© 2008 ICF International. All rights reserved. NYSERDA No Indian Point Case Results June 26, 2009 Contacts: Kevin R. Petak ( ) Vice President,

Slides:



Advertisements
Similar presentations
Rich Paglia Vice President
Advertisements

ENERGY VALUE. Summary  Operational Value is a primary component in the Net Market Value (NMV) calculation used to rank competing resources in the RPS.
WinDS-H2 MODEL Wind Deployment Systems Hydrogen Model Workshop on Electrolysis Production of Hydrogen from Wind and Hydropower Walter Short Nate Blair.
WESTERN ENERGY INFRASTRUCTURE ASSESSMENT Energy Infrastructure Policy Group Office of Energy Projects Docket No. AD Item A-3 July 23, 2003.
Financial Model.
© 2008 ICF International. All rights reserved. NYSERDA Much Colder Than Normal Weather Combination Case Results December 2009 Contacts: Kevin R. Petak.
Energy Curtailment Specialists Your Full Time Partner in Demand Response NARUC / FERC Collaborative on Demand Response … Energy Curtailment Specialists,
SPP’s 2013 Energy Consumption and Capacity 2 12% annual capacity margin requirement CapacityConsumption Total Capacity 66 GW Total Peak Demand 49 GW.
1.  Purpose  To present Staff’s Preliminary Findings on the 2012 Integrated Resource Plans of:  APS – Arizona Public Service Company  TEP – Tucson.
David Schlissel and Cathy Kunkel When, Not If: Bridgeport’s Future and the Retirement of PSEG’s Coal Plant January 23, 2014.
Connecticut’s Energy Future Connecticut Energy Advisory Board Conference Hartford, Connecticut December 2, 2004 Kevin Kirby Vice President, Market Operations.
North American Energy Standards Board (NAESB) Electric and Gas Industry Coordination in New England: Cold Weather Conditions Houston, Texas February 9,
2011 Long-Term Load Forecast Review ERCOT Calvin Opheim June 17, 2011.
2001 & 2002 Energy Preparedness Tucson Electric Power February 16, 2001 Michael Flores, Manager Control Area Operations David Hutchens, Manager Wholesale.
U.S. Energy Information Administration Independent Statistics & Analysis Short-Term Energy Outlook and Winter Fuels Outlook For NASEO Winter.
1 The Effects of Integrating Wind Power on Transmission System Planning, Reliability, and Operations Phase 1 Preliminary Overall Reliability Assessment.
© 2008 ICF International. All rights reserved. NYSERDA Much Colder Than Normal Weather Case Results November 2009 Contacts: Kevin R. Petak (
© 2008 ICF International. All rights reserved. NYSERDA Repower Case Results July 1, 2009 Contacts: Kevin R. Petak ( ) Vice President, Gas.
© 2008 ICF International. All rights reserved. NYSERDA Case 1 Results June 24, 2009 Contacts: Kevin R. Petak ( ) Vice President, Gas Market.
© 2008 ICF International. All rights reserved. New York Gas Market Overview Based on NYSERDA Case 1 (n0908) March 2009 Contacts: Kevin R. Petak (
The Commonwealth of Virginia 2015 State Contracts Meeting – Compass Energy Placeholder.
National Renewable Energy Laboratory Innovation for Our Energy Future * NREL July 5, 2011 Tradeoffs and Synergies between CSP and PV at High Grid Penetration.
Energy Business Solutions Michigan IRP Working Group Meeting June 10, 2005.
GE Energy Asia Development Bank Wind Energy Grid Integration Workshop: Issues and Challenges for systems with high penetration of Wind Power Nicholas W.
PJM©2013 Future Generation Mix in PJM Governor’s Conference on Energy Richmond, VA Steven R. Herling Vice President, Planning PJM Interconnection October.
®® QUESTAR GAS Transportation Balancing Susan Davis, Director, Account & Community Relations February 28, 2014 We develop, transport and deliver clean.
Future Energy Scenarios 2015 Supply Marcus Stewart Demand and Supply Manager.
1 Status of and Outlook for Coal Supply and Demand in the U.S. Imagine West Virginia Spring 2010 Board of Governors Meeting April 13, 2010 Scott Sitzer.
Regulatory Responses to Natural Gas Price Volatility Commissioner Donald L. Mason, Esq. Vice-Chairman of NARUC Gas Committee Vice Chairman or the IOGCC.
Highlights of AESC 2011 Report Vermont Presentation August 22, | ©2011 Synapse Energy Economics Inc. All rights reserved.
Bruce B. Henning Vice President, Energy Regulatory and Market Analysis The New Energy Reality: Implications for Natural Gas and Oil Pipeline.
Stan Chapman SVP, Marketing & Customer Services Oct 8, 2013.
Michael Dirrane Director, Northeast Marketing NASUCA 2012 Annual Meeting November 13, 2012.
