Game Theory Advertising Example 1. Game Theory What is the optimal strategy for Firm A if Firm B chooses to advertise? 2.

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Presentation transcript:

Game Theory Advertising Example 1

Game Theory What is the optimal strategy for Firm A if Firm B chooses to advertise? 2

Game Theory What is the optimal strategy for Firm A if Firm B chooses to advertise? If Firm A chooses to advertise, the payoff is 4. Otherwise, the payoff is 2. The optimal strategy is to advertise. 3

Game Theory What is the optimal strategy for Firm A if Firm B chooses not to advertise? 4

Game Theory What is the optimal strategy for Firm A if Firm B chooses not to advertise? If Firm A chooses to advertise, the payoff is 5. Otherwise, the payoff is 3. Again, the optimal strategy is to advertise. 5

Game Theory Regardless of what Firm B decides to do, the optimal strategy for Firm A is to advertise. The dominant strategy for Firm A is to advertise. 6

Game Theory What is the optimal strategy for Firm B if Firm A chooses to advertise? 7

Game Theory What is the optimal strategy for Firm B if Firm A chooses to advertise? If Firm B chooses to advertise, the payoff is 3. Otherwise, the payoff is 1. The optimal strategy is to advertise. 8

Game Theory What is the optimal strategy for Firm B if Firm A chooses not to advertise? 9

Game Theory What is the optimal strategy for Firm B if Firm A chooses not to advertise? If Firm B chooses to advertise, the payoff is 5. Otherwise, the payoff is 2. Again, the optimal strategy is to advertise. 10

Game Theory Regardless of what Firm A decides to do, the optimal strategy for Firm B is to advertise. The dominant strategy for Firm B is to advertise. 11

Game Theory The dominant strategy for Firm A is to advertise and the dominant strategy for Firm B is to advertise. The Nash equilibrium is for both firms to advertise. 12

Game Theory A Second Advertising Example 13

Game Theory What is the optimal strategy for Firm A if Firm B chooses to advertise? 14

Game Theory What is the optimal strategy for Firm A if Firm B chooses to advertise? If Firm A chooses to advertise, the payoff is 4. Otherwise, the payoff is 2. The optimal strategy is to advertise. 15

Game Theory What is the optimal strategy for Firm A if Firm B chooses not to advertise? 16

Game Theory What is the optimal strategy for Firm A if Firm B chooses not to advertise? If Firm A chooses to advertise, the payoff is 5. Otherwise, the payoff is 6. In this case, the optimal strategy is not to advertise. 17

Game Theory The optimal strategy for Firm A depends on which strategy is chosen by Firms B. Firm A does not have a dominant strategy. 18

Game Theory What is the optimal strategy for Firm B if Firm A chooses to advertise? 19

Game Theory What is the optimal strategy for Firm B if Firm A chooses to advertise? If Firm B chooses to advertise, the payoff is 3. Otherwise, the payoff is 1. The optimal strategy is to advertise. 20

Game Theory What is the optimal strategy for Firm B if Firm A chooses not to advertise? 21

Game Theory What is the optimal strategy for Firm B if Firm A chooses not to advertise? If Firm B chooses to advertise, the payoff is 5. Otherwise, the payoff is 2. Again, the optimal strategy is to advertise. 22

Game Theory Regardless of what Firm A decides to do, the optimal strategy for Firm B is to advertise. The dominant strategy for Firm B is to advertise. 23

Game Theory The dominant strategy for Firm B is to advertise. If Firm B chooses to advertise, then the optimal strategy for Firm A is to advertise. The Nash equilibrium is for both firms to advertise. 24

Prisoners’ Dilemma Two suspects are arrested for armed robbery. They are immediately separated. If convicted, they will get a term of 10 years in prison. However, the evidence is not sufficient to convict them of more than the crime of possessing stolen goods, which carries a sentence of only 1 year. The suspects are told the following: If you confess and your accomplice does not, you will go free. If you do not confess and your accomplice does, you will get 10 years in prison. If you both confess, you will both get 5 years in prison. 25

Prisoners’ Dilemma Payoff Matrix (negative values) 26

Prisoners’ Dilemma Dominant Strategy Both Individuals Confess (Nash Equilibrium) 27

Prisoners’ Dilemma Application: Price Competition 28

Prisoners’ Dilemma Application: Price Competition Dominant Strategy: Low Price 29

Prisoners’ Dilemma Application: Nonprice Competition 30

Prisoners’ Dilemma Application: Nonprice Competition Dominant Strategy: Advertise 31

Prisoners’ Dilemma Application: Cartel Cheating 32

Prisoners’ Dilemma Application: Cartel Cheating Dominant Strategy: Cheat 33