Grant Willis Global Head of Natural Resources

Slides:



Advertisements
Similar presentations
Funding Investments in Australia
Advertisements

The Rise of LNG - Australia Shell Estimate IEA New Policy Estimate Japan Govt Estimate AUSTRALIAN OUTLOOK Current production-20 mtpa Short-term-Pluto 24.
1 The Chaser. 2 General advice warning and disclaimer Any opinions expressed in this presentation constitute our judgement at the time of issue and are.
Q Results. 2 Disclaimer This presentation does not constitute or form part of, and should not be construed as, any offer for sale of, or solicitation.
Irish recovery? Pär Magnusson
Confidential Date: June 2011 PRELIMINARY | SUBJECT TO FURTHER REVIEW AND EVALUATION These materials may not be used or relied upon for any purpose other.
13 September 2007] Vurdering af grunnfondsbeviset og grunnfondsbevisbankerne set fra London.
Supporting Manufacturing in the South West INTRODUCTION.
Presentation of Full Year Results Michael Cameron Chief Financial Officer 20 August
A Global Economic and Market Outlook March 2009 Presented by Dr Chris Caton.
Annual Report 2003 Bank van de Nederlandse Antillen Willemstad, July 5, 2004.
Saxo Bank OUTLOOK 2011 Saxo Bank’s HQ in Copenhagen June 24, 2015.
A Global Economic and Market Outlook Presented by Chris Caton 15 March 2005.
A Global Economic and Market Outlook August 2010 Presented by Dr Chris Caton.
Welcome to Meinl Bank AG Mag. Martin Greibl Vienna, 27 th of February 2013.
LNG in Australia and the emerging roll of CSM
DEVELOPMENT OF THE OIL AND GAS INDUSTRY: THE AUSTRALIAN GOVERNMENT PERSPECTIVE Thomas Bernecker Australian Government, Department of Industry, Geoscience.
A global economic and market outlook Dr Chris Caton February 2015.
Martin Arnold Director - Research Analyst ETF Securities.
STRICTLY CONFIDENTIAL Positioning for Growth Tasmanian Strata Industry Tim MacKenzie Associate Director Friday 9 th August.
FX market program for ranking market makers in EURUSD_TOM May 2014, Moscow Viktoriya Gulavskaya Head of trading technologies and market making.
An Equity Perspective Paul Malan Global Markets 21 January 2004.
Mike Zenker Barclays Capital Research (415) November 12, 2007
1 URALSIB BANK May I. UralSib Financial Corporation.
Warren Jestin SVP & Chief Economist As The World Turns Presentation to: International Society of Hospitality Consultants Quebec City, October 2, 2009.
European natural gas market and GDF SUEZ LNG activities Session 4 “New procurement behaviors by consumers” 2nd LNG Producer - Consumer Conference Tokyo,
Client Update September 2013 Andrew Tasker – GFM Representative WA.
Back to a new kind of normal: investment prospects for 2010 and beyond Brian Parker CFA, Investment Strategist MLC Investment Management April 2010.
Rebuilding confidence Han de Jong Group Economics March 2012.
For institutional investors and professional advisers only. This information has not been approved for use with customers. THE CASE FOR EUROPEAN COMMERICAL.
G:\CS\UK\2007\!P\Gen07\HottestofthehotOct07 – James Henderson V4.ppt Can UK Equity Income funds keep providing good capital and income growth? Wednesday.
April 2015 LIIEA Conference May 21, p Where Are The World Economies? Although unemployment has improved across the globe since this time last.
Risks & Opportunities in Asia Florence Tan, ANZ Wealth Asia.
2008 – Thoughts To Ponder IPAA Private Capital Conference January 16, 2008 Dan Pickering.
Dunedin Income Growth Investment Trust PLC Report for the half year ended 31 July 2014 November 2014 Ben Ritchie, Senior Investment Manager Aberdeen Asset.