1 ISAT Module III: Building Energy Efficiency Topic 8: Thermal Performance Monitoring  Degree Days  Example of Degree days  Thermal Energy Consumption.
Preliminary Results with the Regional Portfolio Model Michael Schilmoeller for the Northwest Power and Conservation Council Generation Resource Advisory.
OVERVIEW OF ISSUES DR AND AMI HELP SOLVE Dr. Eric Woychik Executive Consultant, Strategy Integration, LLC APSC Workshop on DR and AMI.
New Hampshire Energy Summit Rich Paglia President, Maritimes & Northeast Pipeline Vice President, Marketing New England Pipeline Expansion Update.
® ®® ® IRP Workshop Feb 9, ®  February 9, Workshop - Review of 2014 IRP Order - December 30 and 31 Weather Event - Demand Forecast and 65%
1 Winter Outlook Heating season Natural gas at low end of rising commodity tide Commodity price changes since January Source: CME Group,
Natural Gas Update: EIA NARUC Winter Meeting Barbara Mariner-Volpe, Energy Information Administration February 23, 2003.
Energy Information Adminisration’s Outlook On Natural Gas Arkansas Public Service Commission “The Future Supply And Price of Natural Gas” June 3, 2003.
Plug-in Vehicles and the Electric Grid Mark Kapner, PE Senior Strategy Planner Austin Energy
2015 New Hampshire Energy Summit 5 October 2015 Robert Scott, Commissioner, New Hampshire Public Utilities Commission.
September 21, 2005 ICF Consulting RGGI Electricity Sector Modeling Results Updated Reference, RGGI Package and Sensitivities.
Natural Gas and Power Generation Natural Gas and Power: A Look at Prices Carbon Legislation and Power Generation The future of Power Generation and the.
RGGI Workshop on Electricity Markets, Reliability and Planning Topic Session 3: RGGI Design, Markets and Reliability – Issues Relating to System Operations.
Resource Adequacy Steering Committee Meeting October 4, 2011.
Summer Energy Market Assessment 2005 May 4, 2005 Federal Energy Regulatory Commission Office of Market Oversight and Investigations Disclaimer: This Report.
Southern California Edison The San Onofre Nuclear Generating Station April 14, 2011.
TRANSMISSION CONSTRAINTS KENNETH A. DONOHOO, P.E. Manager of System Planning, Technical Operations
BI Marketing Analyst input into report marketing Report TitleElectricity in Texas Report Subtitle State profile of power sector, market trends and investment.
Out of Region Market Assumption Resource Adequacy Technical Committee December 1, 2011.
Aliso Canyon Reliability Briefing to the Porter Ranch Community Advisory Committee Edward Randolph, Energy Division Director, California Public Utilities.
Natural Gas Outlook The Tennessee Regulatory Authority Natural Gas Symposium August 19, 2003 Roy Kass Energy Information Administration (EIA)
Scheduling, Market Efficiency and Customer Impacts N
Karen Chiang Diane Cunningham Southern Company Load Research 1 When Normal Weather Is Not Normal AEIC Load Research Workshop April 2006.
2015 NARUC Winter Meeting Nick Wagner – Iowa Utilities Board 1.
The Impact of CO 2 Emission Constraints on U.S. Electric Sector Water Use Colin Cameron 1, William Yelverton 2, Rebecca Dodder 2, Jason West 1 1 University.
The Commonwealth of Virginia 2016 State Contracts Meeting – Compass Energy Placeholder.
Ahmed Kaloko, Ph.D. Director Bureau of Conservation, Economics & Energy Planning Harrisburg PA COMPARISON OF PJM-ISO WITH CALIFORNIA-ISO Pennsylvania.
Energy Emergency Alert (EEA) UPDATE F EBRUARY 8, 2011.
Hybrid Forecast for Resource Adequacy Analysis with recommendations Massoud Jourabchi April
Bruce B. Henning Vice President, Energy Regulatory and Market Analysis Natural Gas in New England: Gas-Electric Interdependency.
1 Glen Sweetnam Energy Information Administration Houston, Texas November 16, 2007 Outlook for North American Natural Gas Demand.
1 Gas Supply Preparations September 22, 2004 Columbia Gas of Maryland, Inc. Gas Supply Preparations September 22, 2004 Scott Phelps Director of Gas Procurement.
WEFA Inc. Northeast Natural Gas Market Outlook Ron Denhardt Vice President, WEFA Energy Services September.
Argentine Power Market Fuel Oil Use & Opportunities for the Future Central Puerto S.A. Fuel Oil / Energy Buyer’s Conference Miami, September 2000.
Northeast Natural Gas Market Outlook
New England Gas Overview
RE Grid Integration Study with India
Presentation transcript:

