Interpreting the Scottish Index of Multiple Deprivation in an Urban Context Presentation to the ScotStat Analysts Network 30th June 2010 James Arnott Development & Regeneration Services Glasgow City Council

SIMD 2009 Highlighted reduction in Glasgow’s share of Scotland’s deprivation Highlighted reduction in Glasgow’s share of Scotland’s deprivation SIMD04: 308,000 in 1%-15% SIMD04: 308,000 in 1%-15% SIMD09: 243,000 in 1%-15% SIMD09: 243,000 in 1%-15% Main drivers: expanding local economy, retention of employed working-age population, improved housing choice Main drivers: expanding local economy, retention of employed working-age population, improved housing choice

Change between 2004 & 2009 SIMD %-15%307,997243,110 16%-50%150,636183,492 51%-100%119,236157,638

SIMD % Change Change 1%-15%-21.1%-65,000 16%-50%+21.8%+32,900 51%-100%+32.2%+38,400

Greater Pollok LCPP: Change between 2004 & 2009 SIMD % Change Change 1%-15%-16.4%-4,500 16%-50%+39.0%+4,000 51%-100%+23.0%+3,800

SIMD 2009: 4 Trends Areas moving out of deprivation: -21.1% population fall Areas moving out of deprivation: -21.1% population fall Areas moving into 51%-100%: +32.2% population increase Areas moving into 51%-100%: +32.2% population increase Persistent deprivation involving 108,525 persons Persistent deprivation involving 108,525 persons Areas losing ground Areas losing ground

Further Analysis Capacity of Glasgow to withstand current recession Capacity of Glasgow to withstand current recession Continuated City Centre expansion Continuated City Centre expansion Areas of persistent deprivation Areas of persistent deprivation Stable areas facing decline Stable areas facing decline

1. Withstanding the Recession Broad-based economy Broad-based economy Infrastructural improvements: M74, Clyde Gateway, Clyde Waterfront, Commonwealth Games Infrastructural improvements: M74, Clyde Gateway, Clyde Waterfront, Commonwealth Games Centralisation and displacement Centralisation and displacement Demographics and age profile Demographics and age profile Relative not absolute improvement Relative not absolute improvement

2a. City Centre Expansion East to Dennistoun East to Dennistoun North to Speirs Wharf North to Speirs Wharf West towards West End, Anderston, Kelvinhaugh West towards West End, Anderston, Kelvinhaugh Deprived areas into 16%-50%, non- deprived into 51%-100% Deprived areas into 16%-50%, non- deprived into 51%-100% No major employment expansion No major employment expansion

2b. City Centre/West End Along the 4 main linking routes Along the 4 main linking routes Associated with increased working- age population Associated with increased working- age population Possibly also single person hholds Possibly also single person hholds Westward expansion stops at Whiteinch Westward expansion stops at Whiteinch North Kelvinside & Woodside North Kelvinside & Woodside

3. Persistent Deprivation 137 dzones in 1%-5% in 04,06 & dzones in 1%-5% in 04,06 & 09 No major loss of population No major loss of population Based around SIPs but a new geography within them Based around SIPs but a new geography within them Continuing employability programmes for hard-to-reach during a recession Continuing employability programmes for hard-to-reach during a recession

4. Stable Areas facing Decline Not threatened with deprivation, but losing ground Not threatened with deprivation, but losing ground Issues around displacement and competing neighbourhoods Issues around displacement and competing neighbourhoods Inter-war housing stock, Western Heritable, RtBs Inter-war housing stock, Western Heritable, RtBs Early action possible Early action possible

Conclusions Different neighbourhood geography Different neighbourhood geography Changed role of River Clyde and City Centre Changed role of River Clyde and City Centre Widening inequalities with ex-SIPs Widening inequalities with ex-SIPs Displacement within the city conurbation Displacement within the city conurbation

Way Forward Widen the debate around these and other issues Widen the debate around these and other issues Most suitable way of monitoring and reviewing these trends Most suitable way of monitoring and reviewing these trends Use of policy to steer or stop Use of policy to steer or stop