Tracking the Recovery December 12, 2014. 2 Real Gross Domestic Product Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis via Haver Analytics.

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Presentation transcript:

Tracking the Recovery December 12, 2014

2 Real Gross Domestic Product Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis via Haver Analytics

= 100 October Industrial Production Index: Manufacturing Source: Board of Governors via Haver Analytics

4 DIFFUSION INDEXES: Numbers above 50 percent indicate more favorable responses towards economic activity. ISM: Business Survey Indexes Source: Institute for Supply Management via Haver Analytics

5 12 Month % Change Retail Sales Note: Retail sales includes food services. Source: Census Bureau via Haver Analytics October 4.1%

6 Autos and Light Trucks Light Trucks Autos October 16.5 mil. Sales of Automobiles & Light Trucks Millions of Vehicles Source: Autodata Corporation via Haver Analytics

7 12 Month % Change October 2.0% Average Hourly Earnings Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics via Haver Analytics

8 October 0.46 mil. Average Annual New Home Sales:1990 through 1999 New Single-Family Home Sales Source: Census Bureau via Haver Analytics Millions of Homes

9 Single-Family Housing Starts & Permits Source: Census Bureau via Haver Analytics Millions of Starts & Permits Starts Permits Average Housing Starts October

$, Billions Twelve-Month Moving Average September Real Private Nonresidential Construction Put In Place Source: Census Bureau via Haver Analytics Notes: Deflated using the price index for private fixed investment in nonresidential structures.

11 Current $, Billions Shipments October New Orders Core Capital Goods Notes: Core capital goods are nondefense capital goods excluding aircraft. Source: Census Bureau via Haver Analytics

12 Current $, Billions September -$43.0 bil. Six-Month Moving Average Balance of International Trade Source: Census Bureau via Haver Analytics

13 Exchange Value of the USD Index, March 1973 = 100 Source: Board of Governors via Haver Analytics Notes: Measured as the real broad trade-weighted exchange value of the United States Dollar. November

14 Quarterly average of monthly changes, thousands of persons Oct. Nonfarm Payroll Employment Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics via Haver Analytics

15 Millions of Persons October mil. Nonfarm Payroll Employment Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics via Haver Analytics

16 Percent October Measures of Labor Utilization Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics via Haver Analytics

17 Percent of Population October Labor Force Participation Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics via Haver Analytics

18 Gauges of Inflation Source: BEA, BLS, & Commodity Research Bureau via Haver Analytics Notes: Core PCE Price Index includes expenditures on food services.

19 November 21st 5-Year 5 Years Ahead TIPS Inflation Compensation Source: Board of Governors Research Series via Haver Analytics Percent

The Region

21 Fifth District Manufacturing Activity Source: Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond Index, net percent positive

22 Fifth District Manufacturing Activity Source: Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond Index, net percent positive

23 Fifth District Manufacturing Activity Source: Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond Index, net percent positive

24 Fifth District Service Sector Activity Source: Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond Index, net percent positive

25 Fifth District Service Sector Activity Source: Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond Index, net percent positive

26 Carolinas Business Activity Survey Source: ISM/Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond Index, 3MMA

27 Regional Employment Source: US BLS Index, Dec = 1.00

28 Regional Employment Source: US BLS Index, Dec = 1.00

29 Regional Employment Source: US BLS

30 Regional Unemployment Source: US BLS Percent

31 Regional Employment Source: US BLS Index, Dec = 1.00

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