Chapter 7 Commercial bank financial statement Salwa Elshorafa 2009 © 2005 Pearson Education Canada Inc.
PRODUCTIVITY – THE PICTURE FOR THE UK & THE WEST MIDLANDS SUSTAINING COMPETITIVENESS CONFERENCE – THE BELFRY RHYS HERBERT SENIOR ECONOMIST 6 JULY 2012.
Natural Resources & Related Industries Natexis Banques Populaires FINANCING THE INDEPENDENTS NOT AN OFFICIAL UNCTAD RECORD.
Muhammad Afaaq MC MBA(Finance) Finance (FINI-619) Internship report on National Bank of Pakistan.
Results March Disclaimer The information in this presentation does not constitute or form any part of, and should not be construed as,
Baring Asset Management (Asia) Limited 19/F, Edinburgh Tower, 15 Queen’s Road Central, Hong Kong Tel Authorised and regulated.
Legal notice Certain statements included in this presentation contain forward-looking information concerning BG Group plc’s strategy, operations, financial.
Merrill Lynch Matt Western ACG2021 Section 002. Executive Summary Overall Merrill Lynch had a great year in They increased their revenues 11% from.
Place Client Logo Here Oil Market Outlook Paul Horsnell Head of Commodities Research, Barclays Capital Intertanko Singapore Tanker Event 30 March 2006.
S T R I C T L Y P R I V A T E A N D C O N F I D E N T I A L 1 [ PRESENTED AT THE ASIAN BANKER SUMMIT 2011 ] April 7, 2011 LIQUIDITY MANAGEMENT POST 2008.
2009 Coal Seam Gas Safety Forum Paul Zealand, Executive General Manager Upstream Oil & Gas Friday 14 August 2009.
Slide 1 Ingenious Asset Managementwww.ingeniousmedia.co.uk Discretionary Portfolio Management Economic Overview Philip Todd 9th October 2012.
Innovation driven by regulation The changing face of cash investment 23 February 2016 Leigh Mahoney and Matthew Byrne ANZ Bank.
FY 2006 results presentation X5 Retail Group N.V. March 1, 2007.
Europe’s Sovereign Debt Crisis STEVE COCHRANE, MANAGING DIRECTOR OCTOBER 18, 2011.
2015 YEAR END RESULTS 17 March 2016 Arbuthnot Banking Group PLC.
1 Experience of a Russian bank in collaboration with Chinese partners Evgeny Kravchenko Head of Export Finance 29 th January 2015.
CONFIDENTIAL Corporate Banking Meet your complex lending and cash management requirements with a full range of solutions tailored to your specific needs.
February 2016 CONFIDENTIAL CIBC Capital Markets We are a strong banking partner dedicated to delivering integrated and customized financial solutions that.
February 2016 CONFIDENTIAL Corporate Banking Meet your complex lending and cash management requirement with a full range of solutions tailored to your.
CONFIDENTIAL CIBC Capital Markets We are a strong banking partner dedicated to delivering integrated and customized financial solutions that meet the unique.
CONFIDENTIAL CIBC Capital Markets We are a strong banking partner dedicated to delivering integrated and customized financial solutions that meet the unique.
October 2012 Admission of professional participants – non-credit institutions to trading on the Moscow Exchange FX market.
HSBC Fund Managers Survey: Tracking Global Money Flows 23 June 2009
February 2016 CONFIDENTIAL CIBC Capital Markets We are a strong banking partner dedicated to delivering integrated and customized financial solutions that.
BP Global Environmental Products
NCSHA 2016 MRB’s – Now and In the Future
AN INTRODUCTION TO FINANCIAL STATMENTS
SA’s finances.
Under-rated assets in an over-priced world
Connecting Customers to Opportunities PUBLIC.
Mark Bennett, Head of Agribusiness, ANZ
Environmental Upgrade Finance
IASA Northeastern Annual Regional Conference Economic and Capital Markets Overview November 2018 The material contained in this presentation has been.
Presentation transcript:

