Technical Conference Avoided Cost Modeling January 6, 2015.

Slides:



Advertisements
Similar presentations
SSG-WI System Model Data Requirements [PART 1] September 5, 2002 Las Vegas, NV.
Advertisements

ENERGY VALUE. Summary  Operational Value is a primary component in the Net Market Value (NMV) calculation used to rank competing resources in the RPS.
Concentrating Solar Deployment Systems (CSDS) A New Model for Estimating U.S. Concentrating Solar Power Market Potential Nate Blair, Walter Short, Mark.
GPA Renewable Energy Resource for Guam Power Authority
CVP Cost Allocation Public Workshop – January 18, 2013 “PLEXOS Methodology and Assumptions”
Resource Adequacy in PJM
Tenth Annual Midwest Energy Conference March 7, 2007 How Best Satisfy Midwest Electric Load Growth? Thomas R. Casten Chairman Recycled Energy Development.
Hedging Energy in the New Marketplace Scott E. Thompson Portfolio Director SPP/ERCOT.
1.  Purpose  To present Staff’s Preliminary Findings on the 2012 Integrated Resource Plans of:  APS – Arizona Public Service Company  TEP – Tucson.
COMBINED HEAT & POWER J.R. Simplot Mountain Home, Idaho.
Energy Markets 201 Tribal Solar Working Group April 30, 2015.
Energy Year 2013 Electricity Finnish Energy Industries.
EE 369 POWER SYSTEM ANALYSIS
System Planning & Operations Spring 2010
Utah Schedule 37 Update June 25, Schedule 37 Background Schedule 37 – Published rates for standard power purchase agreements with qualifying facilities.
National Renewable Energy Laboratory Innovation for Our Energy Future * NREL July 5, 2011 Tradeoffs and Synergies between CSP and PV at High Grid Penetration.
Long Term Study Task Force Update to ETWG ERCOT Long-Term Study: Scenarios, New Software, and Emerging Technology Assumptions January 27, 2012.
Lynn Coles, PE National Wind Technology Center National Renewable Energy Laboratory Golden, Colorado USA 10 FAQ’s (Frequently Asked Questions) About Wind.
Demand Response – A New Option for Wind Integration ?
PJM© PJM Confidential PJM Generation Interconnection Overview Virginia Offshore Wind Conference Virginia Beach June 22, 2011 Paul McGlynn General.
Warren Lasher Director, System Planning October 4, 2014 Our Energy Future.
Northwest Power and Conservation Council 6 th Plan Conservation Resource Supply Curve Workshop on Data & Assumption Overview of Council Resource Analysis.
Equilibrium Modeling of Combined Heat and Power Deployment Anand Govindarajan Seth Blumsack Pennsylvania State University USAEE Conference, Anchorage,
NGEIR Technical Conference Presentation May 16, 2006.
2009 Bidders Workshop Attachment D August 3, 2009.
Avoided Costs of Generation
Base Case Draft – For Comment Rocky Mountain States Sub-Regional Transmission Study December 9, 2003.
Overview of the North American and Canadian Markets 2008 APEX Conference in Sydney, Australia October 13, 2008 Hung-po Chao Director, Market Strategy and.
Utah Cost of Service and Rate Design Task Force
Title of presentation and date1 Energy Essentials for Cost Reduction NIPA 4 th October 2012.
Highlights of AESC 2011 Report Vermont Presentation August 22, | ©2011 Synapse Energy Economics Inc. All rights reserved.
Black Sea Regional Transmission Planning Project By Predrag Mikša EKC - Electricity Coordinating Center Istanbul, March 2011.
Selecting Renewable Projects at Colorado Springs Utilities APPA Conference John Romero GM Acquisition, Engineering and Planning October, 2009.
Net Metering Technical Conference Docket No PacifiCorp Avoided Costs October 21, 2008 Presented by Becky Wilson Executive Staff Director Utah.
Preliminary Results with the Regional Portfolio Model Michael Schilmoeller for the Northwest Power and Conservation Council Generation Resource Advisory.
