We want to test the claim that less than 15% of people have gotten a speeding ticket in the last year. We sample 400 people, and 13% of our sample has.

Slides:



Advertisements
Similar presentations
Unlocking the Mysteries of Hypothesis Testing
Advertisements

Chapter 7 Hypothesis Testing
Hypothesis Testing For Proportions
Testing a Claim about a Proportion Assumptions 1.The sample was a simple random sample 2.The conditions for a binomial distribution are satisfied 3.Both.
Hypothesis Testing A hypothesis is a claim or statement about a property of a population (in our case, about the mean or a proportion of the population)
Chapter 10 Section 2 Hypothesis Tests for a Population Mean
Hypothesis Testing “Teach A Level Maths” Statistics 2 Hypothesis Testing © Christine Crisp.
Statistical Techniques I EXST7005 Lets go Power and Types of Errors.
1 1 Slide ©2009. Econ-2030-Applied Statistics (Dr. Tadesse) Chapter 9 Learning Objectives Population Mean:  Unknown Population Mean:  Unknown Population.
Hypothesis test with t – Exercise 1 Step 1: State the hypotheses H 0 :  = 50H 1 = 50 Step 2: Locate critical region 2 tail test,  =.05, df = =24.
8-2 Basics of Hypothesis Testing
Intro to Statistics for the Behavioral Sciences PSYC 1900 Lecture 11: Power.
Tests of Hypothesis [Motivational Example]. It is claimed that the average grade of all 12 year old children in a country in a particular aptitude test.
Copyright © 2010, 2007, 2004 Pearson Education, Inc Lecture Slides Elementary Statistics Eleventh Edition and the Triola Statistics Series by.
Lecture Slides Elementary Statistics Twelfth Edition
Overview Definition Hypothesis
Presented by Mohammad Adil Khan
Sections 8-1 and 8-2 Review and Preview and Basics of Hypothesis Testing.
Claims about a Population Mean when σ is Known Objective: test a claim.
Chapter 8 Hypothesis Testing. Section 8-1: Steps in Hypothesis Testing – Traditional Method Learning targets – IWBAT understand the definitions used in.
Overview Basics of Hypothesis Testing
1 Power and Sample Size in Testing One Mean. 2 Type I & Type II Error Type I Error: reject the null hypothesis when it is true. The probability of a Type.
Sections 6-1 and 6-2 Overview Estimating a Population Proportion.
Slide Slide 1 Copyright © 2007 Pearson Education, Inc Publishing as Pearson Addison-Wesley. Section 8-4 Testing a Claim About a Mean:  Known Created by.
Section 9.2 Testing the Mean  9.2 / 1. Testing the Mean  When  is Known Let x be the appropriate random variable. Obtain a simple random sample (of.
Individual values of X Frequency How many individuals   Distribution of a population.
Chapter 6 USING PROBABILITY TO MAKE DECISIONS ABOUT DATA.
Section 9.3 ~ Hypothesis Tests for Population Proportions Introduction to Probability and Statistics Ms. Young.
1 Section 8.3 Testing a claim about a Proportion Objective For a population with proportion p, use a sample (with a sample proportion) to test a claim.
Section 9.2 Hypothesis Testing Proportions P-Value.
Copyright (C) 2002 Houghton Mifflin Company. All rights reserved. 1 Understandable Statistics S eventh Edition By Brase and Brase Prepared by: Lynn Smith.
HYPOTHESIS TESTING. A hypothesis test is a procedure for deciding if a null hypothesis should be accepted or rejected in favour of an alternative hypothesis.
Unit 8 Section 8-1 & : Steps in Hypothesis Testing- Traditional Method  Hypothesis Testing – a decision making process for evaluating a claim.
Unit 8 Section 8-3 – Day : P-Value Method for Hypothesis Testing  Instead of giving an α value, some statistical situations might alternatively.
Slide Slide 1 Section 8-4 Testing a Claim About a Mean:  Known.
: An alternative representation of level of significance. - normal distribution applies. - α level of significance (e.g. 5% in two tails) determines the.
