median Family Income Here’s the Real Problem: Stagnant Income Growth 12/31 % $ 7

8 S&P 500 Operating Earnings Stock Market Fundamentals: Earnings Up, P/E Ratios Not P/E Ratio 10/31 Quarterly High/Low (Assuming Perfect EPS Foresight)

Price/Earnings Ratio vs. Price/Yield RatiosEarnings Yield vs. Bond Yields Extreme Valuations 10/31 9 % x

10 Year Treasury Yield Net Inflows to Fixed Income Mutual Funds (Monthly)Net Inflows to Equity Mutual Funds (Monthly) S&P 500 Operating Earnings 9/30 Trailing 4 Quarters $ Billions % Curiouser and Curiouser: What Are Individual Investors Thinking? 10

Pension Funds (Estimated)Endowments and Foundations What is the “Smart Money” Thinking? 12/314/30 11

Asset Allocation Highmount Bird in Hand Strategy 12

Investment Performance Highmount Bird in Hand Strategy 13 The Highmount Bird In Hand Portfolio is a model portfolio and the related performance is hypothetical. Performance is time-weighted total rate of return. All returns are gross of fees. The customary Highmount fee for this strategy is 1% per annum. Inception Date is 9/30/2010. *Benchmark is 33% 3-month Treasury Bill/33% Barclays Aggregate Bond Index/33%S&P500.

14 This presentation is made by Highmount Capital LLC and may not be copied, altered, offered, sold or otherwise distributed to any other person by any recipient without the consent of Highmount Capital LLC. This document is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or an offer or solicitation to purchase or sell any security, commodity or investment services. It is expressly not intended for persons who, due to their nationality or place of residence, are not permitted access to such information under local law. Any views or opinions presented herein are solely those of the author and do not necessarily represent those of Higmount Capital LLC. The information included in this discussion is taken from sources that the author and Highmount Capital LLC believe to be reliable but it cannot assume responsibility for the quality, correctness, timeliness or completeness of the information contained in this document. Notwithstanding, the author and Highmount Capital LLC do not guarantee the accuracy of this data, nor does it predict future performance. Readers should not infer or assume that any securities, sectors or markets described were or will be profitable or are appropriate to meet the objectives, situation or needs of a particular individual or family, as the implementation of any financial strategy should only be made after consultation with your attorney, tax adviser and investment adviser. Nothing contained in this report constitutes tax advice, and any discussion of tax matters is not intended or written to be used, and cannot be used, to avoid tax penalties and may not be used in the promotion, marketing or recommendation of any entity, investment plan or arrangement.