Unleashing Capitalism: South Carolina’s Economic Policy & How it Can Be Reformed to Better Create Growth in the State Russell S. Sobel, Ph.D. Visiting.

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Presentation transcript:

Unleashing Capitalism: South Carolina’s Economic Policy & How it Can Be Reformed to Better Create Growth in the State Russell S. Sobel, Ph.D. Visiting Scholar in Entrepreneurship School of Business Administration The Citadel

What Explains Prosperity?

Adam Smith’s Question: Why Are Some Countries Rich and Others Poor? An Inquiry into the Nature and Causes of the Wealth of Nations (1776) Policies and the system of economic organization (e.g., capitalism) matter more than things such as resources, geography, education, democracy, etc. Policies and the system of economic organization (e.g., capitalism) matter more than things such as resources, geography, education, democracy, etc.

Rankings of Reliance on Capitalism

Growth is a function of “inputs” AND “institutions” Spending to increase “inputs” won’t work unless the “oven” is turned on

Route 50

North Korea vs. South Korea Per Capita Income = $1,800 Per Capita Income = $24,200

States Also Differ in Reliance on Capitalism South Carolina Ranks 43 rd in Economic Freedom

Other Business Rankings Are Similar South Carolina’s Business Climate Rankings: 24 th Tax Foundation’s State Business Tax Climate Index (2011) 43 rd Fraser Institute’s Economic Freedom of North America (2010) 27 th Directorship Magazine’s Boardroom Guide to the Best States for Business (2009) 37 th CNBC’s America’s Top States for Business (2011) 40 th Corporation for Enterprise Development (CFED) Development Capacity Index (2007) 39 th Progressive Policy Institute’s (PPI) New Economy Index (2010) 42 nd Beacon Hill Institute’s State Competitiveness Report (2010) 43 rd Milken Institute’s National State Technology & Science Index (2010) 39 th Institute for Legal Reform (ILR)/Harris State Liability Systems Ranking Study (2010) 14 th Pacific Research Institute's U.S. Tort Liability Index (2010) 28 th Forbes Best States for Business (2011) SC’s Business Climate is Worse Than Neighboring States SC scores lower than NC on 10 of the 11 indices & lower than GA on 8 of the 11 indices Both GA and NC rank in the top 5 of the Economic Freedom Index (they are tied for 3 rd )

SC’s PCPI: Rank 46th – 81% of U.S. Average

South Carolina’s Rank Among States In 1929 SC was the poorest US state (48 th of 48) Rapid growth in 1980s SC up 11 places in 9 years (49th to 38th) Had that continued SC would have been the 11 th richest state in 2010, instead SC is the 5 th poorest state SC has a growth problem

South Carolina’s Declining Rate of Growth 0.8% is prior to the recession (through 2008), updating through 2010 growth is only 0.2% (13 th slowest growth rate in US). SC had 15 th highest rate of growth among US states in 1980s

Which Future for South Carolina? 1980s growth rate

How Can Policy be Reformed to Better Embrace Capitalism and Promote Long-Run Growth?

1. Lower Taxes on Productive Activities Lower Taxes on Capital Investment National Association of Manufacturers 2009 Competitiveness Redbook SC has the highest effective property tax rate on manufacturers in the US SC = $1,864,900 (highest in the US) GA = $760,381 (about ½ of SC) NC = $491,071 (about ¼ of SC) Firm with $25m assets ($12.5m machinery & equip., $10m inventory, $2.5m fixtures)

In 1959 SC median family income = $3,821 so in 3% bracket. In 1959 SC median family income = $3,821 so in 3% bracket. Almost all SC taxpayers are now in the top tax bracket due to inflation. Almost all SC taxpayers are now in the top tax bracket due to inflation. Median family income now $53,850 so in the top 7% bracket. Median family income now $53,850 so in the top 7% bracket. Virtually only state were a family in poverty would be in top tax bracket. Virtually only state were a family in poverty would be in top tax bracket. Essentially SC has highest flat-rate income tax in US (others 3-5%). Essentially SC has highest flat-rate income tax in US (others 3-5%). Most other state’s top brackets begin around $80,000. Most other state’s top brackets begin around $80,000. South Carolina’s Personal Income Tax

2. Rely on Entrepreneurial Discovery, Not “Central Planning,” to Guide the State Economy Capitalism critically relies on entrepreneurship and the profit and loss system to direct this process Capitalism critically relies on entrepreneurship and the profit and loss system to direct this process A state’s economic future cannot be centrally planned or directed effectively - it must be discovered by a state’s citizens within the marketplace A state’s economic future cannot be centrally planned or directed effectively - it must be discovered by a state’s citizens within the marketplace Quit Playing Favorites: Avoid targeted taxes, credits, & subsidies Quit Playing Favorites: Avoid targeted taxes, credits, & subsidies Lower the barriers faced by entrepreneurs to open a business Lower the barriers faced by entrepreneurs to open a business

The Reason …Because Nobody Knows Ken Olson, chairman/founder of Digital Equipment Corp., 1977: "There is no reason anyone would want a computer in their home." Fred Smith’s (FedEx) Yale University Senior Project Grade Remark: "The concept is interesting and well-formed, but in order to earn better than a 'C,' the idea must be feasible." Would You Have Invested? Microsoft Corporation, 1978

Reduce Barriers To Entrepreneurship Regulations should be subject to cost-benefit analysis and include sunset provisions based on proof of effectiveness

3. Reduce Government Size & Centralization Increase The Share Of The Economy’s Resources Available To Private Entrepreneurs By Reducing The Size Of Government

Size of (All) Government in SC S.C. is 42.5% = 7th highest in the U.S.

3. Reduce Government Size & Centralization Increase the Share of the Economy’s Resources Available to Private Entrepreneurs by Reducing the Size of Government Government Can Also Be Made More Effective By Decentralizing Spending and Power To Local Governments (SC Is The 14 th Most Centralized State)

Thank You / Q&A Russell S. Sobel, Ph.D. Visiting Scholar in Entrepreneurship School of Business Administration The Citadel