June 26, 2008 TAC Texas Nodal Market Implementation: Program Update Jerry Sullivan.

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Presentation transcript:

June 26, 2008 TAC Texas Nodal Market Implementation: Program Update Jerry Sullivan

2 2 Texas Nodal Program UpdateJune 26, 2008 Agenda Program Status –Overall Status –ERCOT Staff / Market Participant Readiness Schedule Revision –Planning Considerations –Plan Forward Update Key Concerns –Areva (CIM) Status / Impact –TSP Data Validation: Single Entry Model Go-Live Procedure –Other Risks Cost

3 3 Texas Nodal Program UpdateJune 26, 2008 ` Program Status: Overall Status Nodal Delivery status is: ERCOT Staff Readiness status is: Market Participant Readiness status is: Cost Schedule Scope / Quality Nodal Delivery Amber status driven by Cycle 4 Survey results (engagement and training), EDS 3 trials participation, and new entrants to the market Changed due to schedule impact Primary Indicators Secondary Indicators Red Amber Green Amber Red Amber Green EDS1 Red EDS2 Amber EDS3 Red EDS4 Amber status driven by staffing and training metrics *Slippage beyond Dec. 1 has cost implications Amber* RedAmberGreen ScopeProgram is not aligned to protocolsProgram is aligned to previous protocol versions Program is aligned with current protocols QualityCurrent product quality is not sufficient for Nodal launch Most Nodal products currently achieve quality standards All Nodal products currently achieve quality standards ScheduleGo-Live => 30 days+Go-Live =< 30 days+Go-Live = 12/1/2008 CostEstimate at Complete => 319M +10%Estimate at Complete =< 319M +10%Estimate at Complete =< 319M

4 4 Texas Nodal Program UpdateJune 26, 2008 Program Status: ERCOT Staff Engagement (green) new survey results came out at the end of May - ERCOT remains fully engaged Training (amber) two departments in the IT division and one department in System Planning are behind scheduled training levels actively recruiting SMEs Process (green) updated weekly Staffing (amber) ERCOT is currently ~92% staffed (95% required for green status) recruitment is ongoing Testing (green) no recent developments ERCOT Staff Readiness status is AMBER

5 5 Texas Nodal Program UpdateJune 26, 2008 Program Status: Market Participants Cycle 4 Survey 100% survey completion from TDSPs and QSEs with Resources 72% response from QSEs w/o Resources 67% response from LSEs Market Participant Readiness status is AMBER Engagement (amber) limited survey response drives amber status Connectivity (amber) updated MP2 and MP3 data reflective of new additions to the market Registration and Qualification (amber) MP10 (resource mapping) has improved steadily since the last meeting MP11 (RARF data) – only 6 RARFs have not been received (less than 0.5% of MWs), 83% of MWs have passed the second tier review Telemetry (green) no change Training (amber) limited survey response drives amber status Trials Participation (amber) updated MP15 data (EDS 3 trials participation based on TPO and COP) drives amber status

6 6 Texas Nodal Program UpdateJune 26, 2008 Schedule Revision: Planning Considerations A clear, achievable delivery date ERCOT wait until the EMS CIM Importer is thoroughly tested before committing to a new "go-live" date Implementation will include both the Real-Time Market and the Day-Ahead Market, as originally planned ERCOT review incorporating deferred items for the Dec. 1 date Sufficient testing time for TSPs and QSEs is needed in the new "go-live" date Sufficient time to validate the network operating model for TSPs ERCOT provide a draft of the new integrated schedule to TPTF for review and comments TPTF has made several recommendations about how to proceed with planning efforts. ERCOT will consider:

7 7 Texas Nodal Program UpdateJune 26, 2008 Schedule Revision: Plan Forward Process –Dedicate a team to drive development of the new schedule (Complete) –Standardize templates for individual project schedules, including all transition activities (Complete) –Re-estimate the durations of all project activities based on historical data (In Progress) –Identify comprehensive list of dependencies and link across project schedules, allowing schedules across projects to be dynamically generated as changes occur (In Progress) –Develop the integrated master Nodal program schedule (In Progress) –Review the schedule and options with TPTF and ERCOT (Pending) Timeline –The date for setting a new schedule date has not been finalized, but the team understands the sense of urgency as well as the importance of a realistic plan ERCOT is aggressively working to develop a revised integrated Nodal program schedule that is realistic and achievable

8 8 Texas Nodal Program UpdateJune 26, 2008 In the meantime… Support for ongoing activities –NPRR analysis –Design and development –Integration testing –Data validation –Documentation –Training –Other high-value activities Improving processes and infrastructure –Establishing Nodal Integrated Release 1.0, the baseline integrated testing environment inclusive of all Nodal applications and supporting infrastructure –Improving release management process, build promotion strategy and requirements –Improving data quality ERCOT also continues delivery of high-value activities and improvements to processes and infrastructure

9 9 Texas Nodal Program UpdateJune 26, 2008 AREVA (CIM): Status and Impact The CIM Importer has not completed Pre-FAT due to missing data and CIM Importer development issues. Resolving the open issues is an iterative process –exporting the data –Identifying the errors (code or data (AREVA or ERCOT) –fixing the issue –re-exporting…… A new completion date will be provided once the iteration cycles decline ERCOT technical team at AREVA the week of June 16 th providing testing support and helping to resolve missing data in the NMMS CIM XML file Not to scale Today May 2, Previous commitment of EMS CIM Delivery Date June 27 delivery date stated at June BoD meeting Go-Live Period Original Planned Integration Activities Critical Schedule Events/Activities 168-Hour Test Go Live Date Post Go Live Activities June 13 delivery date stated at May BoD Meeting

10 Texas Nodal Program UpdateJune 26, 2008 TSP Data Validation: Single Entry Model Go-Live Procedure Single Entry Model (SEM) Process 1.Model creation and data validation – ERCOT 2.NMMS Tool (SEM) Go-Live – ERCOT 3.Data/model validation - TSPs 4.Transition to Nodal Protocol Section 3.10 for Network model maintenance Current Status – Published Single Entry Model Go-Live Procedure V0.03 for comments – Compiling comments received from Network Data Support Working Group (NDSWG) – Discussed key issues on the Procedure with ROS on June 12 th – Attended NDSWG meeting on June 17 th and agreed on next steps for the procedure Next Steps – Meeting scheduled on June 27 th with the Network Data Support Working Group to discuss TSP data/model validation activities prior to transition to Nodal Protocol Section 3 – Revise Procedure based on NDSWG feedback and seek TPTF approval

11 Texas Nodal Program UpdateJune 26, 2008 Other Risks Majority of vendor software releases have been received; outstanding releases include: –NMMS (2 releases) –MMS 5 (+ 2 known major patches to MMS4) MMS 5 scheduled due to CIM importer delays Will require additional FAT and Regression test cycles Integration components have been designed and coded, but not completely delivered –Risk of refactoring due to changes in upstream software remains high –Total number of components fully tested remains low Further NPRRs need to be closely evaluated for scope changes and impact to schedule Other risks continue to be addressed by the program

12 Texas Nodal Program UpdateJune 26, 2008 Cost: Element Summary *Does not include impacts of schedule change