Making Clean Local Energy Accessible Now 22 August 2013 Craig Lewis Executive Director Clean Coalition 650-796-2353 mobile Distributed.

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Presentation transcript:

Making Clean Local Energy Accessible Now 22 August 2013 Craig Lewis Executive Director Clean Coalition mobile Distributed Generation + Intelligent Grid Optimizing Value for Ratepayers

Making Clean Local Energy Accessible Now 2 Clean Coalition Vision = Clean Local Energy

Making Clean Local Energy Accessible Now 3 Wholesale DG is the Critical & Missing Segment Distribution Grid Transmission Grid Project Size Wholesale DG Serves Local Loads Behind the Meter

Making Clean Local Energy Accessible Now 4 Wholesale DG has Superior Value The most cost-effective solar is large WDG, not central station due to significant hidden T&D costs Distribution GridT-Grid PV Project size and type 100kW roof 500kW roof 1 MW roof 1 MW ground 5 MW ground 50 MW ground Required PPA Rate 16¢15¢13¢9-11¢8-10¢7-9¢ T&D costs0¢ 2-4¢ Ratepayer cost per kWh 16¢15¢13¢9-11¢8-10¢9-13¢ Sources: CAISO, CEC, and Clean Coalition, Nov2012; see full original analysis from Jul2011 at Total Ratepayer Cost of Solar

Making Clean Local Energy Accessible Now 5 Guided Siting Saves Ratepayers 50% SCE Share of 12,000 MW Goal Sources: SCE Report May 2012 Transmission costs would be born by ratepayers Note that interconnection costs are higher in the Guided Case. Siting costs may also be higher. Applicants will seek their lowest cost if they get no value from “preferred locations”.

Making Clean Local Energy Accessible Now 6 Avoided Transmission in CA = $80 Billion over 20 yrs Business as Usual TAC Growth TAC 0 Depreciation + O&M Avoided TAC Opportunity from DG Current TAC Rate (TAC 0 ) = 1.2 Business As Usual TAC Growth Business as Usual Year-20 TAC (TAC 20 ) = TAC 0 O&M Level

Making Clean Local Energy Accessible Now 7 Transmission Costs Exceed 3 cents/KWh in CA “Palo Alto CLEAN will expand clean local energy production while only increasing the average utility bill by a penny per month” -- Yiaway Yeh, Mayor of Palo Alto

Making Clean Local Energy Accessible Now 8 Distributed Voltage Regulation – Location Matters “The old adage is that reactive power does not travel well.” Oak Ridge National Laboratory (2008) Source: Oak Ridge National Laboratory (2008) T&D lines absorb 8- 20x more reactive power than real power. Prevent Blackouts: When a transmission path is lost, remaining lines are heavily loaded and losses are higher. T&D lines absorb 8- 20x more reactive power than real power. Prevent Blackouts: When a transmission path is lost, remaining lines are heavily loaded and losses are higher.

Making Clean Local Energy Accessible Now 9 DG+IG Core Solutions for Voltage Regulation SolutionsBenefits Distributed Generation Provisions reactive power where it’s needed most for regulation Avoids line losses Reduces congestion of transmission and distribution lines Advanced Inverters (paired with solar, storage) Provisions distributed reactive power Reacts automatically within fractions of a second (conventional resources can take minutes to react) Converts real power from the grid to reactive power 24/7/365 Oversized inverters can deliver reactive power without reducing DG real power output Ride-through voltage events, remain attached longer than conventional spinning generators without harm Modern inverters already have these advanced capabilities Energy Storage (batteries, flywheel) Provisions both real and reactive power Generally paired with advanced inverters

Making Clean Local Energy Accessible Now 10 Advanced Inverters – Reactive Power (Oversized) P 100% Q 45.8% S 110% REACTIVE (Q) REAL (P) 100 MW solar PV AC power 110 MW inverter 0.9 Power Factor 45.8 MVAr Reactive Power 100 MW Real Power Oversized inverter: No reduction of PV real power Draws up to 10 MW real power from the grid Provides reactive power 24/7/365 Oversized inverter: No reduction of PV real power Draws up to 10 MW real power from the grid Provides reactive power 24/7/365 P: Real power (performs work) Q: Reactive power (voltage regulation) S: Apparent power (total power)

