Competitive cable ’09-10 season. 1 3Q 00 Competitive Cable Overview.

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Presentation transcript:

competitive cable ’09-10 season

1 3Q 00 Competitive Cable Overview

2 ► ratings update ► ’09-10 prime shifts ► new season ► DVR contribution ► where does PTV fit in the landscape? agenda

3 ratings update

4 -1%+14%-5% -4% -3% = Sep – Sep M-Su 8-11pm, P25-54 L+SD, time period averages Most broadcast nets saw small shifts in ’ PBS regained +14% to match its ’ prime rating (0.42). NBC is buoyed by Winter Olympics (1Q 10), Summer Olympics (3Q 08), primetime NFL (4Q). industry ’ % -2%

5 +1%-7%-18% +2% -5% M-Su 8-11pm, P25-54 L+SD, time period averages * same 6-week period each year Entering the new season NBC had the most to regain, following a 36% loss for the Leno 10p hour in fall CBS is top-rated in the new season to- date. FOX 2010 post- season MLB drives the decline vs same period prior year. ALCS -15% World Series -29% new season Sep 20-Oct % -2%

6 b’dcast

7 new season Sep 20–Oct Of 22 new series, only three appear in the top 25 ranking after six weeks. All air on CBS. Of the sophomore series, FOX ’ s Glee, CBS ’ s NCIS LA, and CBS ’ s Undercover Boss each returned to the top 25. Five new series are cancelled: FOX Lone Star ABC My Generation NBC Outlaw ABC The Whole Truth NBC Undercovers M-Su 8-11pm, P25-54 L+SD, specials excluded.

8 cable

= Sep – Sep M-Su 8-11pm, P25-54 L+SD, PQH daypart ratings, Ranking includes >0.10 P25-54 and >5% gain gainers ’09-10 fast look ► ID +38% (0.22) Wed Who Bleep Marry (0.42) Fri Deadly Women (0.38) Mon Disappeared (0.34) Tue Almost Got Away (0.33) Sun On Case P Zahn (0.31) ► HIST +24% (0.68) Mon ( %) Sun ( %) ► APL +14% (0.25) Fri Whale Wars (0.48) Sun River Monsters (0.47) Fri Pitbulls Parolees (0.31) ► TRAV +13% (0.26) Wed Man v Food (0.36) Wed Bert-Conqueror (0.35) P25-54 % increase

10 decliners ’09-10 P25-54 % decrease = Sep – Sep M-Su 8-11pm, P25-54 L+SD, PQH daypart ratings, Ranking includes >0.10 P25-54 and >5% loss fast look ► SOAP -20% (0.20) Prime is ABC soap replays- will relaunch as Disney Jr in 2012 ► VH1 -24% (0.26) Mon originals ( %) Sun originals ( %) ► HALL -26% (0.23) Long-term losses for movie & off-net (plus recent Martha Stewart daytime failure) ► Cable News Nets FOX News -9% (0.49) MSNBC -31% (0.24) HLN -32% (0.15) CNN -54% (0.16)

11 dvr use

12 Ranking includes only 3+ telecasts, specials excluded, ranked by rating point gain of L+7D rating vs live rating cable dvr 3Q cable programs gained ~1 rating point or more via time- shifted viewing LIFE’s Project Runway, AMC’s Madmen and FX’s Rescue Me doubled its live P25-54 rating in the live+7 metric HIST’s Mon 10p Pawn Stars hour falls outside the top 25, gaining 0.50 rating point (25% lift) on its 1.93 live rating.

13 Specials excluded, ranked by rating point gain of L+7D rating vs live rating This table ranks L+7 lift vs live P25-54 by rating point gain. Of the new fall series, CBS’s Hawaii 5-0 shows greatest L+7 lift, followed by NBC’s The Event. 9 of the most time-shifted series air on Thursdays. new season dvr b’cast 4 weeks only! Sep 20-Oct 17

14 where does PTV fit in?

15 Prime Household Rankings (Jan thru Oct 27 for selected cable/broadcast nets) Despite Y-O-Y slippage, the “Big Four” excel in household ratings Fox News is only Cable web to surpass PTV bucket More mature cable nets form the leading tier followed by later-launched niche services

16 Who’s the Target? Median Prime Time age for selected cable/broadcast nets, YTD 2010 The trades focus on 18-49s or adults because that’s what Madison Ave is buying. Should that make it PTV’s audience too? PTV ranks: #12 for P18-34 #10 for P35-54 #6 for P55+ Where should PTV focus, especially as the U.S. population shifts to the right (age-wise)?