Grant Willis Global Head of Natural Resources The Australian Oil & Gas Industry Grant Willis Global Head of Natural Resources January 2014

This presentation does not constitute an offer to provide finance on any terms. The provision of any such offer is subject to formal review and credit approval, satisfactory due diligence, sign off by legal, tax, accounting and other professional advisers and execution of satisfactory documentation. The Commonwealth Bank shall not be bound unless and until final terms are agreed and formal documentation is signed. That final documentation may not necessarily mirror the contents of this presentation and any actions you may choose to take should not be taken in reliance on this presentation. The information contained herein is confidential and is the proprietary structure of the Commonwealth Bank. It is provided on the basis that you will not disclose its contents to any persons other than directors, employees and advisors without the written consent of the Commonwealth Bank. It is not to be discussed either directly or indirectly with any other financier. This obligation will not apply if the information is available to the public generally (except as a result of a previous breach of this confidentiality obligation) or you are required to disclose it by law. © Copyright Commonwealth Bank Australia

The Commonwealth Bank of Australia Australia’s largest bank by market capitalisation 14.6m Customers 3,000 Institutional Clients KEY FINANCIALS CREDIT RATING S&P Moody’s Fitch Statutory NPAT A$7,677m Cash NPAT A$7,819m Return on equity 18.4% Total assets A$754b Cash earnings per share A$4.86 Dividend per share A$3.64 Basel III CET1 (International) 11.0% Industry specialisation and understanding make the Bank an ideal partner providing balance sheet strength and broad product capability Oil & Gas industry teams placed in key commercial and financing hubs. CBA is a Bank that actively deploys balance sheet into our client’s businesses Broad range of debt products spanning project, corporate and acquisition finance Strong global financial markets capabilities across commodities, foreign currency and interest rates The only domestic Australian bank with a full in-house equity business, focused on retail and institutional clients LIQUIDITY (AUD) GLOBAL COMPARISON $101b June 2011 $135b June 2012 $137b June 2013 Market Capitalisation (US$bn) Global Market Capitalisation Ranking Senior Debt Rating Moody’s S&P 268.02 1 A2 A+ 243.52 2 A3 A 232.44 4 Aa3 198.11 6 Baa2 A- 183.81 7 124.01 10 Aa2 AA- 104.29 15 92.91 18 Baa1 Source: Bloomberg. As at 13 January 2014. Credit rating: S&P

The Growing Commonwealth Bank of Australia The Bank provides Natural Resources and product specialists across the globe London office UK Norway The Netherlands Eastern Europe Africa New York office Houston office United States Canada Singapore office Hong Kong office East & SE Asia Sydney office Australia New Zealand East & SE Asia

Commonwealth Bank of Australia – Products and Clients Cash & Treasury Management Payables & Procurement Foreign Currency Accounts Trade Finance CommBiz Term Deposits Commodities Sales & Trading Structured Commodity Finance Structured Investments Interest Rates FX Transaction Banking Financial Markets Working Capital Acquisition & Bridge Finance Project & Development Finance Corporate & Structured Asset Finance Equity & Debt Capital Markets Capital Raising

Australian Economy – Outlook CBA’s Global Outlook   2010 (a) 2011 (a) 2012 (a) 2013 (a) 2014 (f) 2015 (f) GDP Growth (% YoY) FX AUD/USD 0.94 0.91 0.90 EUR/USD 1.34 1.32 1.305 GBP/USD 1.63 1.62 1.54 Base Interest Rate Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) 2.50% 2.56% 3.00% US Federal Reserve (Fed) 0.25% 0.75% European Central Bank (ECB) People's Bank of China - Benchmark 1 Year Lending Rate 6.00% Oil (USD/bbl) WTI 98.00 91.00 94.00 Brent 109.00 99.00 97.00

Natural Resources Economic Data Source: CBA

Global Listed E&P Stocks Where does Australia stand? Market Capitalisation of Global E&P Stocks # of Stocks % of Stocks Mkt. Cap (USDbn) % of Total Mkt Cap Median (USDm) Global Revenue % of Global Revenue Global 1052 100% 1231 34 471 US 335 32% 608 49% 240 51% Canada 347 33% 185 15% 17 58 12% Europe (incl UK) 139 13% 136 11% 80 28 6% Asia Pac (ex AU) 55 5% 226 18% 297 121 26% Australia 67 20 13 3% Source: CBA and Bloomberg

Australian E&Ps by Market Capitalisation (AUDm) ASIA Source: CBA and Bloomberg

Recent Unconventional Gas Farm-ins Are attracting a roll call of international majors / Amount $70m Acres 4.0m EV / Acre 17.6 Date May-2011 / Amount $152m Acres 4.1m EV / Acre 37.3 Date Nov-2012 / Amount $156m Acres 7.7m EV / Acre 20.3 Date Dec-2011 Uncovered natural gas pipelines Full regulation pipelines Browse LNG Prelude FLNG Canning Perth Gippsland Amadeus Georgina Officer Galilee Arckaringa Otway Beetaloo Darwin LNG Ichthys Cooper Maryborough Gunnedah / Sydney Wheatstone NW Shelf LNG Pluto Gorgon Light regulation pipelines / Amount $210m Acres 9.1m EV / Acre 22.9 Date Jun-2012 Amount $12m Acres 1.9m EV / Acre 6.2 Date May-2012 APLNG, Arrow LNG, GLNG and QCLNG, / Amount $50m Acres 3.3m EV / Acre 15.0 Date Dec-2010 / Amount $111m Acres 7.7m EV / Acre 14.4 Date Sep-2011 / Amount $101m Acres 0.4m EV / Acre 268.6 Date Jul-2011 / Amount $32.2m Acres 5.5m EV / Acre 5.9 Date Nov-2013 / Amount $349m Acres 0.4m EV / Acre 904.1 Date Feb-2013 Source: Relevant company announcements

