Heuristics and Cognitive Biases Among The American Electorate.

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Presentation transcript:

Heuristics and Cognitive Biases Among The American Electorate. The American Voter Heuristics and Cognitive Biases Among The American Electorate.

Comparative Voter Turnout 1960-2010

Early Research The American Voter -1960, Campbell, Converse Miller and Stokes. “The act of voting requires the citizen to make not a single choice but two. He must choose between rival parties or candidates. He must also decide whether to vote at all” – (pg. 89) The American Electorate is to uniformed and uninterested in politics to bother to vote.

V = Whether A person Will Turnout to Vote Rational Choice People don’t vote because they are stupid, People don’t vote because voting is stupid. (to costly) V=PB – C + D V = Whether A person Will Turnout to Vote PB = Probability the Casters Vote Will Matter C = The Cost of Voting D = a sense of Duty that benefits the voter. V = PB – C An Economic Theory of Democracy

Evolution of Rational Choice Pocketbook Voting Running Tally

But What About That D Term?

The Decline of Rational Choice Cognitive Revolution Behavioralism Advances in Technology Allow social scientists to study the brain in ways that Downs and other Rational Choice Theorists never could. Political scholars begin to doubt the concept that voters develop in isolation. Effect of Parenting.

The Role of Affect Disposition System Surveillance System Heuristics Cognitive Biases

Works Cited