On the Brink of Default – The Greek Economy Tutor2u September 2011
Beware Greeks bearing debts A founder member of the Euro in 2001 After years of strong growth - went into recession in 2009 Budget deficit was fraudulently under-reported Fiscal deficit surged to 15.4% of GDP in 2010 Sharp loss of investor confidence Caused large rise in borrowing costs (bond yields) May 2010 Greece became the first euro zone member to receive a Euro 110bn rescue package from the EU and IMF Recession has continued Greece's govt debt is now 150% of GDP and rising Fiscal austerity has met with fierce political unrest Recognition that default is inevitable But with what consequences for Greece and the rest of Europe?
A Crisis of Confidence – Bond Yields
Real GDP Growth
Recession and Unemployment
Soaring unemployment
Decade of improved relative living standards is lost
An unsustainable level of debt
Fiscal Crisis Prompts Default
Fewer people in work and a weaker trend growth rate
Manufacturing and Property in a Slump