OVERVIEW OF ISSUES DR AND AMI HELP SOLVE Dr. Eric Woychik Executive Consultant, Strategy Integration, LLC APSC Workshop on DR and AMI.
California Energy Commission Staff Paper - April 12,20071 Estimating the Generation Resource Mix of Electricity Imports to California – Energy Commission.
SINTEF Energy Research 1 Planning And Operation Of Large Wind Farms In Areas With Limited Power Transfer Capacity by M. Korpås, J. O. Tande, K. Uhlen,
Adequacy Assessment for the 2017 Pacific Northwest Power Supply Steering Committee Meeting October 26, 2012 Portland, Oregon 1.
Sixth Northwest Conservation & Electric Power Plan Draft Wholesale Power Price Forecasts Maury Galbraith Northwest Power and Conservation Council Generating.
Powered by the Loads and Resource Information System (LaRIS) Pacific Northwest Loads and Resources Operational Peaking Adjustment Council Briefing.
PJM©2013www.pjm.com Economic DR participation in energy market ERCOT April 14, 2014 Pete Langbein.
B O N N E V I L L E P O W E R A D M I N I S T R A T I O N Predecisional. For Discussion Purposes OnlySlide 1 City of Port Angeles Above High Water Mark.
September 21, 2005 ICF Consulting RGGI Electricity Sector Modeling Results Updated Reference, RGGI Package and Sensitivities.
2008 Bidders Workshop Attachment D April 11, 2008.
Kevin Hanson Doug Murray Jenell Katheiser Long Term Study Scenarios and Generation Expansion Update April, 2012.
Cogeneration (CHP – Combined Heat & Power) October 2013 © Siemens AG All rights reserved.
Selected Geothermal Resource Topics from a Utility Perspective Geothermal Power Generation Workshop May 11, 2003 Ken Dragoon PacifiCorp
The Role of Energy Storage as a Renewable Integration Solution under a 50% RPS Joint California Energy Commission and California Public Utilities Commission.
Winter Power Supply Adequacy/Reliability Analysis Power Committee Briefing October 17, 2001.
Long Term Study Scenarios and Generation Expansion Update October 12, 2012.
09/17/2006 Ken Donohoo ERCOT Peak Day August Initial Settlement Data by Fuel Type.
Slide 1 B O N N E V I L L E P O W E R A D M I N I S T R A T I O N June 2011 Non-Treaty Storage Agreement non-Binding Terms for Storage Accounts.
Analysis of Demand Response Modeling in GridView Andy Satchwell and Sarah Smith Modeling Work Group December 21, 2015 The work described in this presentation.
TRANSMISSION CONSTRAINTS KENNETH A. DONOHOO, P.E. Manager of System Planning, Technical Operations
1 Basic Concepts on Power Supply Agreement (PSA) Francis Saturnino C. Juan Executive Director Energy Regulatory Commission.
January 14, 2016 PacifiCorp-CAISO-NVE EIM Initiative Overview.
Updated Energy Year 2011 Electricity Finnish Energy Industries
High Level Post Processing Cost Estimates MWG SSC Meeting September 26, 2011.
RFPEG2013 PRE-BID MEETING RFPEG2013 – Pre-Bid meeting January 9, 2014 Presentation by Derek Davis – Public Utilities Commission.
CPUC Avoided Cost DRAFT Results CEWG Workshop May 31, 2016 Brian Horii, Senior Partner Snuller Price, Senior Partner Zach Ming, Consultant Kiran Chawla,
Viability of Carbon Capture and Sequestration Retrofits for Existing Coal- fired Power Plants under an Emission Trading Scheme CEDM Annual Meeting May.
Sixth Northwest Conservation & Electric Power Plan Draft Wholesale Power Price Forecasts Maury Galbraith Generating Resource Advisory Committee Meeting.
SM SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA EDISON® RETI 2.0 Workshop 03/16/2016 IOU Panel.
Prepared by California Department of Water Resources May 31, 2001
GENESYS Redevelopment
ME 312 PPE POWER SYSTEM ANALYSIS
EE 369 POWER SYSTEM ANALYSIS Lecture 15 Economic Dispatch Tom Overbye and Ross Baldick 1.
Evolving Economic Dispatch in SPP
GENESYS Current Functionality
Presentation transcript:

