Carbon Accounting Timber Products Output Christopher Woodall Group Leader

Staff Timber Products: Ron Piva (analyst), David Haugen (analyst), Brian Walters (analyst/programmer) National Carbon Accounting: James Smith (scientist), Michael Nichols (programmer), Grant Domke (scientist) State Responsibilities: North Dakota, South Dakota, Missouri

TPO: 2013 Accomplishments National mill canvas form approved by OMB National database now operational Data starting to be uploaded for Missouri National utilization program initiated TPO reports In Press or Published: – Kansas timber industry: an assessment of timber product output and use, 2009 – North Dakota timber industry: an assessment of timber product output and use, 2009 – South Dakota timber industry: an assessment of timber product output and use, 2009 – Wisconsin timber industry: an assessment of timber product output and use, 2008

National TPO Database Southern States uploaded most historical data and entering 2012 data into the National Dbase … processing with the National procedures Northern States moving historical data (Missouri first) into the National Dbase with processing system verification ongoing Northern 2012 data will be entered into both the National Dbase and Northern TPO Dbase to verify processing procedures

Current State Status – Mill Surveys StateStatus ConnecticutPlanning a Southern New England Report DelawarePlanning a Southern New England Report IllinoisProcessing data for 2012 IndianaTalk with about data collection for 2013 IowaTalk with about data collection for 2013 Kansas2009 publication in layout; Planning data collection for 2014 MaineTalk with about data collection for 2013 MarylandTalk with about data collection for 2013 MassachusettsPlanning a Southern New England Report Michigan Reports for 2008 and 2010 in progress. Talk with about possible Lake States annual TPO Minnesota Processing data for 2010, 2011, Data collection for 2013 All ready doing an annual TPO MissouriProcessing data for 2012 NebraskaPlanning data collection for 2014 New HampshireTalk with about data collection for 2013 North DakotaPlanning data collection for 2014 New JerseyProcessing data for 2010 New YorkTalk with about data collection for 2013 OhioProcessing data for 2011 PennsylvaniaWaiting for 2012 data Rhode IslandPlanning a Southern New England Report South DakotaPlanning data collection for 2014 VermontTalk with about data collection for 2013 West VirginiaTalk with about data collection for 2013 Wisconsin Talk with about data collection for 2013 and Lake States annual TPO

Harvest Utilization Studies

Harvest Utilization Regional History Last northern utilization study conducted in 1996 (Wisconsin) Utilization studies have historically been done state by state using regional methods Disparity in methods over time and by state Often conducted by non-FIA crews

New National Utilization Effort National Methods Build Upon Existing Southern PDR Program Conducted by P2 crews in concert with forest inventory Sample additional national/volume biomass variables Start in 2014

Northern Utilization Specifics Northern study based on utilization regions that have similar species and product mixes About 1,000 harvest utilizations sites will be sampled across the North over the next 5 years Training will be held in early December 2013, and measurement will begin this winter

Draft Site Sample Allocation

2014 Goals Begin utilization study MN Annual TPO Full adoption of national dbase for all TPO work SRS conducts annual national pulpwood survey Explore improved data distribution/analysis efforts

Carbon Accounting

2013 Accomplishments Made it into 2014 NGHGI Review Version (first time in many years) Contributed to: National Climate Assessment, National Forest C Baselines, Federal Land C Budget Published National Analysis of DWM P3 data New research outputs (e.g., maps, dead wood)

America’s Forest Carbon Trendline

Critiques Reduce uncertainty Alaska Land Use Change Forecasting Attribution Land Use Change Disaggregation Planned Improvements AK/HI

Nearest Neighbor Mapping Soil Organic Carbon Wilson, B.T., Woodall, C.W., Griffith, D Imputing forest carbon stock estimates from inventory plots to a nationally continuous coverage. Carbon Balance and Management. 8: 1.

National DWM Analysis Woodall, C.W., Walters, B.F., Oswalt, S.N., Domke, G.M., Toney, C., Gray, A.N Biomass and carbon attributes of downed woody materials in forests of the United States. Forest Ecology and Management. 305:

Comparing the NGHGI Model to P3 Estimates Domke, G.M., Woodall, C.W., Walters, B.F., Smith J.E From models to measurements: comparing down dead wood carbon stock estimates in the U.S. forest inventory. PLoS One. 8: e59949.

C Flux Statistical Power Analysis Sampling effort needed to detect percentage change with statistical power of 0.8 at α = 0.05, 0.10, 0.20 for all woody C pool Westfall, J.A., Woodall, C.W., Hatfield, M.A A statistical power analysis of woody carbon flux from forest inventory data. Climatic Change. 118:

Tracking Dead Wood C Flux Russell, M.B., Woodall, C.W., Fraver, S., D’Amato, A.W Estimates of downed woody debris decay class transitions for forests across the eastern United States. Ecological Modelling. 251: Russell, M.B., Woodall, C.W., Fraver, S., D’Amato, A.W., Domke, G.M., Skog, K.E. In Review Residence time and rate of decay for downed woody debris biomass/carbon in eastern US forests.

Refined Dead Wood Biomass/Carbon Estimation Fraver, S., Milo, A.M., Bradford, J.B., D’Amato, A.W., Kenefic, L., Palik, B.J., Woodall, C.W., Brissette, J Woody debris volume depletion through decay: Implications for biomass and carbon accounting. Ecosystems. 16: Harmon, M.E., Fasth, B., Woodall, C.W., Sexton, J Carbon concentration of standing and downed woody detritus: Effects of tree taxa, decay class, position, and tissue type. Forest Ecology and Management. 291:

Understory Vegetation Use P2+/P3 VEG information to inform C/biomass estimation Russell, M., D’Amato, A.W., Schulz, B.K., Woodall, C.W., Domke, G.M., Bradford, J.B. In Review. Quantifying understory vegetation carbon in the US Lake States: a proposed framework to inform regional forest carbon stocks.

Forest Floor Initially proposed by Ohmann & Gregory (2002) Can. J. For. Res. 32: A nearest neighbor imputation method – Similar to kNN and MSN Accommodates a multivariate response – Nearness metrics are based on Canonical Correspondence Analysis (CCA) outputs

Forest Floor Imputation

Baselines Through the Years

Missing Data Study Domke, G.M., Woodall, C.W., Walters, B.F., McRoberts, R.E., Hatfield, M.A. In Review. Strategies to compensate for the effects of nonresponse on forest carbon baseline estimates from the national forest inventory of the United States. Forest Ecology and Management.

NASA Research Carbon monitoring systems National biomass mapping based on lidar and FIA data Using Landsat to inform C baselines across 1990’s to present

2014 Carbon Efforts Complete the numerous studies currently underway Move forward with biomass change estimation (saw log top paper soon in JOF) Release of P2+ DWM data and estimation procedures P3 soils data as part of NGHGI

Questions????