Part Three Modes of Observation. Chapter 8 Experiments.

Slides:



Advertisements
Similar presentations
CHAPTER 8, experiments.
Advertisements

資料蒐集的方法(三):實驗法(實驗設計) (第七章)
第二章 研究主題(研究題 目)與研究問題.
McGraw-Hill/Irwin © 2003 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc.,All Rights Reserved. 肆 資料分析與表達.
Chapter 10 馬可夫鏈 緒言 如果讀者仔細觀察日常生活中所發生的 諸多事件,必然會發現有些事件的未來 發展或演變與該事件現階段的狀況全然 無關,這種事件稱為獨立試行過程 (process of independent trials) ;而另一些 事件則會受到該事件現階段的狀況影響。
布林代數的應用--- 全及項(最小項)和全或項(最大項)展開式
第七章 抽樣與抽樣分配 蒐集統計資料最常見的方式是抽查。這 牽涉到兩個問題: 抽出的樣本是否具有代表性?是否能反應出母體的特徵?
: A-Sequence 星級 : ★★☆☆☆ 題組: Online-judge.uva.es PROBLEM SET Volume CIX 題號: Problem D : A-Sequence 解題者:薛祖淵 解題日期: 2006 年 2 月 21 日 題意:一開始先輸入一個.
Section 1.2 Describing Distributions with Numbers 用數字描述分配.
Event Sampling 事件取樣法. 關心重點為「事件」本身明確的焦點 行為 清楚掌握主題 - 當「事件」出現時才開 始記錄 記錄程序 等待目標事件的發生 開始記錄 事件結束,停止記錄.
Ch08 選擇一項研究設計.
Advanced Chemical Engineering Thermodynamics
倫理準則:機密性. Confidentiality By: Angela Lo. 倫理準則:機密性. Confidentiality 醫護人員有更多的機會接觸病患的隱私。 隱私包括兩方面︰一是病患的身體,另一 是有關病患的機密的訊息。 醫護人員有更多的機會接觸病患的隱私。 隱私包括兩方面︰一是病患的身體,另一.
McGraw-Hill/Irwin © 2003 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc.,All Rights Reserved. 參 實驗法.
我的生涯 巫俊賢.
亂數產生器安全性評估 之統計測試 SEC HW7 姓名:翁玉芬 學號:
Stat_chi21 類別資料 (Categorical data) 一種質性資料, 其觀察值可歸類於數個不相交的項目內, 例 : 性別, 滿意度, …, 一般以各項的統計次數表現. 分析此種資料,通常用卡方檢定 類別資料分析 卡方檢定 卡方檢定基本理論 一個含有 k 項的試驗,設 p i.
©Ming-chi Chen 社會統計 Page.1 社會統計 第十講 相關與共變. ©Ming-chi Chen 社會統計 Page.2 Covariance, 共變量 當 X, Y 兩隨機變數不互為獨立時,表示 兩者間有關連。其關連的形式有很多種, 最常見的關連為線性的共變關係。 隨機變數 X,Y.
: OPENING DOORS ? 題組: Problem Set Archive with Online Judge 題號: 10606: OPENING DOORS 解題者:侯沛彣 解題日期: 2006 年 6 月 11 日 題意: - 某間學校有 N 個學生,每個學生都有自己的衣物櫃.
貨幣創造與控制 CHAPTER 27 學習本章後,您將能: C H A P T E R C H E C K L I S T 解釋銀行如何藉由放款而創造貨幣 1 解釋中央銀行如何影響貨幣數量 2.
數位教材製作與經驗分享研討會 同步遠距教學與數位教材製作 Jan 21, 2008 朱繼農 資訊管理系.
消費者物價指數反映生活成本。當消費者物價指數上升時,一般家庭需要花費更多的金錢才能維持相同的生活水準。經濟學家用物價膨脹(inflation)來描述一般物價持續上升的現象,而物價膨脹率(inflation rate)為物價水準的變動百分比。
STAT0_sampling Random Sampling  母體: Finite population & Infinity population  由一大小為 N 的有限母體中抽出一樣本數為 n 的樣 本,若每一樣本被抽出的機率是一樣的,這樣本稱 為隨機樣本 (random sample)