Technical Conference Avoided Cost Modeling January 6, 2015

What is GRID GRID is an hourly production cost dispatch model that dispatches PacifiCorp resources to serve load obligation through the most economic means possible given the constraints of the Company’s system For Avoided Cost Purposes … GRID is configured to calculate the change in costs between two production cost dispatch model runs. 2

Key GRID Model Inputs 3 Calculated outside of GRID Hourly Data –Load Forecast –Market Prices –Short-Term standard product Purchases and Sales Non-Hourly Data –Contract Energy Price –Derate –Fuel Cost –Heat Rate Coefficient –Hydro Weekly Energy –Planned Outage Hourly Data –Load Forecast –Market Prices –Short-Term standard product Purchases and Sales Non-Hourly Data –Contract Energy Price –Derate –Fuel Cost –Heat Rate Coefficient –Hydro Weekly Energy –Planned Outage Attributes entered into GRID Thermal –Resource Characteristics Hydro –Resource Characteristics Non Standard Product, Intermediate- Term, and Long-Term Contracts –Contract Term –Take Limitations –Fixed Costs Transmission Capability –Firm Transfer Rights –Wheeling Charge Thermal –Resource Characteristics Hydro –Resource Characteristics Non Standard Product, Intermediate- Term, and Long-Term Contracts –Contract Term –Take Limitations –Fixed Costs Transmission Capability –Firm Transfer Rights –Wheeling Charge This data list is representative of the data series and attribute data utilized by GRID. It is not intended to be exhaustive.

Description of Data Series Delivery Point – Location of resources Demand – Defines the demand size of resources configured as contracts – Denominated in MW per hour, MWh per month or MWh per year (typically denominated in MW per hour) Demand Charge – Defines the contract demand charge which is tied to monthly maximum utilization – Denominated in dollars per kW month ($/kW-month) EOR (Effective Outage Rate) – Used to define the reduction in availability of contracts and thermal resource due to forced outages – In addition it is used to shape wind, solar and other resources – Denominated in factor from 0 to 1 with 0 fully available and 1 not available 4

Description of Data Series Energy Price – Defines the prices for contracts – Denominated in $/MWh Fuel Price – Defines the prices for thermal resources – Denominated in $/MMBtu Heat Rate Coefficient – Defines the efficiency of converting fuel (MMBtu) to power (MWh) Hydro Weekly Energy – Defines the weekly MWh and capacity available by hydro resource – Denominated in MWh and MW Market Capacity – Defines the market depth Other Costs – Defines the fixed costs of contracts – Denominated in $/Month 5

Description of Data Series Planned Outage – Used to define the planned outages of thermal and some contract resources – In addition it is used to limit (screen) the operation of thermal and contract resources – Denominated in hours, days, weeks or months during which a resource is not available Price Forecast – Defines the market price available at market transmission bubbles – Denominated in $/MWh Retail Load – Lists hourly retail load requirement – Denominated in MWh Retail Load Transmission Area Map – Splits retail load into retail load transmission bubbles Short Term Firm – Consolidates executed short term firm transactions by transmission bubble – Denominated in hourly Dollars and MWh 6

GRID Transmission Topology 7

How are Data Series Used Defining a QF Resource – Delivery Point Data Series – to define the location of the QF – Demand Data Series – to define the hourly generation profile Wind and Solar Hourly Generation Profile – Demand Data Series – to define the hourly generation profile Used to define potential QF resources Carbon Pricing – Fuel Data Series – prices adjusted to include implied carbon costs – Price Forecast – prices adjusted to include implied carbon costs 8

Updating for Official Forward Price Curve For Net Power Costs – Energy Data Series – to update contracts prices that are contractually tied to market prices Market indexed contract prices – Fuel Data Series – to update gas prices – Other Cost Data Series – to update monthly costs tied to market prices Includes electric and gas swaps tied to market Mid-Columbia contracts – some costs estimated by market prices Gas storage contracts tied to gas prices For Avoided Cost Purposes – Energy Data Series Update market indexed Front Office Trades prices only – Fuel Data Series 9

Typical Avoided Cost Study Base Case – Starting point is similar to general rate case net power cost study – Includes IRP resources – Includes signed and potential QF resources Avoided Cost Case – Revise Demand Data Series Add the potential QF hourly generation profile Revise (partially displace) IRP Front Office Trades – Add the Potential QF Resource – Revise (partially displace) the next deferrable IRP CCCT Note: Capital costs of the partially displaced IRP CCCT are calculated outside of GRID 10

What is included in Avoided Costs 11

Major Avoided Cost Drivers QF Potential Resource – Resource type – solar vs wind – Resource location – Resource generation profile Official Forward Price Curve – Gas prices – Market prices – Spark spread Retail Load Resource Stack – Avoidable resources – QF queue – signed and potential QFs 12

Resource Stack 13