Absa AgriBusiness Bank Agri Commodity outlook

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Presentation transcript:

Absa AgriBusiness Bank Agri Commodity outlook Presented By Ernst Janovsky 30 September 2014 Disclaimer: Although everything has been done to ensure the accuracy of the information, the Bank takes no responsibility for actions or losses that might occur due to the usage of this information.

Global food consumption in the next 40yr’s is to exceed total food production of the last 500 years

Demand for food outstrip prediction based on population growth Growth in demand can easily be met by unlocking production growth in Africa and South America.

Investment opportunities in Sub-Sahara based on the economic prospects

Investment in agriculture needs to be match to investment in infrastructure Other factors to consider before investing Asset Management Risk (access to title or asset through leasehold) Operational risk (ease of doing business, accesses to inputs etc.) Marketing risk (Market access, Price discovery, Government intervention etc.)

Investment risk rating (PESTLE) for selected Africa countries

International and domestic long term maize outlook

Domestic short term maize outlook

International and domestic wheat outlook

Domestic short term wheat outlook

World and domestic soya trends

Domestic Oil seed price outlook

Beef price outlook

International Mutton price trends

Pork price outlook

Ostrich outlook

Milk outlook

Poultry price outlook

International fibre outlook

Wool price outlook

Mohair and cotton price outlook

Citrus production outlook

Citrus price outlook

Apple outlook

Pear outlook

Peach outlook

Plum outlook

Apricot outlook

Wine outlook

Table grape production and exports

Table grape domestic market outlook

Vegetable outlook

Potato outlook

Given all challenges and opportunities farming remain profitable

Thank you for the opportunity to share some ideas Contact details E Janovsky Tel (011) 350 6102 Email ernst.janovsky@absa.co.za Disclaimer: Although everything has been done to ensure the accuracy of the information, the Bank takes no responsibility for actions or losses that might occur due to the usage of this information.