 Prentice Hall Chapter 111 創造與維持組織的文化.  Prentice Hall Chapter 112 學習目標 定義組織文化 描述組織文化的主要特質 定義強勢文化的品質要素 解釋組織文化的來源.
第 4 章 迴歸的同步推論與其他主題.
Structural Equation Modeling Chapter 7 觀察變數路徑分析=路徑分析 觀察變數路徑分析.
STAT0_corr1 二變數的相關性  變數之間的關係是統計研究上的一大目標  討論二分類變數的相關性,以列聯表來表示  討論二連續隨機變數時,可以作 x-y 散佈圖觀察它 們的關係強度  以相關係數來代表二者關係的強度.
平均值檢定 假設 檢定 One Sample 平均值 是否為 u. One Sample—1 工廠甲過去向 A 公司購買原料, 平均交貨日約為 4.94 日, 標準差 現在 A 公司改組, 甲工廠繼續向 A 公司 購買, 隨機抽取 8 次採購, 平均日數為 4.29 日, 請問 A 公.
Section 2.2 Correlation 相關係數. 散佈圖 1 散佈圖 2 散佈圖的盲點 兩座標軸的刻度不同,散佈圖的外觀呈 現的相聯性強度,會有不同的感受。 散佈圖 2 相聯性看起來比散佈圖 1 來得強。 以統計數字相關係數做為客觀標準。
1 Experimental Research ( 實驗法 ) Social Research Methods 2117 & 6501 Fall, 2006 December 18-21, 2006.
McGraw-Hill/Irwin © 2003 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc.,All Rights Reserved. 肆 資料分析與表達.
2009fallStat_samplec.i.1 Chap10 Sampling distribution (review) 樣本必須是隨機樣本 (random sample) ,才能代表母體 Sample mean 是一隨機變數,隨著每一次抽出來的 樣本值不同,它的值也不同,但會有規律性 為了要知道估計的精確性,必需要知道樣本平均數.
民意調查的分析 II 蔡佳泓 政大選舉研究中心 副研究員. 課程大綱 假設的檢定 研究假設 H1: 研究假設 ( 例: X 與 Y 相關 ) H0: 虛無假設 ( 例: X 與 Y 無關 ) 檢定結果:接受虛無假設或拒斥虛無假 設,但不代表接受研究假設.
信度.
論文研討 2 學分 授課教師:吳俊概.
McGraw-Hill/Irwin © 2003 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc.,All Rights Reserved. 貳 研究設計.
Chapter 13 塑模靜態觀點:物件圖 Static View : Object Diagram.
第三部分:研究設計 ( 二): 研究工具的信效度 與研究效度 (第九章之第 306 頁 -308 頁;第四章)
選舉制度、政府結構與政 黨體系 Cox (1997) Electoral institutions, cleavage strucuters, and the number of parties.
McGraw-Hill/Irwin © 2003 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc.,All Rights Reserved. 參 資料蒐集的方法.
幼兒行為觀察與記錄 第一章 導論.
第二十一章 研究流程、論文結構        與研究範例 21-1  研究流程 21-2  論文結構 21-3  研究範例.
緒論 統計的範圍 敘述統計 推論統計 有母數統計 無母數統計 實驗設計 統計的本質 大量 數字 客觀.
Analysis of Variance (ANOVA) CH 13 變異數分析. What is ANOVA? n 檢定 3 個或 3 個以上的母體平均數是否相等的統計檢定 n 檢定多個母體平均數是否相同 n 比較大二、大三、大四學生實習滿意度是否一樣 ? ( 來 自相同的 population)
:Nuts for nuts..Nuts for nuts.. ★★★★☆ 題組: Problem Set Archive with Online Judge 題號: 10944:Nuts for nuts.. 解題者:楊家豪 解題日期: 2006 年 2 月 題意: 給定兩個正整數 x,y.
經濟問題 CHAPTER 3 C H A P T E R C H E C K L I S T 學習本章後,您將能: 利用生產可能邊界來描述經濟問題 計算機會成本 定義效率與描述資源的效率使用 解釋生產可能邊界擴張的原因 解釋人們如何受惠於專業化與交易.