© 2008 ICF International. All rights reserved. NYSERDA No Indian Point Case Results June 26, 2009 Contacts: Kevin R. Petak ( ) Vice President, Gas Market Modeling Frank E. Brock ( ) Senior Energy Market Specialist ICF International

2 Sensitivity Assumptions  Indian Point Nuclear Power Plant is assumed to be retired prior to  Plant generation is fully replaced with a 2.5 GW natural gas-fired combined cycle plant at the same location.  Heat Rate assumed 7,064  Base load consumption of 337 MMcf per day.  Plant operates at an 82 percent load factor.  Plant is served by Algonquin and Millennium Pipelines.

3 Seasonal Consumption by Sector:

4 Seasonal Consumption by Region:

5 Daily RIAMS Conditions  Projected for January  Assumed temperatures on the peak day –New York City is 5 degrees Fahrenheit on the peak gas demand day Average temperature in January is 33 degrees; Average minimum is 15 degrees –Buffalo is -3 degrees Fahrenheit on the peak gas demand day Average temperature in January is 25 degrees; Average minimum is 7 degrees

6 Daily Consumption by Sector: Jan 2018

7 Daily Consumption by Region: Jan 2018

8 New York Gas Peak and Average Day Imports/Exports

9 New York Monthly Average Gas Imports/Exports

10  Case has nearly 600 MMcf per day of unmet demand on a peak day. –75% in New England –Remaining 25% New York Interruptible  No significant firm curtailments within New York. RIAMS Model Curtailments No Indian Point Case

11  Flows on most pipelines similar to reference 2018 case. –Most pipelines are very full on a peak day.  Unmet demand of about 600 MMcf per day in New York and New England due to pipeline constraints.  Relative to the Reference case, largest flow impacts from a new gas-fired power plant at the Indian Point site occur on Algonquin and Millennium pipelines.  Western New York storage is more heavily used to meet load at Indian Point during a peak day.  Without firm contracts for the plant, gas flow would most likely continue on Algonquin into New England as opposed to meeting Indian Point load. RIAMS Model Conclusions No Indian Point Case

© 2008 ICF International. All rights reserved. NYSERDA Indian Point Case Results June 26, 2009 Contacts: Kevin R. Petak ( ) Vice President, Gas Market Modeling Frank E. Brock ( ) Senior Energy Market Specialist ICF International