Putting the Australian opportunity in context United States of America Australia Land Area 3.79 million mi2 2.97 million mi2 Natural Gas Demand 24.37 Tcf/yr (Net Imports 1.94 Tcf/yr) 2.09 Tcf/yr (Net Exports 1.0 Tcf/yr) 2,203 Tcf1 Gas Resource Potential 820 Tcf2 Gas Prices (US$/MMBtu) $10 $3 $5 $9 Ability to Deliver US AUS Rigs 1,800 50 Wells 37,000 1,200 Processing(3) 600 25 Pipelines (mi) 350,000 20,000 Technically recoverable resources Total demonstrated gas resources Number of plants Source : EIA Independent Statistics & Analysis, EIA Annual Energy Review 2011 , BREE 2012 Gas Resource Assessment, Energy Quest and Santos analysis

Australian Exploration Activity and Expenditure Source: APPEA

Historical Oil & Gas Production Source: APPEA

LNG Exports – by country Australian LNG Exports to Exceed 78 mtpa by 2020

Australian & Papua New Guinean LNG Projects GLNG (C) GLNG Santos / Petronas / Total QCLNG (C) BG Group Scarborough FLNG (P) ExxonMobil / BHP Gorgon (C) Chevron Darwin LNG (O) ConocoPhillips PNG LNG (C) ExxonMobil / Oil Search/ Santos Liquid Niugini Gas (Elk 1&2) (P) InterOil / Total Pluto (O) Woodside Browse (P) NWSV Trains 1-5 (O) Sunrise (P) Wheatstone (C) Chevron / Apache Prelude (C) Shell Ichthys (C) INPEX / Total APLNG (C) Australia Pacific LNG ConocoPhillips / Origin Energy / Sinopec Bonaparte FLNG (P) Santos / GDF SUEZ Arrow LNG (P) Shell / Petro China Offshore Conventional Gas to LNG Projects Coal Seam Gas to LNG Projects Onshore Conventional Gas to LNG Projects (P) Proposed (C) Construction (O) Operating Source: WorleyParsons, CBA

Case Study: Ichthys LNG Project Principal Project Components USD34bn capex budget The upstream facilities comprise around 50 subsea production wells and subsea production systems connected to a Semi-sub central processing facility and FPSO Gas will be transported to the LNG plant at Darwin via an 889km, 42” sub-sea pipeline Once transported to Darwin the gas will be processed at the onshore LNG Facilities. The project is designed to produce approximately 8.4mtpa of LNG from two trains, up to 100,000 bpd of field and plant condensate and up to 1.6mtpa of LPG at peak, with First LNG is scheduled for 2016

Conclusions The future of Australian oil & gas is bright. CBA remains committed to the sector. Oil prices remain high against historical, domestic gas prices are rising – the economic settings are stable. The conventional gas fields in central Australia are enjoying a renaissance. 7 LNG projects will shortly begin producing in 2014 and ramp up into 2017. International players continue to invest and support the Australian oil & gas industry. We could do with finding some more oil though.

Key Contacts Houston to UPDATE AS RELEVANT Client Coverage Group Project Finance Equity Capital Markets Grant Willis Managing Director P: +44 20 77106990 E: grant.willis@cba.com.au 85 Queen Victoria St, London England Michael Thorpe Managing Director P: +61 (0)2 9118 4337 E: thorpemi@cba.com.au 201 Sussex Street Sydney 2000 Geoff Carrick Managing Director P: +61 (0)2 9117 0377 E: hope.gatis@cba.com.au 201 Sussex Street Sydney 2000 Andrew Loadsman Executive Director, Natural Resources P: +61 (0)2 9118 4330 E: andrew.loadsman@cba.com.au 201 Sussex Street Sydney 2000 Australia Charles Davis Executive Director P: +61 (0)2 9118 4304 E: charles.davis@cba.com.au 201 Sussex Street Sydney 2000 Michael Neal Executive Director P: +61 (0)2 9118 28 28 E: michael.neal@cba.com.au 201 Sussex Street Sydney 2000 Jan Gabrynowicz Director, Oil, Gas, Energy & Utilities P: +61 (0)2 9118 4331 E: jan.gabrynowicz@cba.com.au 201 Sussex Street Sydney 2000 Howard Mann Associate Director P: +61 (0)2 9118 1207 E: howard.mann@@cba.com.au 201 Sussex Street Sydney 2000