Section 4.2 Probability Models 機率模式. 由實驗看機率 實驗前先列出所有可能的實驗結果。 – 擲銅板:正面或反面。 – 擲骰子: 1~6 點。 – 擲骰子兩顆: (1,1),(1,2),(1,3),… 等 36 種。 決定每一個可能的實驗結果發生機率。 – 實驗後所有的實驗結果整理得到。
演算法 8-1 最大數及最小數找法 8-2 排序 8-3 二元搜尋法.
逆向選擇和市場失調. 定義  資料不對稱 在交易其中,其中一方較對方有多些資料。  逆向選擇 出現在這個情況下,就是當買賣雙方隨意在 市場上交易,與比較主動交易者作交易為佳 。
產出外界效果的權利. 外界效果  是社會成本和私人成本發生分歧的原因。 外界效果可以是成本,也可以是收益。
845: Gas Station Numbers ★★★ 題組: Problem Set Archive with Online Judge 題號: 845: Gas Station Numbers. 解題者:張維珊 解題日期: 2006 年 2 月 題意: 將輸入的數字,經過重新排列組合或旋轉數字,得到比原先的數字大,
Structural Equation Modeling Chapter 6 CFA 根據每個因素有多重指標,以減少 測量誤差並可建立問卷的構念效度 驗證性因素分析.
The effect of task on the information-related behaviors of individuals in a work-group environment. The effect of task on the information-related behaviors.
討論教學法 討論教學法 (discussion method) :最能表現出 師生雙向互動的教學法。在班級團體情境中採取 討論教學法常以分成許多小組或小團體的方式來 進行,故常被稱為小組討論法或團體教學法。 討論教學法 (discussion method) :最能表現出 師生雙向互動的教學法。在班級團體情境中採取.
Chapter 7 Sampling Distribution
Teacher : Ing-Jer Huang TA : Chien-Hung Chen 2015/6/30 Course Embedded Systems : Principles and Implementations Weekly Preview Question CH7.1~CH /12/26.
McGraw-Hill/Irwin © 2003 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc.,All Rights Reserved. 壹 企業研究導論.
幼兒行為觀察與記錄 第十章 軼事記錄法.
McGraw-Hill/Irwin © 2003 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc.,All Rights Reserved. 參 資料蒐集的方法.
Ch05 確定研究變項.
: Finding Paths in Grid ★★★★☆ 題組: Contest Archive with Online Judge 題號: 11486: Finding Paths in Grid 解題者:李重儀 解題日期: 2008 年 10 月 14 日 題意:給一個 7 個 column.
第12章 團體溝通情境中的領導者.
財務管理概論 劉亞秋‧薛立言 合著 (東華書局, 2007)
幼兒行為觀察與記錄 第八章 事件取樣法.
1 Chemical and Engineering Thermodynamics Chapter 1 Introduction Sandler.
Chapter 12 Estimation 統計估計. Inferential statistics Parametric statistics 母數統計 ( 母體為常態或 大樣本 ) 假設檢定 hypothesis testing  對有關母體參數的假設,利用樣本資料,決定接受或 不接受該假設的方法.
McGraw-Hill/Irwin © 2003 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc.,All Rights Reserved. 肆 資料分析與表達.
啤酒遊戲- 供應鍊模擬 Dr. CK Farn 2006 Spring. 中央大學。范錚強 2 模擬設定 過度簡化的供應鍊 銷售桶裝啤酒 角色 工廠(倉庫) 配銷商 大盤商 零售商.
CHAPTER 8, experiments.
Chapter 8 Experiments Topics Appropriate to Experiments The Classical Experiment Selecting Subjects Variations on Experimental Designs An Illustration.
Presentation transcript:

Part Three Modes of Observation

Chapter 8 Experiments

Chapter Outline  Introduction  Topics Appropriate to Experiments  The Classical Experiment  Selecting Subjects

Introduction  實驗?  生活中其實充滿了實驗性  交女朋?上課?翹課?煮飯?買手機 ……

Chapter Outline  Topics Appropriate fo Experiments  The Classical Experiment  Selecting Subjects  Variations on Experimental Designs  An Illustration of Experimentation  Alternate Experimental Settings  Strengths and Weaknesses of the Experimental Method

甚麼課題適合使用實驗法?  Projects with limited and well-defined concepts. 概念範圍小而且明確:中文教材、 英文教材  學生成績  Projects that are exploratory rather than descriptive. 解釋性 ( 因果關係 ) 而非描述性  Studies of small group interaction.( 小團體 研究 ) :賦予不同的工作、給予不同的獎勵  團體的動態會有何不同?

The Classical Experiment Three Pairs  Independent and dependent variables  Pretesting and posttesting  Experimental and control groups

1 、自變項與依變項  假設種族偏見源自於缺乏知識,因此  接觸他族的資訊 ( 自變項 ) 愈豐富  偏見 ( 依 變項 ) 會愈低  自變項如何操作?依變項如何測量?  特定而標準化的測量和觀察。

Question  In the simplest experimental design, subjects are measured in terms of a _________ variable exposed to an _________ variable. A. pretested; posttested B. fluid; static C. independent; dependent D. dependent; independent

2 最簡單的實驗法:前測與後測  前測:接收資料之前,測量個體的種族偏 見程度 ( 依變項 )  閱讀資料、觀看影片 ……( 增多資訊之接受 )  後測,再測量種族偏見的程度 ( 依變項 )  後測 – 前測:源自於自變項之改變

Answer: D  In the simplest experimental design, subjects are measured in terms of a dependent variable exposed to an independent variable.

效度?  如果受試者 ” 感受 ” 到:實驗是在檢視她 / 他 的種族偏見程度,因此 …… 。  後測 - 前測:真是因為 ” 接收了資訊 ” 嗎?  實驗過程的本身,而不是自變項的改變, 可能就會造成受試者的改變

兩個例子  霍桑效果  工廠的燈光亮度  工人的工作效果  新葯有沒有效?  如果有兩組人,一組給新葯;另一組給糖 漿,是否也都使病情改善?

3 、 Experimental and Control Groups  實驗組之外,另增控制組  Experimental group - A group of subjects to whom an experimental stimulus is administered.  Control group - A group of subjects to whom no experimental stimulus is administered and who resemble the experimental group in all other respects.  僅實驗組接受實驗,即自變項的改變

但,如果兩組人本來就不一樣?  這兩組的成員 Must be as similar as possible.  控制組代表:如果實驗組沒有接受實驗, 依變項會如何? Control group represents what the experimental group would have been like had it not been exposed to the stimulus.

Question  _____________ groups are groups of subjects to whom an experimental stimulus is administered. A. control B. experimental C. purposive D. triad

Answer: B Experimental groups are groups of subjects to whom an experimental stimulus is administered.

Diagram of Basic Experimental Design

如果再有其他事件發生  種族偏見實驗的前、後測之間,發生了種 族之間的激烈衝突事件 ……  上述的圖表所列,可不可以排除這個事件 的影響?

Double-blind Experiment  在新葯的例子,施測者本身可能也會預期 葯效,而誤判效果真的發生,因此 …  An experimental design in which neither the subjects nor the experimenters know which is the experimental group and which is the control.  如果 ” 測量 ” 是很確定的,如標準化問卷, 則施測者主觀預期就無法影響。

Selecting Subjects  以大學生為對象的實驗結果之 generalizability ?代表性與因果關係  可比性 (comparability) 最重要  1 Probability sampling( 實驗法中難以使用 )  2 Randomization( 代表性?可比性? )  3 Matching ,可配合配額抽樣的觀念,必 要時,前測之後,再配對  要之,使兩者在重要變項上的分佈一致

Open Matrix Illustration

Randomization and Matching  支持隨機化法:  May not know which variables will be relevant for matching process.  Most statistics used to analyze results assume randomization.  支持配對法:  Randomization only makes sense if you have a large pool of subjects.

Question  ______________ is a technique for assigning experimental subjects to experimental and control groups randomly. A. nonprobability analyses B. matching C. randomization D. none of these choices

Answer: C  Randomization is a technique for assigning experimental subjects to experimental and control groups randomly.

Preexperimental Research Designs  不夠專業的設計,或者,不知不覺中會這樣看事 情  One-shot case study - single group of subjects is measured on a variable following experimental stimulus.  One-group pretest-posttest design - adds a pre-test for the group, but lacks a control group.  Static-group comparison - includes experimental and control group, but no pre-test.

One-Shot Case Study  A man who exercises is observed to be in trim shape.

One-Group Pretest-Posttest Design  An overweight man who exercises is later observed to be in trim shape

Static-Group Comparison  A man who exercises is observed to be in trim shape while one who doesn’t is observed to be overweight.

Question  In a one-group pretest-posttest design, what is lacking? A. EPSEM B. an experimental group C. a control group D. none of these choices

Answer: C  In a one-group pretest-posttest design, a control group is lacking.

