Tutorial 10: Performing What-If Analyses

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Presentation transcript:

Tutorial 10: Performing What-If Analyses

Objectives Explore the principles of cost-volume-profit relationships Create a one-variable data table Create a two-variable data table Create and apply different Excel scenarios with the Scenario Manager Generate a scenario summary report New Perspectives on Microsoft Excel 2013

Objectives Generate a scenario PivotTable report Explore the principles of a product mix Run Solver to calculate optimal solutions Create and apply constraints to a Solver model Save and load a Solver model New Perspectives on Microsoft Excel 2013

Visual Overview: Data Tables and What-If Analysis New Perspectives on Microsoft Excel 2013

Visual Overview: Data Tables and What-If Analysis New Perspectives on Microsoft Excel 2013

Understanding Cost-Volume Relationships Cost-volume-profit (CVP) analysis Studies the relationship between expenses, sales volume, and profitability Helps predict the effect of cutting overhead or raising prices on a company’s net income New Perspectives on Microsoft Excel 2013

Understanding Cost-Volume Relationships Comparing Expenses and Revenue Types of expenses Variable expenses change in proportion to the amount of business a company does Fixed expense must be paid regardless of sales volume Mixed expense is part variable and part fixed New Perspectives on Microsoft Excel 2013

Understanding Cost-Volume Relationships New Perspectives on Microsoft Excel 2013

Understanding Cost-Volume Relationships Exploring the Break-Even Point The point where total revenue equals total expenses is called the break-even point When sales are above the break-even point, a company profits When sales are below the break even point, a company loses money CVP analysis is sometimes called break-even analysis New Perspectives on Microsoft Excel 2013

Understanding Cost-Volume Relationships Exploring the Break-Even Point (cont’t) A CVP chart shows the relationship between total expenses and total revenue; the break-even point occurs where the two lines cross New Perspectives on Microsoft Excel 2013

Understanding Cost-Volume Relationships Finding the Break-Even Point with What-if Analysis Lets you explore the impact of changing different values in a worksheet Can use to explore the impact of changing financial conditions on a company’s profitability One way of finding the break-even point is to use Goal Seek, but a more efficient approach is to use a data table New Perspectives on Microsoft Excel 2013

Working with Data Tables A data table is an Excel table that displays the results from several what-if analyses; the table consists of input cells and result cells Input cells are the cells whose value would be changed in a what-if analysis Result cells are cells whose values are impacted by the changing input values You can use one-variable data tables and two-variable data tables New Perspectives on Microsoft Excel 2013

Working with Data Tables Creating a One-Variable Data Table Specify one input cell and any number of result cells The range of possible values for the input cell is entered in the first row or column of the data table; the corresponding result values appear in the subsequent rows or columns Useful in business to explore how changing a single input cell can impact several financial results New Perspectives on Microsoft Excel 2013

Working with Data Tables New Perspectives on Microsoft Excel 2013

Working with Data Tables Creating a One-Variable Data Table (con’t) Identify the result value cell based on input values The row input cell is used when the input values have been placed in the first row of the data table The column input cell is used when the input values are placed in the data table’s first column New Perspectives on Microsoft Excel 2013

Working with Data Tables Charting a One-Variable Data Table Gives a better picture of relationship between sales volume, revenue, and total expenses New Perspectives on Microsoft Excel 2013

Working with Data Tables Modifying a Data Table Data tables are dynamic; changes in the worksheet are automatically reflected in the data table values Includes changes to cells that are not part of the data table but are involved in the values displayed in the result cells New Perspectives on Microsoft Excel 2013

Working with Data Tables Creating a Two-Variable Data Table Lets you view the relationship between two input cells, but can display only a single result value Analyzes a variety of combinations simultaneously New Perspectives on Microsoft Excel 2013

Working with Data Tables New Perspectives on Microsoft Excel 2013

Working with Data Tables Formatting the Result Cell You can hide a cell value using the custom format “text”, where text is the text you want to display in place of the cell value New Perspectives on Microsoft Excel 2013

Working with Data Tables New Perspectives on Microsoft Excel 2013

Working with Data Tables Charting a Two-Variable Data Table You can chart the values from a two-variable data table using lines to represent the different columns of the table New Perspectives on Microsoft Excel 2013

Visual Overview: What-If Scenarios New Perspectives on Microsoft Excel 2013

Visual Overview: What-If Scenarios New Perspectives on Microsoft Excel 2013

Developing Financial Scenarios with the Scenario Manager Create scenarios to perform a what-if analysis with more than two input cells A scenario is a defined set of values for different cells grouped under a common name New Perspectives on Microsoft Excel 2013

Developing Financial Scenarios with the Scenario Manager Create scenarios using the Scenario Manager Lets you define input values within a named scenario and quickly switch from one to the other Can be used to create summary reports Before using the Scenario Manager Define names for all input and result cells that you intend to use in the analysis Defined names automatically appear in reports generated by the Scenario Manager Using defined names makes it easier to work with scenarios and understand the scenario reports New Perspectives on Microsoft Excel 2013

Developing Financial Scenarios with the Scenario Manager Defining a Scenario Each scenario includes a scenario name, input cells, and values for each input cell Number of scenarios is limited only by computer’s memory Input cells are referred to as “changing cells” Contain values that are changed under the scenario Can be located anywhere in the worksheet New Perspectives on Microsoft Excel 2013

