A few remarks about the role of infrastructure in the U.S. economy Hartwell C. Herring III, PhD, CPA Professor of Accounting Copyright Hartwell C. Herring.

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Presentation transcript:

A few remarks about the role of infrastructure in the U.S. economy Hartwell C. Herring III, PhD, CPA Professor of Accounting Copyright Hartwell C. Herring III 2008 Hartwell C. Herring III, PhD, CPA Professor of Accounting Copyright Hartwell C. Herring III 2008

Canadian social activist Jane Jacobs wrote about five markers for cultural collapse In so far as today’s subject is concerned, one of these stands out: “Tax systems based on an agrarian economic system that ignores the realities associated with urban life” In so far as today’s subject is concerned, one of these stands out: “Tax systems based on an agrarian economic system that ignores the realities associated with urban life”

Evolution of the Federal tax structure In my adult lifetime … Marginal PIT rate has gone from 70% to less than 40% Marginal CIT rate has gone from 48% to 35% Public and private investment in infrastructure is slowly starving our economic well being I believe that the current tax system allocates too much money to the Federal Government with the resulting response of allowing lower tax rates when in fact a far wiser choice would have been to restructure the system to allow a more prudent level of public investment In my adult lifetime … Marginal PIT rate has gone from 70% to less than 40% Marginal CIT rate has gone from 48% to 35% Public and private investment in infrastructure is slowly starving our economic well being I believe that the current tax system allocates too much money to the Federal Government with the resulting response of allowing lower tax rates when in fact a far wiser choice would have been to restructure the system to allow a more prudent level of public investment

The argument that public expenditure is always wasteful and that private expenditure is always productive is in conflict with what we know about the need for investment expenditures to promote economic growth Investment expenditures are made in both the public and the private sector The argument that public expenditure is always wasteful and that private expenditure is always productive is in conflict with what we know about the need for investment expenditures to promote economic growth Investment expenditures are made in both the public and the private sector

The following slides present the ASCE* “report card” on infrastructure It is worthy of noting that A great deal of the needed expenditures have to be done in the public sector No area gets even an average (“B”) grade Total backlog of needed investment = $1.6 trillion $1.6 trillion is about $20,000 for every household -- we’ve already spent about 1/3 this amount on the Iraq war *American Society of Civil Engineers It is worthy of noting that A great deal of the needed expenditures have to be done in the public sector No area gets even an average (“B”) grade Total backlog of needed investment = $1.6 trillion $1.6 trillion is about $20,000 for every household -- we’ve already spent about 1/3 this amount on the Iraq war *American Society of Civil Engineers

Aviation 2001: D; 2005: D+ … air travel and traffic have reportedly surpassed pre-Sept. 11 levels and are projected to grow 4.3% annually through 2015.

Bridges 2001:C; 2005:C Between 2000 and 2003, the percentage of the nation's 590,750 bridges rated structurally deficient or functionally obsolete decreased slightly from 28.5% to 27.1%. However, it will cost $9.4 billion a year for 20 years to eliminate all bridge deficiencies …

Dams 2001:D; 2005:D Since 1998, the number of unsafe dams has risen by 33% to more than 3,500. While federally owned dams are in good condition, and there have been modest gains in repair, the number of dams identified as unsafe is increasing at a faster rate than those being repaired..

Drinking water 2001:D; 2005:D- America faces a shortfall of $11 billion annually to replace aging facilities and comply with safe drinking water regulations.

Power grid 2001:D; 2005:D+ The U.S. power transmission system is in urgent need of modernization. …Existing transmission facilities were not designed for the current level of demand…

Hazardous Waste 2001:D+ 2005: D Federal funding for `Superfund' cleanup of the nation's worst toxic waste sites has steadily declined since 1998…. In 2003, there were 205 U.S. cities with `brownfields' sites awaiting cleanup and redevelopment. It is estimated that redevelopment of those sites would generate 576,373 new jobs and $1.9 billion annually for the economy.

Navigable waterways 2001:D+ 2005: D- A single barge traveling the nation's waterways can move the same amount of cargo as 58 semi- trucks at one-tenth the … Of the 257 locks on the more than 12,000 miles of inland waterways operated by the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers, nearly 50% are functionally obsolete. … The cost to replace the present system of locks is more than $125 billion.

Public parks 2005:C- Many of our nation's public parks, beaches and recreational harbors are falling into a state of disrepair. …These facilities are anchors for tourism and economic development and often provide the public's only access to the country's cultural, historic and natural resources. The National Park Service estimates a maintenance backlog of $6.1 billion for their facilities.

Rail 2005: C- For the first time since World War II, limited rail capacity has created significant chokepoints and delays. This problem will increase as freight rail tonnage is expected to increase at least 50% by …The freight railroad industry needs to spend $175-$195 billion over the next 20 years to maintain existing infrastructure and expand for freight growth. Expansion of the railroad network to develop intercity corridor passenger rail service is estimated to cost approximately $60 billion over 20 years. All told, investment needs are $12-13 billion per year.

The list also includes Roads Schools Solid waste Transit Wastewater None of these get a better than C+ grade Roads Schools Solid waste Transit Wastewater None of these get a better than C+ grade

Final thoughts …. Neglected infrastructure is not a partisan political issue unless you support the kind of economy that exists in the third world It is also not a legislative VS executive branch issue -- both branches are equally derelict in their duty as stewards of the economy Neglected infrastructure is not a partisan political issue unless you support the kind of economy that exists in the third world It is also not a legislative VS executive branch issue -- both branches are equally derelict in their duty as stewards of the economy