Sources of Internal Invalidity  實驗所 ” 發現 ” 的結果其實不是來自實驗  1 Historical events may occur during the course of the experiment.  2 Maturation of the subjects. 實驗時間拉長 的,會出現的問題  3 Testing and retesting can influence behavior.  4 Instrumentation ,測驗不夠標準化時

Sources of Internal Invalidity  5 Statistical regression of subjects starting out in extreme positions. 受試者一開始就 是極端例外  6 Selection biases. 選派兩組一開始就不可 比  7 Experimental mortality - subjects drop out of the study before it's completed.  8 因果不明 ( ? )

Limiting External Invalidity  Solomon four-group design  Posttest-only control group design

 9 實驗污染: diffusion or imitation of treatment 實驗組與控制組有機會交通  10 compensation :予控制組額外補償,造 成實驗之外的額外刺激  11 compensatory rivalry: 控制組的敵對補 償性  12 Demoralized control group subjects : 控制組士氣低沉

The Classical Experiment

內在效度問題?  在降低偏見的實驗:實: 2 實 2  以上可能造成內在效度的項目,有那些被 解決? 假設隨機分派過,則 History? Maturation? Testing?? Instrument? Statistical regression? Selection bias? Experimental mortality?  Causal time order?

外在效度  實驗結果可否概化至實際生活世界當中?  測驗的情境與實驗刺激的互動  偏見降低,因為受測引起接受實驗刺激的 效果。在實際生活中,只有刺激而沒有受 測

Solomon Four-group Design Four groups of subjects, assigned randomly:  Groups 1 and 2 are the control and experimental group.  Group 3 does not have the pre-test.  Group 4 is only posttested.

Solomon Four-group Design

 Expected Findings  In Group 1, posttest prejudice should be less than pretest prejudice. ( 後低於前 )  In Group 2, prejudice should be the same in the pretest and the posttest.( 前後相等 )  The Group 1 posttest should show less prejudice than the Group 2 posttest does.(1 後 低於 2 後 )  The Group 3 posttest should show less prejudice than the Group 4 posttest does. ( 後 3 低於後 4)

Question  What is the basic difference between the classical design and the Solomon four-group design? A. There is no difference. B. The Solomon four-group design repeats the classical design but adds groups that are not pretested. C. The Solomon four-group design repeats the classical design but adds groups that are not posttested.

Answer: B  The basic difference between the classical design and the Solomon four- group design is that the Solomon four- group design repeats the classical design but adds groups that are not pretested.

Posttest-only Control Group Design  Includes Groups 3 and 4 of the Solomon design.  With proper randomization, only these groups are needed to control problems of internal invalidity and the interaction between testing and stimulus.  嘿!奇怪的玩意兒!

一個有趣的實驗

"Natural" Experiments  Important social scientific experiments occur outside controlled settings and in the course of normal social events.  Raise validity issues because researcher must take things as they occur.

Web-based Experiments  Increasingly, researchers are using the World Wide Web to conduct experiments.  Because representative samples are not essential in most experiments, researchers use volunteers who respond to invitations online.

Experimental Method Strengths:  Isolation of the experimental variable over time.  Experiments can be replicated several times using different groups of subjects.

Experimental Method Weaknesses:  Artificiality of laboratory setting.  Social processes that occur in a lab might not occur in a more natural social setting.

Quick Quiz

1. Experiments are especially well suited for research projects involving: A. limited concepts B. well-defined concepts C. hypothesis testing D. all of these choices

Answer: D  Experiments are especially well suited for research projects involving limited concepts, well-defined concepts and hypothesis testing.

2. A ____________experiment eliminates the possibility of a researcher prejudging results. A. snowball B. double-blind C. purposive D. regressive

Answer: B  A double-blind experiment eliminates the possibility of a researcher prejudging results.

3. ______________refers to the possibility that the conclusion drawn from experimental results may not accurately reflect what has gone on in the experiment itself. A. exclusion B. internal validity C. external validity D. representativeness E. none of these choices

Answer: B  Internal validity refers to the possibility that the conclusion drawn from experimental results may not accurately reflect what has gone on in the experiment itself.

4. Natural experiments are most likely to resemble which one of the following designs? A. static-group comparison B. classical C. Solomon four-group D. one-group pretest-posttest E. posttest-only control group design

Answer: A Natural experiments are most likely to resemble static-group comparison designs.

5. Which of the following is the chief advantage of a controlled experiment? A. they require little time B. they require little money C. they are artificial D. the isolation of the experimental variable’s impact over time E. none of these choices

Answer: D  The isolation of the experimental variable’s impact over time is the chief advantage of a controlled experiment.