The Federal R&D Budget: Overview and Outlook Matt Hourihan February 5, 2014 for the Society of Research Administrators International AAAS R&D Budget and Policy Program

*Keep in mind… Department of Defense development activities have declined more than everything else

Recent R&D Budget History R&D down by 8.4 percent between FY10 and FY12 August 2011: Budget Control Act AAAS estimated ~$50 billion R&D cuts in first 5 years January 2013: American Taxpayer Relief Act FY 2013: Sequester cuts nearly $10 billion more Summer 2013: Appropriators operate under two different spending baselines December 2013 budget deal: 50% sequester rollback for FY14

Department of Defense DOD R&D cut, but not to S&T programs Basic research at all-time high Nanotechnology, materials science DARPA: small from FY12 Medical research BIG increase

NIH Continuing stagnation Most institutes about halfway between sequester and FY12 Largest increases: National Institute on Aging, NCATS Translational medicine, Alzheimer’s research, BRAIN Initiative, National Children’s Study Success rates down to 16.8 percent in FY13

Department of Energy Generally good news Science: much closer to Senate mark Advanced Computing and Fusion (especially domestic research) Energy Frontier Research Centers at $100 million Clean energy programs (EERE, ARPA-E) avoid the guillotine NNSA R&D also picked up significant funding DOE R&D at all-time high

NASA Positive outcomes for Science, Exploration Planetary Science avoids deeper cuts; Europa Mission? Largest increase for Webb Telescope Skepticism toward asteroid mission Clear commitment to next- generation flights systems, also commercial spaceflight Aeronautics, Space Tech flat

National Science Foundation Lower number than other agencies, about even with FY12 Appropriator support for ocean research, cybersecurity, advanced manufacturing R&D, neuroscience Social Sciences research restrictions lifted Large Synoptic Survey Telescope to commence construction Likely to fall short of COMPETES Act doubling target

USDA Another good outcome Intramural R&D: Request matched Minus poultry research center Extramural R&D: closer to Dems than GOP Big boost for AFRI Forest Service dodges cuts Farm Bill establishes ag research foundation

Other notes Environmental agencies (EPA, USGS) come up short DHS got (mostly) what it wanted NIST not looking bad Patient outcomes research (via Obamacare) not funded

TOTAL

GDP

Looking ahead… President’s budget to be released March 4, for now Priorities: manufacturing, clean energy, climate, IT and computing, biological innovation, neuroscience, STEM Ed Discretionary spending limit in FY 2015 has already been agreed And will increase hardly at all 25% of sequester reductions rolled back Big-picture fiscal challenges remain largely unchanged Beyond FY 2015: back to sequester levels

Current Politics: The “Pong” Model? Cut spending! Raise revenues! The science and innovation budget Obviously, a very facile oversimplification…!

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