Enforcement of speeding and impaired driving: The most effective methods and cost-effective intensity levels Professor Max Cameron Monash Injury Research.

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Presentation transcript:

Enforcement of speeding and impaired driving: The most effective methods and cost-effective intensity levels Professor Max Cameron Monash Injury Research Institute

Monash University Accident Research Centre Whole of University Largely self-funding Now part of the Monash Injury Research Institute that spans all forms of injury e.g. –road safety –occupational safety –domestic safety –suicide –children / old people –sporting / recreational

Over 20 years of empirical research on traffic enforcement in Victoria (and other jurisdictions) - not just theoretical advice based on psychological principles Relationship between Victoria Police and MUARC has led to highly effective evidence-based enforcement Research on enforcement and legislation

The research team Max Cameron Stuart Newstead Kathy Diamantopoulou Amanda Delaney

SPEED ENFORCEMENT

Various objectives and modes of speed camera systems Objectives –local effects, or general effect over road system –specific deterrence (deter re-offending by speeders), or general deterrence (deter potential speeders) Operational modes –fixed or mobile cameras –overt or covert operations –signs indicating camera sites or zones (where a mobile camera may be present) –measure spot-speed or average speed over a section

Diversity of speed camera operations

Visibility Rules for UK speed cameras  Fixed camera housings should be conspicuous yellow  and should not be hidden behind trees or road signs  Mobile camera units  clearly marked vehicles  operators should wear fluorescent clothing  Warning signs must be placed in advance of camera sites –only where cameras are operating regularly

Queensland speed camera unit

Victorian speed camera program from Slant Radar Speed Cameras: Operated 4,000 hours per month (from 1992 to July 2001, then further increased) 2 million vehicles checked per month Average 40,000 speeding tickets per month Multi-million dollar publicity with theme: “Don’t fool yourself - Speed Kills”

Unique characteristics of the Victorian speed camera program Aimed to reduce speeding everywhere at all times Not an “accident black spot” treatment Relatively covert operations Many different locations used (4,500 in total) Relatively large number of cameras Back-office able to process large number of offences (no constraint on camera use)

Victorian mobile speed camera (up to 2001/02)

Victorian car-mounted speed camera

Effects on crashes

Effects on crash injury severity

Conclusions about speed camera effects on road trauma Overt operations have strong local effects –Especially fixed speed cameras Overt mobile cameras can have general effects across the road system –Especially if operations are randomly scheduled in time and space Hiding the cameras adds to the general effect Covert mobile cameras reduce crash injury severity (especially fatal outcome) as well as a general effect on crashes

Moving mode radar

Conclusions about moving mode radar Greatest effect during the four days immediately following the enforcement operations with the effect diminishing five to seven days thereafter –four-day residual effect on casualty crashes Crash reductions were found following mobile radar operations involving either –covert activity (unmarked cars), or –both overt and covert activity (marked and unmarked cars) Highest impact on casualty crashes occurred when high awareness of mass-media publicity accompanied mobile radar operations –effect was greater when publicity was specific to mobile radar enforcement

Conclusions about laser speed detectors Laser speed detectors reduce crashes on roads in urban areas when conducted at low- to medium- intensity levels –sessions typically less than one hour, for up to 15 hours per site per year The effect of laser detection devices appears to be localised in space –overt operations have a general deterrent effect that is limited to the location at which enforcement activity is observed Low- to medium-intensity, overt laser speed enforcement at multiple sites has greater effect than high intensity enforcement at fewer locations

Relationship between enforcement levels and crash outcomes

Change in crashes v. level of enforcement (from Elvik)

Deterrence achieved by Victorian mobile speed camera program The principal mechanism is the actual detection of speeding drivers and the subsequent issuing of penalties (i.e. specific deterrence) Supporting mechanisms are provided by : –publicity emphasising the risks of speeding and detection by a speed camera –perhaps actual camera operations (though covert) (i.e. general deterrence)

Change in casualty crashes versus speeding tickets detected in previous month

Relative risk of fatal crash outcome vs. speeding tickets detected in previous month

Covert mobile speed cameras on urban arterial roads

Queensland speed camera program Overt operations from marked vehicles Signage advising camera presence Sites chosen based only on crash criteria –At least 80% of casualty crash locations are within 2 km of camera sites Random allocation (by Queensland Transport) of camera shifts to sites and time blocks –Very limited opportunities for Police to depart from the random assignment General effect from aggregated local effects

