Cotton Economic Update National Cotton Council Mid-Year Board Meeting Aug 22-24, 2007
W. Texas Crude Oil Price
Index of Prices Paid
Southeast3,353 2, Mid-South 4,235 2, Southwest6,835 5, West ALL UPLAND 14,948 10, ALL ELS ALL COTTON15,274 11, U.S. Cotton Acreage % Actual Intentions* Change Thousand Acres *USDA-NASS
Crop Futures Prices ’06’07Ratio Jan-Mar Avg Cotton (Dec)$0.593$0.588 Corn (Dec)$2.45$ Soybeans (Nov)$6.15$ Wheat (Jul)$3.92$
Ratio of Futures Prices
U.S. Cotton Production
U.S. Cotton Retail Consumption
Consumption Expenditures
U.S. Cotton Retail Consumption
U.S. Cotton Mill Use
India Cotton Supply & Use
Brazil Cotton Supply & Use
Cotton Production & Use (Foreign less China)
China Cotton Supply & Use
U.S. Cotton Exports
World Cotton Production & Use
Cotton Stocks-to-Use
Nearby NY and “A” (FE) Index
Looking Forward Bullish Factors Production below use Stocks tighten Continued competition for available acres
December Cotton Futures Cents per Pound
December Corn Futures Cents per Bushel
November Soybean Futures Cents per Bushel
Ratio of Futures Prices
Looking Forward Bullish Factors Production below use Stocks tighten Continued competition for available acres Bearish Factors Expanding production in other countries (India) Maintaining demand at higher price levels
Price Indices
Looking Forward Bullish Factors Production below use Stocks tighten Continued competition for available acres Bearish Factors Expanding production in other countries (India) Maintaining demand at higher price levels Wild cards Relying on China to buy 40-50% of US crop General economic performance
MerchantsGinnersCottonseed Producers Cooperatives WarehousesManufacturers