Disclaimer & Confidentiality Select which disclaimer to include This Discussion Paper, provided by Commonwealth Bank of Australia ABN 48 123 123 124 (‘Commonwealth Bank’), is confidential and is provided to you on the basis that you will not disclose its contents to any person other than your directors, employees, agents and professional advisors without our consent. The information provided in this document is the copyright of Commonwealth Bank. This obligation will not apply if the information is available to the public generally (except as a result of a previous breach of this confidentiality obligation) or you are required to disclose it by law.   Commonwealth Bank believes that the information herein is correct and any opinions, conclusions or recommendations contained in this document are reasonably held or made as at the time of its compilation but makes no warranty as to the accuracy and reliability of the completeness of that information. The Commonwealth Bank accepts no responsibility for any loss or damage which may be suffered by any person, directly or indirectly, as a result of the material contained in this document. The contents of this document should not be relied upon as a substitute for appropriate/ professional advice or as a basis for formulating business or other decisions. The information contained in this presentation is made available only for persons who are wholesale clients as defined in the Corporations Act 2001. This document is not intended to represent an offer of finance or to issue any financial products, and is based on Commonwealth Bank’s current understanding of the facts.  Further due diligence of the specific circumstances is required to confirm any outcomes are achievable.  Any subsequent financing proposal would be subject to Commonwealth Bank’s formal review and credit approval process, market conditions at the relevant time and documentation. All legal, accounting or taxation outcomes described or alluded to in this Discussion Paper are provided without any liability whatsoever to Commonwealth Bank, whether for negligence or otherwise, and are not intended to constitute legal, accounting or taxation advice. The information provided is therefore indicative of what the expected outcomes of the transaction might be, based on assumed facts as contemplated by the Discussion Paper, and should not be relied upon.  On this basis, no representation or warranty, expressed or implied, is made as to the accuracy, completeness or thoroughness of content of such information. As actual outcomes will depend on each client’s specific facts and circumstances, it is with respect to such unique facts and circumstances that we strongly advise that your company seek its own legal, accounting and taxation advice.

Recoverable Shale Gas Resources: Top 10 Australia – It’s a Gas! Recoverable Shale Gas Resources: Top 10 Shale Gas (TcF) Rank # China 1,115 1 Argentina 802 2 Algeria 707 3 USA 665 4 Canada 573 5 Mexico 545 6 Australia 437 7 South Africa 390 8 Russia 285 9 Brazil 245 10 World Total 7,299 Source: EIA, Technically Recoverable Shale Oil and Shale Gas Resources, June 2013 Source: Geoscience Australia

Ichthys LNG Project – Project Financing Largest ever project financing transaction Inpex (Japan) and Total SA (France) are the major partners in the Ichthys LNG project which raised USD20bn of project financing and reached financial close in January 2013 CBA is the largest non-Japanese lender CBA is the Intercreditor Agent and Uncovered Sub-Facility Agent Largest Project Finance Deal Project sponsor engagement with Export Credit Agencies (ECA) commenced during 2010 – over two years ahead of financial close The financing process commenced in November 2011 when lenders provided preliminary RFPs. Banks provided final credit approvals in June 2012 and Financial Close was reached in January 2013, eight months after receipt of the formal RFP Significant debt amount – USD20bn the largest ever project financing Multi-lender engagement strategy (ECAs, banks and sponsor debt, and provision for bonds) Banks lent USD10.2bn to the project (USD4.8bn Uncovered (47%) and $5.4bn (53%) Covered) 3 ECAs directly lent USD5.8bn, and Sponsors provided loans of USD4bn The project has a number of attractions and some challenges to lenders: Strategically aligned Sponsors group (Inpex 66%, Total 30%), with Total being a well credentialed LNG developer and operator The liquids rich conventional gas resource delivers strong project economics Committed off-take arrangements from ten buyers, 68% going to Japanese buyers, Sponsors buying 21% Robust project finance structure with contracted senior sponsor support in various forms Ichthys LNG Project USD20bn MLAB Commercial Bank Facility December 2012 Ichthys LNG Project USD20bn Intercreditor & Uncovered Sub-Facility Agent December 2012 Asia Pacific Deal of the Year Global Deal of the Year Asia-Pacific Multi-sourced Deal of the Year