Aron, Aron, & Coups, Statistics for the Behavioral and Social Sciences: A Brief Course (3e), © 2005 Prentice Hall Chapter 5 Introduction to Hypothesis.
Introduction to hypothesis testing Hypothesis testing is about making decisions Is a hypothesis true or false? Ex. Are women paid less, on average, than.
Chapters 6 & 7 Overview Created by Erin Hodgess, Houston, Texas.
Statistical Techniques
Today: Hypothesis testing. Example: Am I Cheating? If each of you pick a card from the four, and I make a guess of the card that you picked. What proportion.
Copyright (C) 2002 Houghton Mifflin Company. All rights reserved. 1 The P Value The P value is the smallest level of significance for which the observed.
Copyright © 2010, 2007, 2004 Pearson Education, Inc Lecture Slides Elementary Statistics Eleventh Edition and the Triola Statistics Series by.
By Mai Fukata AAH Help me!. The meaning of probability is… A way to measure the chances that something will occur in relation to the possible alternatives.
DSCI 346 Yamasaki Lecture 1 Hypothesis Tests for Single Population DSCI 346 Lecture 1 (22 pages)1.
Slide Slide 1 Hypothesis Testing 8-1 Overview 8-2 Basics of Hypothesis Testing Chapter 8.
Hypothesis Testing for Means (Small Samples)
Hypothesis Test for Population Proportion (p)
Review and Preview and Basics of Hypothesis Testing
Is this quarter fair?. Is this quarter fair? Is this quarter fair? How could you determine this? You assume that flipping the coin a large number of.
Math 4030 – 9b Introduction to Hypothesis Testing
Chapters 20, 21 Hypothesis Testing-- Determining if a Result is Different from Expected.
Hypothesis Testing for Proportions
Hypothesis Testing: Hypotheses
Testing a Claim About a Mean:  Known
اختبار الفرضيات اختبارالفرضيات المتعلقة بالوسط
Statistical Inference for the Mean Confidence Interval
Unlocking the Mysteries of Hypothesis Testing
Chapter 5 Introduction to Hypothesis Testing
Chapter 9: Hypothesis Testing
Hypothesis Tests for Proportions
HYPOTHESIS TESTS ABOUT THE MEAN AND PROPORTION
Chi2 (A.K.A X2).
Testing Hypotheses about a Population Proportion
Power Section 9.7.
Graphs and Chi Square.
Is this quarter fair?. Is this quarter fair? Is this quarter fair? How could you determine this? You assume that flipping the coin a large number of.
Testing Hypotheses about a Population Proportion
Testing Hypotheses about a Population Proportion
Testing a Claim About a Mean:  Known
Presentation transcript:

We want to test the claim that less than 15% of people have gotten a speeding ticket in the last year. We sample 400 people, and 13% of our sample has gotten a speeding ticket. This is a left-tailed test Lets use α=0.05 (5% significance level)

Test Statistic: Is this z-value unusual (unlikely to occur by chance alone)? Traditional Method: The bottom 5% of possibilities occur at z-values less than Since our test statistic does not fall below , our test statistic is not unusual (at the 5% significance level)

Traditional Method: The bottom 5% of possibilities occur at z-values less than Since our test statistic does not fall below (in the critical region), our test statistic is not unusual (at the 5% significance level)

P-Value Method: What is the probability of getting a z-value less than -1.12? P(z<-1.12) = So a z-value less than would occur in 13% of samples, even if p = This is not unusual (doesn’t occur less than 5% of the time, based on our significance level).

Conclusion: There is not sufficient sample evidence to support the claim that less than 15% of people have gotten a speeding ticket in the last year. This doesn’t mean that we’re wrong, just that either the true proportion is not very much less than 15%, or that our sample size was not large enough to provide enough evidence.