Deterrence achieved by Queensland mobile speed camera program General deterrence at camera sites (at least 2 km) that is long-lasting over time –Drivers perceive an ongoing threat of detection –Due to randomisation in time and space General effect on crashes in Queensland because camera sites are in the vicinity and range of at least 80% of crashes

General effect on casualty crashes: Fitted relationship with speed camera hours

General effect on fatal crashes: Fitted relationship

Overt mobile speed cameras with random scheduling on urban arterial roads

Elvik et al (2012) economic analysis of manual speed enforcement

Speed enforcement package

Economic analysis of the Package

DRINK-DRIVING ENFORCEMENT

Annual Number of Random Breath Tests Victoria,

Random Breath Testing in Melbourne Effects on serious casualty crashes at night

New bus-based operations for Random Breath Testing, 1990 Car based operations supplemented by 13, highly visible, bus-based RBT stations “If you drink then drive, you’re a bloody idiot” campaign launch Rapid rise in the number of drivers tested: 500,000 in 1989, 1.1 million in 1991

Random breath testing – minimum intensity & frequency of testing There is a threshold for the intensity of car- based RBT in urban areas before it is certain that crash reductions will result –about 20 hours per 100 square kilometres per week Car-based RBT in urban areas has residual effects on crashes in the area of testing operations for at least two weeks

RBT – visibility of testing stations The visibility of the RBT operations, and/or the capacity of the testing station to test high proportions of passing motorists, are important factors in increasing the general deterrence effect of RBT –“booze buses” aim to achieve this additional effect However the use of booze buses in rural areas needs to be considered with caution –booze buses operating alone in small rural towns can destabilise drink-driving and increase crashes

Targeted alcohol screening testing Car-based testing of intercepted suspect drivers and/or at targeted locations and times Less effective on crashes than RBT –6% reduction in casualty crashes –Compared with 10% reduction from RBT (and 17% reduction in fatal crashes – more alcohol involved) Role of targeted testing in apprehending those drink-drivers with very elevated BAC (> 0.15 g/100ml) –These “problem” drink-drivers now probably represent the greatest proportion, especially in rural areas

Best practice in drink-driving enforcement RBT in urban areas should be conducted for at least 20 hours per 100 square kilometres per week. Scheduling of RBT in urban areas should make use of the residual effect of at least two weeks and not necessarily return to the same testing area within two weeks.

Best practice in drink-driving enforcement (cont.) RBT operations should be very overt, including high visibility and testing a substantial proportion of passing motorists. However, maximising the number of tests should not be at the expense of covering broad urban areas and achieving the minimum testing hours per unit area.

Best practice in drink-driving enforcement (cont.) Car-based RBT should be used in urban areas in conjunction with RBT buses in order to provide a broader coverage of the urban road system for a greater number of hours per week and hence achieve a general deterrence effect. Car-based RBT should also be conducted on sub-arterial roads and residential streets where it is perceived that RBT buses are not operated.

Best practice in drink-driving enforcement (cont.) Car-based RBT should be preferred in rural areas, covering both minor and major roads. If RBT buses are operated in rural areas, they should not operate alone and should undertake RBT in conjunction with car-based RBT on alternative roads.

Best practice in drink-driving enforcement (cont.) Targeted alcohol screening testing should principally aim to apprehend drink-drivers with very elevated BACs and should not be seen as a substitute for RBT in contributing to the total number of preliminary breath tests conducted.

Relationship between enforcement levels and crash outcomes

Annual RBTs: Victoria

Proportions of drivers and riders killed with BACs above 0.05% and 0.15%, Victoria

Proportion of drivers and riders killed with BAC at or above 0.05%

Victorian drivers and riders killed with BAC at or above 0.05%

Residual drink driving problem 2/3 of killed drink drivers have BAC above 0.15% Those drivers that can be deterred are deterred A residual of those drivers less likely to be deterred are left –Likely to be repeat drink drivers who are unreceptive to the threat of detection and application of traditional legal sanctions (fines and licence withdrawal) –Treatment of underlying alcohol-related problems is required

WA drivers killed with BAC above 0.05%

WA breath tests per licensed driver

Drivers killed with BAC above 0.05% v. RBTs

Drivers killed with BAC above 0.05% v. PBTs

Economic analysis of increased Preliminary Breath Tests (90% RBT) per licensed driver

Elvik et al (2012) economic analysis of drink-driving enforcement

DRUG-DRIVING ENFORCEMENT

Random Drug Testing, Victoria

Percent drivers killed with drugs v. Random Drug Tests p.a. in Victoria

Economic analysis of increased Random Drug Tests per licensed driver

THANK YOU Any questions?