John Fitzpatrick Brazil Political and Business Comment Britcham Brasil/CCBC Round Table October 30, 2007 To 2010 and Beyond.

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Presentation transcript:

John Fitzpatrick Brazil Political and Business Comment Britcham Brasil/CCBC Round Table October 30, 2007 To 2010 and Beyond

1 Same Party/New Party? Republican McCain/Guiliani/Romney/Thompson Democrats Clinton/Obama/Edwards/Biden Situation in Iraq/Iran Next? Any breakthrough on Free Trade? International Outlook US Presidential Election 2008 Argentina Kirchner the Second Venezuela Chavez – Mussolini or Hitler? Cuba After Castro the second Cuban Crisis? Latin America Good Guys/Bad Guys China and Russia

2 Brazil Short Term Post-Calheiros era Legislative logjam broken CPMF extension – debate Role of opposition parties Supreme Court ruling on party loyalty

3 Brazil Long Term 2008 Municipal elections – candidates in São Paulo – Suplicy, Chinaglia, Alckmin, Kassab Presidential/state governor elections – role/influence of Lula. AFTER Will Lula bounce back? Will the incumbent be able to stand again?

4 Brazils Next President Lula's protégé – Ciro Gomes or Aecio Neves or Dilma Roussef or who? Truly independent or just minding the shop before Lula comes back in 2014? PMDB – Nelson Jobim? DEM – Cesar Maia? PMDB – Nelson Jobim? DEM – Cesar Maia? Can the PSDB avoid another internal battle, this time between Serra and Neves? Will the PT have a (strong) candidate: Dilma Rousseff, Aloisio Mercadante, Marta Suplicy, Eduardo Suplicy, Tarso Genro?

5 Brazil Political and Business Comment A Foreign View of Brazilian Politics, Business, Finance and History The site presents insight and opinion and aims to encourage debate and discussion on this dynamic country which, unfortunately, is often seen abroad only through clichéd images of the Carnival and football. Some Recent Comments: Will Lula Leave Brazil in Safe or Unsafe Hands? Senate Spits in the Face of the Brazilian People Lulas Brazil: Economic Boom – Political Gloom ACM – Brazil Will Never See His Like Again Brazilians Let Politicians Treat Them as Doormats Brazil is the Next Foreign Market to Blast Off Look Out for the New BBC – the Brazilian Broadcasting Corporation

6 Brazil Political and Business Comment Mario Henrique Simonsen Luiz Furlan Mailson da Nobrega Roberto Macedo Paulo Vieira da Cunha Alfried Ploeger Manoel Felix Cintra Neto Jose Pastore Alexandre Schwartsman Tomas Malaga Brazilian Views of Brazil - Guest Interviews

7 A parting thought.. Democracy is the worst form of government except for all those others that have been tried. Winston Churchill John Fitzpatrick Brazil Political and Business Comment