Developing Financial Scenarios with the Scenario Manager New Perspectives on Microsoft Excel 2013

Developing Financial Scenarios with the Scenario Manager New Perspectives on Microsoft Excel 2013

Developing Financial Scenarios with the Scenario Manager Viewing Scenarios View the effect of each scenario by selecting it in the Scenario Manager dialog box Switch from one scenario to another by clicking the Show button in the Scenario Manager dialog box Excel automatically changes the values of the input cells to match the scenario New Perspectives on Microsoft Excel 2013

Developing Financial Scenarios with the Scenario Manager Editing a Scenario Edit the assumptions to view other possible outcomes Worksheet calculations are automatically updated to reflect the new scenario New Perspectives on Microsoft Excel 2013

Creating a Scenario Summary Report Create a report either as an Excel table or as an Excel PivotTable to compare the results from multiple scenarios on a single worksheet To create a scenario summary report, you must identify which result cells you want to include in the report The scenario summary report displays the values of the input cells and result cells under each scenario Each scenario is listed by name The current worksheet values are also displayed The report used the defined names you created New Perspectives on Microsoft Excel 2013

Creating a Scenario Summary Report New Perspectives on Microsoft Excel 2013

Creating a Scenario Summary Report A Scenario PivotTable report displays results from each scenario as a PivotTable field in a PivotTable Scenario PivotTable reports are created through the Scenario Manager used to create a summary report New Perspectives on Microsoft Excel 2013

Creating a Scenario Summary Report You can edit the scenario PivotTable to make it easier to read Results for a scenario PivotTable can be displayed in a PivotChart New Perspectives on Microsoft Excel 2013

Visual Overview: Optimal Solutions with Solver New Perspectives on Microsoft Excel 2013

Visual Overview: Optimal Solutions with Solver New Perspectives on Microsoft Excel 2013

Introducing Product Mix The combination of products offered by a company is known as the company’s product mix Products differ in their sales price, production costs, and attractiveness to consumers A company might find that it is more profitable to devote more of its resources to selling one product over another Goal is to maximize profits while meeting the demands of the market The optimal product mix is the product mix that will result in the most profit for the company New Perspectives on Microsoft Excel 2013

Introducing Product Mix New Perspectives on Microsoft Excel 2013

Introducing Product Mix Different product mixes result in lower or higher profit for the company The best way to find the optimal product mix usually isn’t obvious; there are too many possible combinations To find the one product mix that results in the maximum net profit for the company, you can use Solver New Perspectives on Microsoft Excel 2013

Finding an Optimal Solution Using Solver Solver finds the numeric solution to a problem involving several input values Solver can: Be used to find the combination of input values that maximizes profits Be used to find a set of input values that minimizes costs Act like Goal Seek and find the input values required to match a given result New Perspectives on Microsoft Excel 2013

Finding an Optimal Solution Using Solver Activating Solver Solver is an add-in—a program that adds customized commands and features to Microsoft Office programs Solver might need to be activated before you can use it New Perspectives on Microsoft Excel 2013

Finding an Optimal Solution Using Solver Setting the Objective Cell and Variable Cells Every Solver model needs an objective cell and one or more variable cells An objective cell is a result cell that is maximized, minimized, or set to a specific value A variable cell is an input cell that changes so that the objective cell can meet its defined goal New Perspectives on Microsoft Excel 2013

Finding an Optimal Solution Using Solver New Perspectives on Microsoft Excel 2013

Finding an Optimal Solution Using Solver Adding Constraints to Solver Almost every Solver model needs one or more constraints A constraint is a limit that is placed on the solution Solver supports six types of constraints New Perspectives on Microsoft Excel 2013

Finding an Optimal Solution Using Solver New Perspectives on Microsoft Excel 2013

Finding an Optimal Solution Using Solver New Perspectives on Microsoft Excel 2013

Creating a Solver Answer Report Solver can create three different reports Answer report summarizes the results of a successful solution by displaying information about the objective cell, changing cells, and constraints Sensitivity report and limits report are often used in science and engineering to investigate the mathematical aspects of the Solver solution; these reports allow you to quantify the reliability of the solution New Perspectives on Microsoft Excel 2013

Creating a Solver Answer Report New Perspectives on Microsoft Excel 2013

Creating a Solver Answer Report The answer report is divided into the following sections: Title Solver Engine Solver Options Objective Cell Variable Cell Constraints New Perspectives on Microsoft Excel 2013

Creating a Solver Answer Report The status of each constraint is listed as either Binding or Not Binding A binding constraint must be included in the Solver model and is a limiting factor in arriving at the solution A nonbinding constraint does not need to be included as part of the Solver model The Constraints section also shows the slack for each constraint; the slack is the difference between the value in the cell and the value at the limit of the constraint New Perspectives on Microsoft Excel 2013

Saving and Loading Solver Models You can apply several Solver models to the same data You can store the Solver parameters for a model in worksheet cells that you can later retrieve and use to rerun that Solver model By saving the Solver model parameters to cells on the worksheet, you can create as many models as you need to effectively analyze the data You can then load and apply these different models to your analysis as new data is entered New Perspectives on Microsoft Excel 2013

Saving and Loading Solver Models New Perspectives on Microsoft Excel 2013