Making Clean Local Energy Accessible Now 11 Advanced Inverters Gaining Broad Agreement WEIL Pushing for Smart Inverters Western utility group called for policymakers to require smart inverters for all new solar facilities in August 2013 letter. Framed issue in terms of DG causing problems that can be inexpensively solved with advanced inverters. Pointed out that Germany required everyone to retrofit inverters. Accordingly, the Clean Coalition is educating policymakers about how DG combined with advanced inverters cost-effectively improves grid reliability and efficiency compared with conventional solutions. WEIL Group includes: SCE, SDG&E, PG&E, SMUD, LADWP Arizona Public Service Portland General Electric Salt River Project Several others

Making Clean Local Energy Accessible Now 12 Replacing SONGS with PV + Advanced Inverters Huntington Beach 290 MVars (minus line losses = 261 MVars) Huntington Beach 290 MVars (minus line losses = 261 MVars) vs 570 MW of local solar with advanced inverters, oversized by 10% set at 0.9 Power Factor = 261 MVArs

Making Clean Local Energy Accessible Now 13 WDG Priority: High Capacity, Lower Cost Huge Untapped Resource 76 GW of rooftop capacity in California 111 GW of ground capacity >1 MW in urban areas 20 GW near rural substations – Many Studies: NREL, E3, KEMA, UCLA, LABC…. Lower Cost Outdated Price Awareness Cheaper than Peaker Competitive with New CCNG

Making Clean Local Energy Accessible Now 14 Replace SONGS – Energy Storage Potential Targets proposed by CPUC include 745 MW storage in Southern California

Making Clean Local Energy Accessible Now 15 DG+IG Solutions for Balancing Power & Frequency SolutionsBenefits Demand Response Automated demand response can address power imbalances within fractions of a second Reduces or shift load away from peak hours to free up other resources to provide real power Energy Storage (batteries, flywheel) Supplies and absorbs power Can reduce or shift load Can react automatically within fractions of a second Forecasting Forecasting improvements will reduce unpredicted differences between scheduled supply and actual supply Curtailment (proactive ramp control) Reduce output from intermittent generators for proactive ramp control to smooth out short term impulse

Making Clean Local Energy Accessible Now 16 DG+IG Keeps Power in Balance DR, ES shifts load ES, Auto-DR, curtail for steep ramp

Making Clean Local Energy Accessible Now 17 Renewables are Reliable Country Percent of electrical generation in 2007 from non-hydro renewables 2007 SAIDI – outage duration (minutes) 2007 SAIFI – outage frequency (number of outage events) Denmark29.4%230.5 Germany12%240.5 United States2.8% Sources: Galvin Electricity Initiative, Electric Reliability: Problems, Progress and Policy Solutions, February 2011 U.S. Energy Information Administration, International Energy Statistics, 2011

Making Clean Local Energy Accessible Now 18 Distribution Grid Upgrade Vision Utility Distribution Investment Planning (UDIP) will be a transparent process in which the utilities are held accountable for investing in ways that meet coordinated State goals. Instead of reactive planning on a case-by-case basis, the utilities will step back and create a plan, then build deliberately for the future distribution grid. By anticipating advanced capabilities in future upgrades, new technology will be far faster and easier to incorporate and cost less for consumers, developers and the State. Recent documents from the CEC and Southern California Edison reflect the growing acceptance of this vision of the grid. SCE’s report from May of 2012 notes that overall grid upgrade costs will be cut by more than half, and transmission investments will be reduced by more than two-thirds, if DG siting is based on a ‘guided’ planning process. The recent workshop on climate change adaptation at the energy commission highlighted the importance of a smart grid and locating energy generation very close to load in mitigating the impacts of extreme weather events.

Making Clean Local Energy Accessible Now 19 Data Availability is Improving More D-grid information is being made accessible through improved interconnection maps But, improved information does not necessarily translate into transparent upgrade assessments Data in maps must be relevant to how interconnection studies are performed

Making Clean Local Energy Accessible Now 20 DG+IG Projects Begin with Grid Modeling & Simulation

Making Clean Local Energy Accessible Now 21 DG+IG Policy Recommendations Integrate Grid Planning Transparent and public T&D planning processes Proactively evaluate DG+IG alternatives to new transmission investments Necessary to meet goals re: renewables, EVs, costs, local job creation, resilience Implement Full Cost & Value Accounting Investments should reflect the full spectrum of rate impacts, economic growth, health, safety, and environmental sustainability Prevent bias against DG+IG (e.g. hidden transmission costs) Monetize DG+IG Grid Services Establishing markets that compensate at full value of grid services is fundamental to optimizing value for ratepayers Prioritize DG+IG Development in High Value Locations Identify preferred locations on the grid based on transparent cost & value criteria Set “Local Portfolio Standard” targets Update Technical Standards: Update national technical standards (IEEE/ UL) to allow DG+IG to provide grid services to the fullest potential